Poll: Less than 3% are ‘definitely’ voting for Ron DeSantis in New Hampshire GOP Primary

DeSantis NH NBD
None of independents polled said they were sure things for the Florida Governor.

More polling from New Hampshire suggests it’s rocky terrain for Florida’s Governor, with fewer than 3% of all respondents willing to say they’re “definitely” voting for him next month in the GOP Presidential Primary.

The UMass Lowell’s Center for Public Opinion survey conducted from Dec. 7-18 shows Ron DeSantis doing better than in some recent polls, but still way behind Donald Trump and second-place Nikki Haley.

DeSantis has 10% support in the survey, with Trump at 52% and Haley at 22%.

DeSantis has room to fall as well, with just 27% of his supporters saying they are definitely voting for him. While 31% of Republicans say they will, exactly 0% of independents (a group that can vote in the Granite State’s open Primary on Jan. 23) are committed.

That adds up to 2.7% of the 450 New Hampshire Republican Primary voters polled fully committed to the Florida Governor.

The poll also reveals that just 3% of respondents — and 0% of independents — believe DeSantis can win the Granite State plebiscite. For what it’s worth, voters under 45 years of age are the most bullish on his chances, with 5% believing he can win.

DeSantis does especially poorly with independents overall, with 7% support among that bloc. And it seems they don’t like him much.

Overall, he has 53% approval against 27% disapproval, with 20% not having heard of him or not having an opinion. But among independents, he is deep underwater, with 30% approval and 49% disapproval.

One note of relative optimism, perhaps, is that 6% of respondents believe DeSantis still has a path to the nomination, despite being poorly positioned to come out of New Hampshire with more than a couple delegates.

Polls are just snapshots in time, of course, and this one is better for the Governor than the St. Anselm College Survey Center edition released Wednesday.

In that poll, he was at 6% and underwater in terms of favorable numbers with not just independents but with the entire electorate, with the pollster claiming his once formidable firewall had “all but disappeared” in the Live Free or Die State.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


20 comments

  • RATM

    December 21, 2023 at 4:09 pm

    Three Percenters are an American and Canadian far-right anti-government militia….so…he’s got the OathKeeper vote. I’m shocked!

    • Julia

      December 21, 2023 at 5:45 pm

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    • Earl Pitts "Sage Political Polling Scholar Emeritis" American

      December 22, 2023 at 8:22 am

      Relax your sphincters America, …..
      AND STAND BY FOR NEWS:
      I, Earl Pitts American, paid this UMass polling group $75.00 to put out this fake poll. The “Sage Reasoning” behind my $75.00 investment is to give the “Dook 4 Brains Lefty’s, Rino’s, and NPA’s” fake confidence that “Whoever Their Dook 4 Brains DNC” candidate ends up being ….. that they will not have to face my man, DeSantis for “The Ultimate Ron & Casey Landslide Win”.
      IN CLOSING:
      Please dont leak my, Earl Pitts American’s, “Sage Stratigy” to the press ….. BUT:
      Heres whats going down:
      Two weeks prior to “Election Day” I, Earl Pitts American, will make the call to “President Trump’s” Secret Burner Flip Phone (which only I, Earl Pitts American, have the secret phone # for) and give President Trump the Secret Code Word. Once he gets the code word he will call Brian Stelter and tender his resignation from the POTUS race.
      This, America, will leave Ron & Casey, as the only logical choice for The White House for the next Eight Years of American Exceptionalism.
      IN CLOSING:
      Fans of Earl lets just keep my “Sage Plan of 100% Victory for Ron & Casey under our hats for now. And everyone be sure to watch CNN 2 weeks out prior to election day to see Brian “Dook His Pants” on-air.
      Thank you America,
      I, Earl Pitts American, just wanted to put my fans “In The Know” so we can all relax our sphincters together and have a relaxing baby Jesus Birthday Holiday together,
      EPA

      • rick whitaker

        December 22, 2023 at 8:47 am

        earl relax your sphincter, i’m coming for you. sphincter man, you managed to use sphincter and jesus in the same sentence. how perv christian of you. any of you other sphincter freaks out there, be sure to send earl a pic or two. that should relax his well worn and talked about sphincter. earl pitts, sphincter inspector , lover, and hunter, have a very brown christmas mr. sphincter man. if you see a burning paper bag on your porch, be sure and stomp it out real good.

        • Earl Pitts "Sage Political Polling Scholar Emeritis" American

          December 22, 2023 at 9:17 am

          Thank you for being my bestest and most faithfull employee throughout the years Rick. You will find a little something extra in your pay envelope.
          Also, I’ve been in top secret discussions with our next POTUS, The Great Ron DeSantis, and we have approved you as our Great Nation’s First Ambassador to HAMAS.
          Congrats big guy, relax your sphincter, and Merry Baby Jesus Birthday “Holiday” to you and your beloved family.
          Earl Pitts American
          *ps please be sure your kids, Little Earl and Little Earline, have a wonderful Holiday*

  • Impeach Biden

    December 21, 2023 at 4:50 pm

    Another hit piece in DeSantis by Gancarski. I am shocked I tell ya. A.G, Do you take your marching orders from Nikki Fried? I know you have the hots for her. 🤣

    • Facts is Facts

      December 21, 2023 at 4:55 pm

      As he’s a registered R, I don’t think so! Eventually it will dawn on you that Ron can’t get elected any more!

