Ron DeSantis hits new low in national poll
Image via Ron DeSantis campaign.

DeSantis Prosperity SC
Nikki Haley doubles DeSantis' support. Donald Trump leads him by 57 points.

Gov. Ron DeSantis arguably had his best performance in a national debate this week, with a widely viewed showdown with California’s Gavin Newsom the week before. But new polling suggests it might not matter.

In the latest Emerson College poll, the Florida Governor has fallen to 7%, his worst showing in any national survey in the 2024 cycle. Adding insult to injury, DeSantis is actually at 6.7%, benefiting from rounding to even hit the modest 7% threshold.

DeSantis trails Nikki Haley, who has double his support at 14%. And as usual, former President Donald Trump leads all candidates, with 64%.

If there’s any positive spin for DeSantis out of this survey, it’s that he still leads Vivek Ramaswamy and Chris Christie, who each have 4% support.

The Emerson analysis spotlights the youth vote as being particularly unfriendly for DeSantis: “Among Republicans under 30, Trump’s support is higher than the average at 73%, while 6% support Ramaswamy, 5% support DeSantis, and 3% Haley and Christie respectively.”

Pollster Spencer Kimball notes that as “younger Democrats distance themselves from (Joe) Biden, Trump’s formidable backing within the Republican primary is strongest among younger voters.”

Emerson didn’t even bother testing a Trump-DeSantis head-to-head election in this survey, though the pollster did run a trial heat between Trump and Haley. As is typical of these hypotheticals, the former President dominated, with 77% support.

DeSantis led off the debate in Tuscaloosa on Wednesday by declaring he’s “sick of hearing about these polls.” And this result from Emerson, which was in the field on the day of that debate, likely won’t change his disposition to surveys.

The Race to the White House national average reflects the DeSantis decline. Trump is at 60%, with DeSantis at 12% and Haley at 10%. The Florida Governor is betting heavily on Iowa, which holds its caucuses Jan. 15, to give him some momentum going forward. What’s clear is that he needs a boost from somewhere.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


51 comments

  • Biscuit

    December 8, 2023 at 12:06 pm

    NewsSquirt out of America: Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is discovering that the more people get to know him, the less they like him — but only when we are talking about people who like Trump the more they get to know him. Those people identify as morons, and according to this latest poll, they now comprise 64% of GOP voters nationwide. So DeSantis can take comfort in knowing that his detractors in the GOP are mostly morons, even though the idiots that supported him in the past are disappearing — turning into morons, most likely.
    Arf.

    • Simon77047

      December 8, 2023 at 7:46 pm

      And you are the intellectual superior to us all? I think not.

    • fred

      December 8, 2023 at 8:03 pm

      so one loser leads another loser? got it.

    • Kay Flyte

      December 8, 2023 at 8:39 pm

      It hurts when you’re on the wrong side. Again. Eh ?
      .

    • John Day

      December 8, 2023 at 10:33 pm

      NCSWIC

      MAGAA

      Did you hear that? It’s MAGA knocking the dust off our feet…

      11b

    • Badazzwhiteboy

      December 9, 2023 at 6:27 am

      Said the silly little sheep who has myocarditis.
      Ronbo is a tater to da nation. Just like Barry and joe.

      • The Management

        December 9, 2023 at 3:00 pm

        We’re sorry, but the nickname Badazzwhiteboy is already being used by over 16,000 thirteen-year-olds across the nation.

    • "Trust No One"

      December 9, 2023 at 7:43 am

      Name calling is the last vestige of those with no valid argument. Seek help for your stage five TDS.

      • Trust Dog, Not Man

        December 9, 2023 at 2:44 pm

        And Trump is the champion of all name-callers.

    • bob

      December 9, 2023 at 10:09 am

      says the tard who voted for a corrupt senile pants schitter

      • Rue

        December 9, 2023 at 2:25 pm

        Not nice to talk about trum and his once best buddy DeSantas like tat. Lol lol

    • bill53

      December 9, 2023 at 10:43 am

      Says the moron.

  • A.G.

