A.G. Gancarski
On the Smarkets online betting exchange platform, Ron DeSantis‘ odds of winning the Republican presidential nomination are below 15% for the second time this month.
The Governor is at 14.71% likelihood, well below Donald Trump’s 68.97%.
Other names are much farther back, starting with former Amb. Nikki Haley (3.33%), South Carolina U.S. Sen. Tim Scott (2.5%). and former Vice President Mike Pence (2.27%).
Talk show host Tucker Carlson, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, author Vivek Ramaswamy, and Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin are all above 1%,
Other Florida options include Sen. Marco Rubio at 0.34%, and Sen. Rick Scott at 0.1%.
Other Trump options include Ivanka at 0.2%, and Eric and Donald Jr., each at 0.1%.
Still not on the board: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez, in a sign his campaign is not taken seriously by these investors.
DeSantis led Trump as recently as January 18, 40.32% to 34.72%. By April, however, Trump doubled up DeSantis in this market, and the former President’s momentum continues unabated.
The Race to the White House polling average continues to show a lopsided race, with Trump at 53% and DeSantis at 21%. Pence is at 6%, Ramaswamy is at 4%, and Haley is at 3% in that metric.
The Delegate forecast is likewise tough for the Governor. He is forecast to have just 349 if the field never consolidates, and 530 if it does after Nevada. Both numbers are far short of the necessary 1,234 to win the nomination uncontested.
20 comments
My Take
July 10, 2023 at 7:48 pm
IVANKA !!
That would be fun.
Earl Pitts American
July 10, 2023 at 8:13 pm
Fake polling always and forever ’till 3 weeks prior to Election Day. At this stage of the game the polls mean nothing (except to DFBL’s) oh sorry America the DFBL’s are the Dook 4 Brains Lefty’s.
I, Earl Pitts American, in my great wisdom, have decided that acronims are not just for our homertesticals and may be applied to our Dook 4 Brains Lefty’s as well.
Thank you America,
EPA
Dont Say FLA
July 11, 2023 at 8:59 am
Pops why ain’t it D4BLs? F instead of 4 seems unacronymish don’t it? Help me unnerstand, pops.
Earl Pitts American
July 10, 2023 at 8:29 pm
Great news America,
I, Earl Pitts American, just sealed the deal and cornered the market on our new acronim’s (DFBL’s) new flag!!!!!
You all know how the homertesticals stole God’s rainbow for their flag?
Well I, Earl Pitts American, just one upped the homertesticals and stole the “dookey hill brown pile emogee” for the Dook 4 Brains Lefty’s” flag!!!!!
You are welcome America,
Earl Pitts American
Joe The Plumber
July 10, 2023 at 9:12 pm
Earl your a real fart smeller – whoops I mean a real smart feller. Best of all your odds of going to HeII for stealing that “dookey hill brown pile emogee” for that flag are virtually zero.
I don’t believe I would have stolen God’s rainbow though.
Thanks Earl,
Your favorite Plumber
Elliott Offen
July 11, 2023 at 7:36 am
Earl Pitts is a narcissistic psychopath with schizophrenia and intellectual disability.
JSM
July 11, 2023 at 8:54 am
Pretty accurate diagnosis, Mr Elliott!
Tropical
July 10, 2023 at 10:37 pm
You two should get a room, but keep all the details to yourselves, please.
My Take
July 10, 2023 at 11:16 pm
Seeing Trump destroy DeSSantis and then lose would be the best outcome.
It would still leave a sick GOP I’m afraid.
JSM
July 11, 2023 at 8:55 am
Absolutely agree 💯👍
Dont Say FLA
July 12, 2023 at 8:42 am
I think the other way round would work better, for Rhonda to come out with the GOP Nom but then lose to Biden. That way the GOP can’t continue to claim “imperfect vessel” about Trump. The GOP would have to own up to itself. Plus if it’s Trump that loses, we are guaranteed more of his “it’s rigged” nonsense. While I can’t guarantee Rhonda would not do the same, by all appearances, Rhonda doing the same would be entirely impotent when Rhonda does it. So that is two wins for a Rhonda loss to Biden.
