Donald Trump tops Ron DeSantis in fresh national polls
Donald Trump’s campaign hits a rough patch right out of the gate.

Trump
Trump continues to prevail in a lot of national polls despite DeSantis surge.

Two newly released surveys suggest former President Donald Trump may be a tough out for Ron DeSantis in 2024.

In two national surveys of a thus-far hypothetical 2024 Republican Presidential Primary, the former President bested the Florida Governor in a crowded field, conforming with other recent polling. This suggests enthusiasm among certain conservative intelligentsia for DeSantis may not have translated fully to potential voters yet.

A McLaughlin survey Dec. 9-14 showed Trump winning both in a crowded field and a head-to-head with DeSantis. Trump’s 48% was more than double DeSantis’ 23%. Vice President Mike Pence had 5%, good for third place, followed by former Rep. Liz Cheney at 4% and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley at 3%. Mitt Romney had 2%, and Marco Rubio was one of eight names who got 1%.

While much recent polling has shown DeSantis dispatching Trump if the field were limited to just those two candidates, McLaughlin’s survey shows Trump topping DeSantis handily, with 58% backing against just 36% for the Governor. Back in October, when the question was first posed, Trump held a 64% to 29% edge.

One bright spot: If Trump doesn’t run for whatever reason, DeSantis is the front-runner with these 480 likely Republican Primary voters. He took 39% support against the field, with Donald Trump, Jr. in second with 16% as he continues to perform better with this pollster than others. Pence had 7% backing, with no other potential candidate over 4% of the vote.

A second recently released poll from Cygnal, conducted Dec. 12-14, shows Trump just five points ahead of DeSantis, with an analysis touting the “midterm shakeup.”

“While Trump still leads the field, his lead has narrowed to 5% over DeSantis from a 19% lead in October. DeSantis has drawn equal to him in favorability, with 74% of GOP primary voters saying they have a favorable opinion of each. Trump leads the hypothetical ballot with 40% indicating they plan to vote for the former President.”

Without Trump in the field, DeSantis had 52% support among the 1,079 likely voters surveyed. The pollsters note definite differences between supporters of the former President and the Governor.

“While the 2024 race for the Republican nomination for president is a long way off, there has been a shift in momentum over the last several weeks,” stated Cygnal President and pollster Brent Buchanan. “DeSantis’ rise has been fueled in part by the strengthening of his support among upper-education Republicans while (former) President Trump retains better support among lower-education primary voters.”

“There is a trend beginning to develop among age groups for the Republican Party — younger voters are staying with the former President while the older voting block is moving toward DeSantis, and middle-aged voters remain split between the two,” said Cygnal political strategist Mitchell Brown.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


11 comments

  • Joe Corsin

    December 20, 2022 at 10:13 am

    Tis an epic hog fight between Ron DeSanctimonious and Orange Hitler. Who will be the next supreme leader of the far right police state?

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  • ScienceBLVR

    December 20, 2022 at 10:36 am

    If the DOJ does decide to pursue criminal charges against Trump, as they should, in my opinion, it may not sway the truly delusion Trump supporter, but it could force those independent and disillusioned Republicans to support whoever the Dems run. That’s a positive outcome I can live with and as long as DeSantis continues to reveal his racist and authoritarian vote pandering, he won’t get the primary nod.

  • cassandra of the swamp

    December 20, 2022 at 10:40 am

    A glorious battle to the death.. I wish both success!

  • BW

    December 20, 2022 at 11:26 am

    Our poor country. Is this the best we can come up with for candidates of a major party. I like to think we deserve better than either of these men.

    • Win

      December 21, 2022 at 7:25 am

      Yeah Like sleepy Joe?
      Trump is a Winner and has been a winner Not like today inflation, ilegal immigration bringing criminals and ex conv to US and Crime rising daily

      • Guy

        December 21, 2022 at 1:26 pm

        In what world is Trump a “winner”? Maybe Bizarro world. Trump ran the disastrous southern border with cruelty and got nothing accomplished. Once he knew he was going to lose to Biden (in April, 2019) he began doing what a sire loser like Trump would do…began planting landmines that Buden is still defusing today. Pick a topic and I’ll tell you why Trump is responsible if it’s bad for the country

  • Race to the Bottom

    December 21, 2022 at 12:41 pm

    Quick DeSantis, go ahead and do some more horrible, cruel acts of meanness in order to take back the lead!

  • Guy

    December 21, 2022 at 1:27 pm

    In what world is Trump a “winner”? Maybe Bizarro world. Trump ran the disastrous southern border with cruelty and got nothing accomplished. Once he knew he was going to lose to Biden (in April, 2019) he began doing what a sire loser like Trump would do…began planting landmines that Buden is still defusing today. Pick a topic and I’ll tell you why Trump is responsible if it’s bad for the country

  • Ronald Crump

    December 30, 2022 at 3:18 pm

    Just in: trusted new poll from the reputable group funded by the Geo.Soros.Polling truth tellers shows both Trump and Desantis totally dominating Mattel’s wholsome “Ken Doll In Drag” child toy aimed at the 1st – 3rd grade doll buying population in the USA and Canada. Our targeted audiance goes wild spewing hate and venom at the results and calls for the immediate doxing and deplatforming of the Geo.Soros.Polling group.

  • Nancy

    January 2, 2023 at 10:37 pm

    Trump 2024 – he knows how to do what’s best for America and that also affects the world. He has done it before. Things are currently so serious – this is no time to take a chance on a “shiny new object” and become distracted. It was the Democrats who constantly went after him and created drama – but Trump prevailed and we were all the better for it. Thank you President Trump.

Comments are closed.


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