Ron DeSantis’ White House odds fall below 1%
TALLAHASSEE, FLA. 5/5/23-Gov. Ron DeSantis during a news conference after the 2023 legislative session concluded, Friday at the Capitol in Tallahassee. COLIN HACKLEY PHOTO

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He's gone from 'America's Governor' to the ultimate long shot in recent months.

A website aggregating presidential betting market odds shows Ron DeSantis at a low point in the 2024 cycle.

The Election Betting Odds platform, which considers input data from the BetfairSmarketsPredictIt, and Polymarket platforms, shows the Florida Governor as the ultimate of long shots, with a 0.8% chance of being the next President according to gamblers and investors playing these markets.

PredictIt seems to be buoying him at this point, with a bid price of 2 cents and an ask price of 3 cents. On Polymarket, there is no bid price and an ask price of 1 cent. The other two platforms show bid and ask prices between 0 and 1 cent also.

DeSantis is considered to be more of a long shot than people who aren’t even running for the presidency, including Vice President Kamala Harris (1.2%), former First Lady Michelle Obama (3.4%), California Gov. Gavin Newsom (3.4%).

He is also well behind Nikki Haley (3.4%) and Donald Trump (45.5%) in the overall market.

Turning to the GOP nomination market, DeSantis is at 2.3%, below Haley (7.4%) and Donald Trump (88.7%). The person immediately behind the Governor is former First Daughter Ivanka Trump, who has 0.5% odds at this writing Saturday afternoon.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. He writes for the New York Post and National Review also, with previous work in the American Conservative and Washington Times and a 15+ year run as a columnist in Folio Weekly. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


29 comments

  • America doesn’t want another Hitler

    January 20, 2024 at 3:38 pm

    DeSantis tends to lean towards Nazi ideology. Most of the American people see through it and he should just drop out of the race and actually resign his governor. He’s failed his authoritarian run.

    • Earl Pitts "Sage Political Expert Emeritas" American

      January 20, 2024 at 5:27 pm

      Good afternoon America,
      Out of all the Rep. candidates DeSantis is the “MOST FEARED” by the Obama’s who were in charge since the 2020 election and continue to be in charge to this day.
      *So really, America, you are in ObamaNomics…..Not 8idenNomics*
      The Dook 4 Brains Leftists knew Obama was “REALLY THE PRESIDENT” for the last 4 years and all the “SAGE PATRIOTS IN OUR GREAT NATION KNEW IT TOO”.
      That, My Sage Patriots, is why we developed our “WINNING STRATIGY” going forward for an “Eight Year Sage Camelot of Ron & the beautiful Casey in The White House”.
      Honestly, My Sage Patriots, 8arak knows we are “Gonna Win” and has already requested certian monitary concessions which we will respond to after Ron and The Beautiful Casey are settled into The White House.
      SO AMERICA:
      All our citizens, both Sage Patriots & Dook 4 Brains Leftys, are free to “Relax Your Political Sphincters” because *unlike the Democrats* Ron and The Beautiful Casey will be “Every American’s Dream Administration”. Restoring American Prosperaty (that’s the economey) and American Exceptionalism *thats our military world domination* for one and all!!!!
      SO IN CLOSING:
      Dont be a “Left Behind” or “An 8 Year Screamer At The Sky” and get your phat @zz on The DeSantis Train Now.
      Much Love America,
      Earl Pitts “The Man Behind The Plan” American.
      *FREE BUMPER STICKER*
      *WAIT FOR IT AMERICA – EARL PITTS AMERICAN*

      • Beverly Brevity

        January 20, 2024 at 5:36 pm

        Earl, you don’t need to use so many words to prove how nutty you are, you can do it with ten or twelve words. You’ve done it before, old boy.

        • Earl Pitts "Sage Political Expert Emeritas" American

          January 20, 2024 at 6:52 pm

          Earl loves Beverly!

      • Silly Wabbit

        January 20, 2024 at 5:37 pm

        Pitts dook.

        • Earl Pitts "Sage Political Expert Emeritas" American

          January 20, 2024 at 6:52 pm

          Earl loves The Wabbit!

