Poll shows Ron DeSantis is GOP’s best bet against Joe Biden

DeSantis biden
JLP results show Donald Trump with a heavy Primary lead, but losing independents in a General Election.

President Joe Biden leads all potential Republican challengers in a new J.L. Partners poll. But Gov. Ron DeSantis runs the closest of any declared Republican looking to challenge the Democratic incumbent.

Survey results published by DailyMail.com show that in a head-to-head matchup between Biden and DeSantis, 44% of voters support the President, but 43% favor the Republican Governor. That’s well within the poll’s 3.1-point margin of error.

Pollsters surveyed 1,000 likely General Election voters nationwide.

Notably, the poll still found former President Donald Trump leading the GOP Primary. Among Republicans surveyed, Trump holds a 30-point lead on DeSantis.

But in a head-to-head against Biden, Trump doesn’t do as well as DeSantis. The Democratic President leads the former Republican President by a 46% to 44% margin. While that’s still in the error margin, the poll also finds critical independent voters have a distaste for Trump.

In head-to-heads between Biden and any Republican challenger, independents favor the GOP candidate — unless the candidate is Trump. Biden wins independents by 5 percentage points when pitted against Trump, whom he defeated in 2020.

Meanwhile, DeSantis leads Biden 43% to 38% among independents. He also leads the Democrat among voters older than 45 and with Hispanic voters.

DeSantis isn’t alone in taking the independent vote in a one-on-one with Biden. Independents also favor former Vice President Mike Pence over the Democratic incumbent, 38% to 32%.

But Biden still edges Pence overall, 41% to 38%.

Another key takeaway may be that Democrats rally around Biden more strongly when facing either DeSantis or Trump.

But the Florida Governor appears to be the Republican candidate striking the greatest balance between holding together the Republican base and appealing to independent voters unhappy with the current administration.

The poll found former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie in fourth place among GOP challengers. But the poll showed Biden leading in a matchup with Christie, 39% to 32%.

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected].


21 comments

  • DeSantis is an unwoke loser

    June 19, 2023 at 9:23 am

    I guess this keeps DeSantis to keep spending money and have his hopes up. On the national stage when everybody sees the type of person, a DeSantis is nobody will vote for except for maybe that 30% of the extreme right. He would lose in a landslide to Joe Biden, or even Newsom.. Pete Buttigieg would take DeSantis to school and back.

  • Steve M.

    June 19, 2023 at 10:03 am

    If Biden leads DeSantis by 1 and leads Trump by 2, with a margin of error of 3.1, then there’s no effective difference between the two hypothetical races.

  • Earl Pitts American

    June 19, 2023 at 10:04 am

    Good morning America,
    Remember this date and remember this poll.
    This is being put out by the DNC and compliant media as their way of backing up cutting loose Biden.
    At this time I, Earl Pitts American, can not tell you who the DNC is going to run in place of Biden. But I, Earl Pitts American, can tell you Gavin Newsom is a false flag designed to take America’s eyes off the prize of who the DNC will run in place of Biden.
    The final results of the poll are exactly how I, Earl Pitts American, guided the “RNC SECRET WAR ROOM MEETING” oh so many years ago to 100% agreement on.
    Relax America we got this,
    Earl Pitts “4 Level Chess Master” American

    • Former Dook 4 Brains Leftist

      June 19, 2023 at 10:21 am

      Thanks earl,
      Myself and our 27 member group of friends have transitined from D4B leftists to conservatives. You are kind of like our leader in respect that not a meeting goes past without a mention of you and the questions of what would earl do in this or that situation?
      Thanks Earl it looks like you started something big.
      Tampa Bay Former D4BL Club

      • Tropical

        June 21, 2023 at 10:41 pm

        You two should get a room.
        EPA is loaded with words that are worthless.

  • Tom

    June 19, 2023 at 1:17 pm

    If those two are the best options we have, the country is screwed.

  • Jack Meoff

    June 19, 2023 at 1:20 pm

    Ridiculous.
    Biden won a record FEW number of counties, yet somehow scraped together 81 million votes? American elections are no more than performance art. Those that pretend they aren’t, are offensive. The FBI/CIA et al. will pick our next POTUS for us, why bother with all of this “Presidential campaign” nonsense?

    • Michael K

      June 19, 2023 at 2:24 pm

      Huh? Did you know that the huge state of Montana has only two US Congress people, yet two US Senators? Alaska has only one US Congress person. There are gigantic counties with sparse populations, especially the further west one goes. It’s population that really matters. That sea of rural red is a mirage.

