Donald Trump ‘dominating’ Iowa caucuses, campaign memo claims

trump iowa
'DeSantis' chances are fading away.'

The Donald Trump campaign claims to be “dominating” the Iowa caucuses in a new memo released to media.

The campaign memo is predicated on a report from the Trump-friendly McLaughlin and Associates polling firm, which discusses a poll of 500 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants conducted between June 10 and June 12.

“While Trump is cementing his candidacy as the Republican presidential nominee, DeSantis’ chances are fading away,” McLaughlin asserts.

The pollster cites the latest “head-to-head” polling that shows Trump ahead of DeSantis, 60% to 33%. The Trump +27 spread is 5 points bigger than a poll conducted by the same outfit at the end of April.

Trump’s lead is even bigger in the “larger field,” with the former President’s 51% dwarfing DeSantis’ 19%. U.S. Sen. Tim Scott, at 9%, is a competitive third place in this survey. Former Vice President Mike Pence’s 6% is good for fourth place.

Among voters described as the “most engaged,” Trump is up 55% to 21% for DeSantis, with Scott’s 7% putting him in third again.

When asked who they thought would win the nomination, Trump triples DeSantis, 63% to 19%, in what is described as a “leading indicator” of Trump’s success.

The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points, and these results are well outside it.

These results jibe with other recent polls of the race. The latest poll from Victory Insights shows Trump up 44% to 21% in a crowded field, and 49% to 32% when the race is just the former President and DeSantis.

A recent National Research Inc. poll commissioned by American Greatness shows the Governor trails Trump, 39% to 24%. That poll is the strongest recent survey for DeSantis.

Other polls aren’t so strong for the Florida Governor.

An Emerson College survey from May shows Trump ahead of DeSantis, 62% to 20%, representing the best recent poll for Trump.

The Race to the White House average of Iowa polls shows Trump up 43% to 23% in a crowded field, and 47% to 37% in a two-way race.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. He writes for the New York Post and National Review also, with previous work in the American Conservative and Washington Times and a 15+ year run as a columnist in Folio Weekly. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


13 comments

  • Dont Say FLA

    June 15, 2023 at 2:28 pm

    The Rhonda Campaign’s make or break day came and went, and it did the “break” option. Every indictment just makes Trump more popular with that losing crowd known as Today’s GOP.

    • Mensa Mike

      June 17, 2023 at 4:53 am

      After years of commie, slander & demonization of POTUS Trump by the mainstream media, social media, Democrats and Republicans, a raid on his Palm Beach estate by the FBI… PDJT is still leading by landslide margins as in 2020.
      PDJT’s character is not annoying. He is actually quite charming. PDJT is quite charming. (D)s & RINOs are empty shell nihilists who love nothing and nobody loves them. SAD! MAGA.

    • Johnathan Galt

      June 17, 2023 at 10:37 am

      …, the crowd otherwise known as Patriots.

      It makes you sad, yes? So sad, Boris…

  • Batting .000

    June 15, 2023 at 5:25 pm

    Thrown out at first.

  • Fading away?

    June 16, 2023 at 8:25 am

    Rhonda’s chances are “fading away?” I beg to differ. Fading away implies Rhonda ever had a chance. Rhonda had no chance. The abstract guy in Florida who is Trump but not Trump, that’s who had a chance. But then Rhonda shows up and people see the concrete version of that abstraction they liked and they go “Ohhhhh. No. NOooooo thank you. No No No No No,” ironically sounding just like Casey every time Rhonda wakes up from a dream about trans drag queens all turned on, looking to relieve himself of those devil thoughts.

    • SkippingDog

      June 16, 2023 at 5:52 pm

      You need psychiatric help. Get some soon.

  • David Keller

    June 17, 2023 at 1:05 am

    Problem is we got this rabid group of republicans that want Trump. Problem is they ain’t got enough votes. you better wake up or slo-Joe will win and we’ll be hearing the same thing …”Rigged” . We need a candidate who can win. Some folks won’t vote Trump ‘s mouth period!

    • Mensa Mike

      June 17, 2023 at 4:50 am

      TDS. In 2024, POTUS Trump will win by an even bigger landslide than he won in 2016 & he won in 2020. 300 pound Shanequa & Loqueesha, Obama’s ballot stuffers, will be arrested this time. MAGA! FOREVER!

      • Johnathan Galt

        June 17, 2023 at 10:39 am

        Correct. We are entering a full recession, which may even progress to depression by the time the election comes around. Joe can barely hold his pudding cup. Trump will win the popular vote with 100 million votes.

  • Cassy

    June 17, 2023 at 1:57 am

    They said the same about Obama. Hillary had all of the endorsements and was leading by 30-40+ points the entire 2007 year, right up until primary voting started and you know the rest of the story. Polls right now mean absolutely nothing! When push comes to shove, no one wants another 80-year-old in office, especially after Biden. It doesn’t matter how sharp you think he is now, that can all change in a heartbeat.

    • Mensa Mike

      June 17, 2023 at 4:48 am

      ENVY POTUS Trump much? Are you a 6’3″ mental, physical, emotional, spiritual, and financial powerhouse? Never smoked, drank, drugged? Military school & Ivy league business school grad? Film star? Elegant supermodel FLOTUS Melania, Trump One luxurious jetliner, lavish Palm Beach ocean/lake front estate Mar-a-Lago, 14 yrs top rated TV show, 2 landslide POTUS victories…?MAGA (BTW: Where’s your $1,000,000,000?)

    • Johnathan Galt

      June 17, 2023 at 10:40 am

      Trump has more energy at 78 than Xiden did at 28, and he remains the best President in the past century. Enjoy President Trump’s second term!

  • Torch

    June 17, 2023 at 9:19 am

    Meatball screwed Florida, he’s done.

Comments are closed.


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