      • Impeach Biden

        December 21, 2023 at 8:16 pm

        How do you know AG is a Repub or is that you posting AG? No argument here if our fine Governor is done on this next election cycle. The media went after DeSantis the moment he announced his candidacy for Pres. The media (state run) likes “Dementia” Joe’s chances against Trump much better than DeSantis or others.

        • Michael K

          December 21, 2023 at 8:25 pm

          Oh honey. You fox “news” is showing. DeSantis is melting under the lights of the national stage – like many before him. Santorum. Huckabee. Cruz. Walker. Right wingers out of touch and not ready for prime time.

          • Impeach Biden

            December 21, 2023 at 8:35 pm

            You should watch FOX sometimes and I am not your honey. See what CNN, MSNBC, The View, etc do not show what is going on down at what was once our Southern Border and no controlled by the Mexican Cartels. You are a good Demo Michael, how about we bring thousands of illegals to your place of residence?

        • truthsayer

          December 22, 2023 at 2:38 am

          Isn’t Karma beautiful? He did this stunt against Disney but it ended up becoming his biggest vulnerability; an overhang on his campaign that he can’t shake off alienating conservatives as well as liberals.

          Many prominent Republicans filed as friends of the court to support Disney; too good to be true.

  • Ocean Joe

    December 21, 2023 at 7:48 pm

    3%. It’s a wonderful life.

    • My Take

      December 21, 2023 at 10:31 pm

      He kind of IS the margin of error.

  • Sonja Fitch

    December 22, 2023 at 3:58 am

    Republicans get rid of the cruel racist sexist men NOW! America does not need or want these fascist kooks! America needs conservatives with common good! Trump is not above the law! Trump is a fascist dictator wannabe! The best of this group is Chris Christie!

    • Earl Pitts "Sage Political Polling Scholar Emeritis" American

      December 22, 2023 at 8:35 am

      Good mornting Sonja,
      As one of my, Earl Pitts American’s, secret “Leftist” infiltration agents i want to Thank You For Your Service and all the secret leftist information you have provided to “Us Good Guys” over the years.
      Please read my Holiday Release of us Good Guy’s winning (and secret) stratigy above so you too will have a relaxing and blessed Baby Jesus Birthday.
      Thanks Sonja,
      EPA

  • Degeneracy Of Floridians

    December 22, 2023 at 4:53 pm

    Federal Judge Robert Hinkle on Thursday determined that Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ repeated claims that doctors were mutilating children’s genitalia were false, the Associated Press reported. DeSantis’ false claims came as he was promoting a new law prohibting gender-affirming care for children. Hinkle is now presiding over a challenge to the law, which DeSantis billed as stopping child mutilation, when in reality it stands to stop children from receiving health care, the judge said on Thursday. “When I’m analyzing the governor’s motivation, what should I make of these statements?” Hinkle said. “This seems to be more than just hyperbole.” The law, as it pertains to children, has been placed on hold until the court challenge is resolved

    • Earl Pitts "Sage Political Scholar Emeritis" American

      December 22, 2023 at 6:44 pm

      Now hold on there “Florida Degenerate”,
      You know your “bunky hole buddy boy” Hinkle is, always has been, and always will be a leftist tool, in favor of anything & everything the old “Needs To Retire Already” fool thinks will advance the “Twisted Leftist Adgenda Of The Day”. You and “Bunky Hole Bob” are too old to ever see your dream of “Legal Pedophila” ever come true in “The Great Free State of Florida”.
      Your best bet to “Perve On Childern” is for you and Bob to move out to “Gavin Poosome’s” Dook 4 Brains Leftist State of “Perve-A-Fornia”.
      Thanks “Florida Degenerate”,
      Earl Pitts “Slapping Perves Down Like Wack-A-Perve” American

        • Earl Pitts "Doctor of Political Illness" American

          December 23, 2023 at 10:02 am

          Good Mornting Degenerate Floridian,
          Your commentary is not helpfull and is in fact based on a “Political Disability” known as Dook 4 Brains Leftism.
          I can not enter you into my political Dook 4 Brains rehabilation program because the disability has eaten through your tortured brain in its entirety. Soon your “Auto-Functions” of breathing, swallowing, and pooping will no longer function. Much like victims of dementia.
          I’m sorry, Degenerate Floridian, just tell your loved ones to make you as confortable as possable when the time comes.
          EPA

  • My Take

    December 23, 2023 at 2:25 am

    Who will be Trump’s Himmler?
    If, God forbid….
    And as AG or head of the FBI?

Comments are closed.


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