      • rick whitaker

        January 20, 2024 at 6:25 pm

        WARNING ⚠ TROLL COMMENT BY EARL SPHINCTER

        • Earl Pitts "Sage Political Expert Emeritas" American

          January 20, 2024 at 6:53 pm

          Rick is Earl’s Main Man!

  • Impeach Biden

    January 20, 2024 at 4:30 pm

    What will Gancarski write about when DeSantis drops out?

    • God Bless President Biden

      January 20, 2024 at 4:46 pm

      What will you do?

      • Impeach Biden

        January 20, 2024 at 5:11 pm

        Well “God Bless President Biden” I will certainly be here and you probably need senior care like that incompetent CIC currently in the White House.

        • Tom

          January 20, 2024 at 5:29 pm

          JP Morgan put out a research note the other day betting that Biden will bail due to ill health after the Republicans anoint Trump and the Democratic National Committee will appoint someone else to run (Gretchen Whitmer maybe).
          Whimsical thinking perhaps but at their ages, not out of the question. Frankly, they’re both losing the plot.

        • TJC

          January 20, 2024 at 5:32 pm

          IB, I think it’s time you let us know how old you are. I have had good talks with you in the past because I agree with some of your observations, but hey I’m in my 70’s and while your age-related bias when it comes to Presidents is understandable, the age insults (“incompetent,” “need senior care”) are unnecessary and false. Just because you don’t like his liberal agenda doesn’t make him “incompetent.” In fact, he is so competent at what he is trying to accomplish — and has accomplished — that you want him out, right? I know you don’t want to be specific because of identification worries, but how about the range…I’m in my 70’s, and you are…?

          • Impeach Biden

            January 20, 2024 at 6:32 pm

            You know you are right TJC and I apologize about my age related comments. There are plenty other swipes on this board but maybe not with regards to age. It is truly frustrating to me to watch Biden lose his mental capacity right in front of us. Yet no one in the media will call him out in that. The guy gets lost walking off the stage. Has that lost look on his face and shuffles his feet when he walks around. Look at his press conferences how they are completely planned and scripted. In many cases he has the questions beforehand and has a sequence of reporters he calls on so he can reference his teleprompter, cue cards, and notes. Now there are people Biden’s age that could run circles around him. As to my age. I’m no youngster either but I am younger than you.😀

    • Republicans are the new Nazis

      January 20, 2024 at 5:01 pm

      Republicans embrace Nazi ideology – they are an American

    • PeterH

      January 20, 2024 at 5:27 pm

      Raise your hand if you’ve finally figured out that “impeach biden” is a screen name avatar for “Christina Pushaw!”
      LOL 😂

      • TJC

        January 20, 2024 at 5:39 pm

        No, he’s a lot more reasonable than she is.

  • PeterH

    January 20, 2024 at 5:17 pm

    Today’s Republicans may call DeSantis “America’s Governor” but no one else refers to DeSantis in these terms!

    Republicans need to be reminded that no disgraced Rudy Giuliani was once called “America’s Mayor!”

    Republicans are America’s worst enemy!
    Vote all Republicans out of office!

    • PeterH

      January 20, 2024 at 5:18 pm

      now disgraced

  • Tom

    January 20, 2024 at 5:21 pm

    That’s a surprise … said nobody, ever.
    So, after spending the last couple of years creating and supporting nonsense legislation to further his own political interests, we Florida residents now have to pick up the legal bills to fight the numerous challenges to said legislation because they were not only ill conceived and politically motivated, they were in some cases, completely unconstitutional to the point that he’s been chastised by the courts.
    Then unfortunately, we have to take him back. This is not about partisan politics, this is just sheer incompetence by elected officials. What a sad affair all around. Can you republican voters please find someone to replace him (not his wife) until 2026 then we can revisit the whole thing.

  • God Bless President Biden

    January 20, 2024 at 5:25 pm

    Christine Pooshaw and Casey are looking for a new sugar-daddy…Impeach Biden (Christine’s sock-puppet account) part of a thruple? Maybe Laura Loomer is looking?