    December 8, 2023 at 1:05 pm

    Emerson’s poll says the numbers reflect last year. Isn’t that a material fact? Why leave it out, AG? Maybe these convenient omissions are why less than a third of Americans trust you…

    • AG

      December 8, 2023 at 1:06 pm

      Last month*’s numbers…

  • Golden Eagle

    December 8, 2023 at 1:06 pm

    I AM SICK OF THESE POLLS!

    • Hugh Betcha

      December 9, 2023 at 9:49 am

      In a recent poll, 100% of people said they were sick of polls, but only because the other people polled were so sick of polls that they failed to respond.

  • Dont Say FLA

    December 8, 2023 at 2:11 pm

    Rhonda’s poll numbers might be very low and declining, but they’ll never reach the lows of Rhonda themself.

  • rick whitaker

    December 8, 2023 at 5:21 pm

    golden eagle, i’m sick of desantis and you’re sick of poles. we’ll both be feeling better come gop convention day.

    • JDUCNA

      December 8, 2023 at 8:40 pm

      It’s spelled “Polls” moron..

      • Bierce

        December 9, 2023 at 12:28 am

        There should be a comma after Polls.

        • D

          December 9, 2023 at 9:01 am

          (snicker)

      • S. Wabbit

        December 9, 2023 at 11:42 am

        You mowon.

      • rick whitaker

        December 9, 2023 at 9:00 pm

        jducna, so you call people morons when they inadvertently misspell a word, how christian of you. erudition is not my greatest trait, but i’m not a moron. denigration seems to be one of your traits though.

    • bill53

      December 9, 2023 at 10:44 am

      You are sick of Polish people?

      • rick whitaker

        December 9, 2023 at 11:35 am

        bill53, judging from your name bill53, i assume you are 70 years old. i am 52 or71 years old. so, being old, i sometimes inadvertently misspell words . thanks for correcting me.

  • tom palmer

    December 8, 2023 at 7:18 pm

    that’s a bit of good news. Maybe the Florida Legislature will act accordingly.

  • Rob

    December 8, 2023 at 7:45 pm

    I believe the mainstream media has been pushing everyone but DeSantis, because they know that he would make a stronger leader than anybody else. This Nikki Haley surge is fake news. They want Republicans to lose so they are pushing the wrong front runners and we are buying it.

    • Gerard

      December 9, 2023 at 10:39 am

      I believe you made the only intelligent comment on this thread.

      • bill53

        December 9, 2023 at 10:52 am

        Very low bar.

    • bill53

      December 9, 2023 at 10:51 am

      ALL of the so-called conservative media pushes Little Ronny DeSantis from FOX to The Blaze and Daily Wire.

      • rick whitaker

        December 9, 2023 at 11:01 am

        bill53, i never watch any of those media outlets you mentioned, but i take your word that they push the loser desantis. conservative media outlets are not ” fair or balanced ” so why would i watch them. you forgot to mention newsmax, they call themselves fair also.

      • John Day

        December 9, 2023 at 10:32 pm

        Ron would be working somewhere else in another line of work if not for PQTUS45.

        NCSWIC

        MAGAA 11b

    • rick whitaker

      December 9, 2023 at 10:53 am

      rob, your comment is 100% conspiracy theory. when you say they, you are talking about people who are NOT in the maga cult. desantis will lose because he has losing policies and a losing personality. i don’t expect you to agree because based on your comment, you are a maga cultist. that gerald character is in your crowd for sure. why can’t you people wake up and start believing in something besides conspiracy theories.

      • John Day

        December 9, 2023 at 10:34 pm

        All the so called conspiracy theories have been proven correct. Everyone of the.

        NCSWIC

        WWG1 WGA

        MAGAA

        11b

        • rick whitaker

          December 9, 2023 at 10:59 pm

          john day, i have no idea what all those capitalized letters from your post mean? i’m NOT a maga cultist, so i don’t believe every word lying trump has to say. i call maga beliefs conspiracy theories because they are not based on empirical fact and it’s equivalency. what trump, steve bannon, and fox say is not believable to people that aren’t in the maga cult. you do realize that the maga cult is a minority don’t you. if i was a white christian nationalist, then who knows what i would believe. i guess it could be said that i am the exact opposite of desantis in every way.