Eduardo Slaveen Salahuddin 👍
July 11, 2023 at 7:34 am
He pulled the trigger prematurely… Orange Hitler’s abominable crime spree is still fresh in people’s minds.. neither one has a chance. Not to mention they have people living like Earl Pitts in their base. Like humans want people backed by animals.
Dont Say FLA
July 12, 2023 at 8:43 am
Soon as Rhonda got in there, they were done. And that is Rhonda’s story of their life.
KD
July 11, 2023 at 8:37 am
Doesn’t shock me. DeSantis ruined tge state of Florida and the residents are paying for it. He’s nothing but a power mongering, hatred, narcissistic bigot that if people don’t agree or see it his way he attacks. He and the GOP led legislature have ruined the state cost residents thousands of dollars more over laws they wanted. Neither represented the people’s wishes. And hrs traveling the country spewing all the lies telling how He made FL so great. I think not, he made it so much worse and probably irreparable.
Dont Say FLA
July 11, 2023 at 9:02 am
As long as Disney is still there, and they’ll still be there when Rhonda’s term mercifully expires, the damage done by Rhonda is not irreparable. It might take some time, but Florida can recover with some help.
JSM
July 11, 2023 at 10:03 am
I agree completely!!
I, along with many of my friends and family, have also shared in all of the same fears. To some extent, albeit a small one, we still do. Conversely, however, the extreme level of toxic negativity, grifting, manipulation, intentional dissemination of mis/dis-information, and the blatantly obvious deception and dishonesty, also has a positive consequence as well..
The complete lack of substance in his/their(GOP) rhetoric and the implementation of policies and proposals that not only target immigrants, freedom of choice, voter rights, children and families of vulnerable populations, etc.. they are basically restricting our free will… even God himself wouldn’t not do that, and He blessed us with it!
God is in control, we needed to wake up from our complacency, expose the the lies with light, and realize we have an amazing future of unity, enlightenment, progress, and love, if we do the work and be of service to others.
ali
July 11, 2023 at 12:42 pm
I AM SO HAPPY TO SEE THE NUMBERS PLUNGE. Let him feel the backlash of the people he is hurting. And GUESS WHAT???? WE DON’T CARE if you whine and pout…. It doesn’t bother me. It just makes me see you more of a Pu*(&. Girls act the way you do with whining. It shows me you really do have some gayness in you. You are just scared to come out. That is why you made the ban on alimony. This way when the news is out to your wife, you will not have yo pay her for life.
Dont Say FLA
July 12, 2023 at 8:57 am
I think alimony would go the other way after Rhonda and Mrs Rhonda get the big D. I bet Mrs Rhonda will be paying Rhonda! After this campaign, Rhonda will be lucky to find a job hanging drywall or pushing the garbage cart around construction sites.
Kim
July 13, 2023 at 12:36 pm
Ron Desantis will WIN Florida. As a native Floridian we really don’t like rude bully mouthed New Yorkers like trump. Desantis led us through the pandemic with a 22 billion surplus. He was here for us on the ground when Hurricane Ian destroyed us. He still is. We won’t walk away from Desantis. He was born in Florida and he has been good to Florida and as a protector of children. You can run your paid fake polls but I’m here to tell you on the ground, DESANTIS WILL WIN FLORIDA. .
Dont Say FLA
July 13, 2023 at 1:29 pm
Rhonda will probably win the “too lazy to home school” Moms For Liberty vote but most other folks, no matter how dumb they might be, most other folks are smarter than that.
Rhonda Campaign seems to think the pandemic is still going. They keep running pictures of people in masks, of Ron yelling at children about their masks, police arresting anti-vax anti-mask people for trespassing after numerous warnings to leave were ignored.
Rhonda is stuck in the past, seemingly in the failed Trump presidency portion of Covid. Ain’t nobody got time for that!
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