  • Michael K

    January 20, 2024 at 5:38 pm

    I’ll give Rhonda credit for running the worst presidential campaign in modern history. Imagine: burning through $130 million in Iowa and not winning a single county. Nobody in their right mind will ever want the DeSanti anywhere near the levers of government. He and Tacky O are toast. He will come “home” in disgrace but still draw his welfare check.

  • Julia

    January 20, 2024 at 6:31 pm

    I ­­­­­­a­­m ­­­­ma­­k­­i­­ng 28­­5­­ Dollars e­­a­­ch­­ h­­o­­u­­r ­­­­f­­o­­r w­­o­­r­­ki­­n­­g­­ ­­­­on­­l­­i­­n­­e. ­­I n­­e­­v­­e­­r ­­­­t­­h­­o­­u­­g­­h­­t ­­­­t­­h­­a­­t ­­­­i­­t ­­­­w­­a­­s ­­­­l­­e­­g­­i­­t­­ b­­u­­t­­­­ ­­m­­y­­ ­­­­­­b­­e­­s­­t­­­­ ­­f­­r­­i­­e­­n­­d­­ ­­e­­a­­r­­n­­s ­­­­29,0­­0­­0 d­­o­­l­­l­­a­­r­­s ­­­­ev­­e­­r­­y ­­m­­o­­n­­t­­h ­­d­­­­o­­i­­n­­g t­­h­­i­­s ­­a­­n­­d­­ s­­h­­e ­­­­nv03 sh­­o­­w­­e­­d ­­m­­e­­ ­­h­­o­­w­.

    C­­h­­e­­c­­k­­ It……………….. careersrevenue03.blogspot.com

  • Earl Pitts "Sage Political Expert Emeritas" American

    January 20, 2024 at 7:02 pm

    Good evening America,
    Many of our “posters” here at our “Beloved On-Line Host, F. P. would behoove themselves with some contemplative study of “The Sage Wisdom” of Earl Pitts American.
    Thank you my Sage Fellow Posters,
    Earl Pitts American
    *dont let the election pass you by and put yourself in the uncomfortable position of finding out that “Earl Was Right All Along”. You will kick yourself in the “Split Where You Sit” for many a year to come thinking:
    “Why Dident I Just Listen To Earl”?????
    Thanks America,
    EPA

  • Tom

    January 20, 2024 at 7:27 pm

    Interestingly, he just cancelled all the Sunday shows was to appear on tomorrow. Between that and his comments to Hugh Hewitt yesterday, I’d put money on him dropping out tonight. There you go Earl. You heard it here first 🤣

    • Earl Pitts "Sage Political Expert Emeritas" American

      January 20, 2024 at 7:50 pm

      Thank you Tomskie for reaching out for “Sage Clarifacation” from Earl on all the ever so complex political information being propagated by the “Out Of Control Media”
      You have done the right thing, Son, by coming to me, Earl Pitts American, for Sage Political Advisement.
      As we progress into the next stage of “The Sage DeSantis Victory, Tomskie, it becomes more and more important to get your “Real News” from me, Earl Pitts Anerican.
      You see, Tomskie, when it “Looks Like” DeSantis may be backing down thats just “Media Fodder” and has nothing to do with the upcoming DeSantis Landslide victory.
      Thank you Tomskie for your financial support we are considering you for a cabinet position in The DeSantis Administration if you can commit for the entire Eight Years. You’ve done a great job Tomskie,
      Earl Pitts “Tomskie’s Boss for The Eight Great Years” American

    • Marvin M.

      January 20, 2024 at 8:16 pm

      Wow, I had not heard that, about the cancelling Sunday show appearances. Cancelling is never a good sign. I thought he’d stay in at least through Super Tuesday when his ass would be handed to him on a Florida-shaped platter, but … maybe not.
      Or maybe somebody just explained math to him and he finally got it.

  • My Take

    January 20, 2024 at 11:53 pm

    When he comes back in defeat and attempts in his last two years to build the quasifascist bananarepublican paradise in Florida that he can point to in 2028, let us hope that some hounds in his kennel of cowardly lapdogs in the legistature are no longer cowed.

  • Jojo

    January 21, 2024 at 2:37 pm

    All it took was him opening his mouth in front of the entire country for them to realize what we see every day

Comments are closed.


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