          • John Day

            December 9, 2023 at 11:50 pm

            Sure PQTUS 45 WQN EVERY STATE IN 2020. I don’t give a flip what anyone says, especially controlled opposition like fox. No matter whether you or anyone believes. EVERY conspiracy theory concerning 45!( a [ c_a] lie) has been proven true

            NcSwIc

            MAGAA

            1b

    • S. Wabbit

      December 9, 2023 at 11:42 am

      Wob kwazy.

  • William Martin

    December 8, 2023 at 9:00 pm

    Back in 2016, in all the “polls” DJT was behind.

    In 2022, governor DeSantis lagged 10-13% behind his actual election numbers.

    “Polls” myass—polecat polls!

    • bill53

      December 9, 2023 at 10:51 am

      Who helped Little Ronny DeSantis in 2022, Donald J. Trump.

  • Mark Duncan

    December 9, 2023 at 6:38 am

    Trump needs to tell his supporters to start polling for vivek. It would be great to keep him in any future debates.

    • Silly Wabbit

      December 9, 2023 at 11:40 am

      Vivek kwazy.

  • Joe Matukonis

    December 9, 2023 at 8:47 am

    Time for this sick, sick joke of a presidential campaign to end; i.e. a reprobate vs a stumblebum. Desantis is head and shoulders above all other seekers in the amalgam of intellect, experience and personality. I’m tired of living in stupidville.

    • My Take

      December 9, 2023 at 9:48 am

      DeSSantis is an obnoxious redneck dreg at base.
      It is a delight to watch him fail.

      • My Take

        December 9, 2023 at 9:54 am

        What will ShortyD work on when he’s kicked back to Florida?

        • Dont Say FLA

          December 9, 2023 at 1:36 pm

          ShortyD will work on being whatever president at whatever university in Florida is forced to give the little chub a cushy ex-Gov job

      • bill53

        December 9, 2023 at 10:49 am

        There is something seriously wrong with DeSantis. First, he copies the President’s mannerisms when speaking. Now he wears lifts to make himself appear taller. Look at his face when other candidates talk during the debates, he grimaces almost all the time.

    • rick whitaker

      December 9, 2023 at 10:22 am

      joe matukonis, considering your outrageous comment, you should be the mayor of stupidville. biden has turned out to be a great president. before he was elected i was afraid he was going to be too moderate for me to vote for but i was wrong. he has turned out just right. if you can’t see that, you must be a maga cultist

    • bill53

      December 9, 2023 at 10:45 am

      Little Ronny DeSantis is a short ignorant deep stater. He will never be president…….

    • S. Wabbit

      December 9, 2023 at 11:40 am

      You kwazy.

    • Joe Bait

      December 9, 2023 at 1:34 pm

      Joe is obviously trolling for a high heels related response and/or a sports scholarship related response and/or a Guantanamo Bay related response.

      Don’t nobody give it to him. I’m sure Joe has a humdinger of smackdown for whoever bites.

      /s, lol

  • Polls Are Up

    December 9, 2023 at 1:30 pm

    GOP candidates are polling up for two reasons and only two reasons

    1- Attrition (the numerator)
    2- Also attrition. (the denominator)

    #1 GOP candidates are dropping like flies

    #2 GOP voters who hate these candidates are dropping the GOP, meaning each remaining GOP voter’s vote becomes (ever so slightly) more influential.

    As an example for #2, let’s say Trump has 50% support among GOP primary voters and there’s 100 million GOP primary voters, a totally made up number. 50% of 100 million GOP primary voters would support Trump in that scenario. Now let’s say 20 million people leave the GOP, holding their nose from the stench. Now there’s 80 million GOP primary voters. Trump still has his 50 million. They didn’t go anywhere. They didn’t change. Trump and his voters did absolutely nothing (except to emit their rancid stench), and now Trump has 62.5% support among GOP primary voters. It’s statistics! It’s fun! You can, as Trump does, do nothing whatsoever to boost your own chances, yet your chances improved 25% because you alienated a quarter of primary voters out the GOP.

    IOW, General Failure only improves candidate standing under the primary runoff system. It’s broke AF

Comments are closed.


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