      • Jack Meoff

        June 21, 2023 at 1:49 am

        That would be interesting information if the United States was a direct democracy, which it is not. It is a representative republic. Anyway, that obviously doesn’t matter anymore.

        Your brain-damaged degenerate grifter president did not get 11+ million more votes than Obama. From fewer counties. It’s disturbing that anyone is willing to believe that he did.

        • Mr. Haney

          June 21, 2023 at 7:48 am

          What are you waiting for Einstein? Prove your assertion or just do the math if you can.

    • Silly Wabbit

      June 20, 2023 at 1:27 pm

      You kwazy.

    • Joe

      June 20, 2023 at 2:15 pm

      Condolences on the death of your brain, Jack.
      County size is meaningless in national elections because voting districts don’t directly overlap with counties. Also, what your posts actually demonstrates is that the GQP is now solely concentrated among rural America and fails wherever Americans actually live near other people.

      • Jack Meoff

        June 21, 2023 at 2:17 am

        Hur-dur counties aren’t voting districts? Thank you for your genius political tutoring!

        Per the AP Biden won with 81 million votes, but only won 527 counties, as compared to Obama who won in 875 counties and got 69 millionish votes. Now, as you so brilliantly pointed out, counties don’t vote for the president. However, the inexplicable difference of 348 fewer counties producing 11 million more votes would lead a reasonable person – not you of course – to go “Hmmm, that’s strange.”

        But it’s nothing you need to worry about. Go back to eating grass with other sheep. Rest easy in the knowledge that Oswald killed JFK and the WMDs are still somewhere in Iraq, just waiting for us to find them. Hopefully your government will lead you to slaughter last.

        • Dont Say FLA

          June 21, 2023 at 8:23 am

          It’s called density.

          If somebody won both Idaho and Wyoming, should that mean they got more votes than somebody that won Florida?

          No. Why not? It’s a fancy word called “density.”

          I will translate “density” for you so you can understand it.

          Density: The entire populations of both Idaho and Wyoming combined could fit inside SEC East’s football stadiums.

  • Dont Say FLA

    June 19, 2023 at 4:34 pm

    This poll only shows there’s still people who know of Rhonda as the abstract guy who is Trump but not Trump. As soon as the Rhonda campaign tour introduces Rhonda to these folks, they’ll hate Rhonda too. Everybody hates Rhonda. Rhonda’s #2 is the reason why Trump gets further and further ahead in the GOP Primary. It’s not that folks are all that interested in fielding a loser whose lines are all stuck in the past. It’s just that Rhonda is #2, so Trump it is.

  • Ormond

    June 19, 2023 at 8:28 pm

    DeSantis is the one guy that would make me cast a vote for Biden.

  • Lenna Zulauf

    June 20, 2023 at 3:47 am

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  • Joe

    June 20, 2023 at 2:10 pm

    American general voters have only just begun to get familiar with this arrogant pipsqueak and his supervisor Casey. Very few outside of Florida and FoxNewsWorld will like what they see.

    • Earl Pitts American

      June 21, 2023 at 7:57 am

      Good morning America,
      Everyone relax as I, Earl Pitts American, have chartered a bus and am loading up all the dook 4 brains leftys who commented for their free ride to an undisclosed leftist ran, streets paved in human P00, drug addict infested inner city out there on the left coast. Most if not all will be bussed out there in straight jackets and strapped down to the bus seats for their own safety and comfort.
      You are welcome America,
      Earl Pitts American

      • Tommy Johnny

        June 21, 2023 at 8:45 am

        Excellant idea Earl,
        I’ve got a fleet of tour busses and I can break off 36 of them to start a midnight relocation convoy out to the left coast inner cities for problamatic leftists who really have no business here in Florida. I’ve got a secure location about the size of a high school basketball facility we can hold them in after we round them up.
        We will totally avoid I-10 and quietly transport them on scenic two lane back roads all the way out to their new left coast, inner city, P00 covered streets, drug infested, new tent city homes where these former annoying Florida citizens can begin a new life amoungst their own kind of people.
        Its a total win/win for everybody Earl.
        Let me know when your ready
        Tommy J.

  • Tropical

    June 21, 2023 at 10:38 pm

    Really?
    I had no idea there were so many ignorant or uninformed people in the USA in 2023.

Comments are closed.


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