Poll shows Donald Trump with strong lead over Nikki Haley in South Carolina

Trump haley SBS
The Tyson Group found Tim Scott to be more popular than the former Governor.

A new survey shows Donald Trump appears ready to trounce former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley in a Presidential Primary in her home state.

New polling from The Tyson Group, a Florida-based pollster, has Trump leading among likely GOP Primary voters with 58% support compared to Haley’s 31%.

Pollsters also show the former President with better favorability ratings, even in the state that put Haley in the Governor’s mansion.

About 68% of those polled have a favorable opinion of Trump, compared to 27% who have an unfavorable opinion. By comparison, about 56% of participants have a positive opinion of Haley and 33% have a negative one.

When it comes to net favorability, Haley trails U.S. Sen. Tim Scott, a South Carolina Republican who dropped out of the presidential contest and endorsed Trump. About 57% have a favorable view of Scott, compared to 20% who have a negative opinion. The state’s other U.S. Senator, Republican Lindsey Graham is viewed positively by 52% of those surveyed and negatively by 31%.

The poll includes responses from 543 likely Primary voters surveyed between Jan. 24 and 26, both through internet panels and text-to-web software.

Trump’s edge was most pronounced among those who identify themselves as “very conservative.” Among that set of voters, Trump leads Haley 79% to 17%. She fares better among moderates, but still trails Trump 44% to 37%. Among no-party voters, Trump continues to hold an advantage with 48% favoring him compared to 33% who want Haley in the Primary.

South Carolina allows voters to pick the Primary in which they can vote, either the Democratic Primary on Feb. 3 or the Republican Primary on Feb. 24.

Haley may benefit from a largely inconsequential Democratic Primary, where President Joe Biden outperformed Democratic challengers in New Hampshire despite his name not appearing on the ballot.

Haley holds a 49% to 5% lead among Democratic voters likely to participate in the GOP Primary.

Pollsters also asked the top issue priorities for likely Primary voters. About 66% of voters listed lowering inflation and improving the economy among their priorities, and 50% listed illegal immigration as a top concern. Fighting crime came in a distant third place at 17%, while fighting the “woke agenda” was important to 13% of Primary voters.

South Carolina GOP Primary Memo by Jacob Ogles on Scribd

South Carolina GOP Primary Survey Deck by Jacob Ogles on Scribd

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected].


  • Dont Say FLA

    January 26, 2024 at 3:26 pm

    Do GOP primary voters just not understand what the primary is for?

    It’s supposed to be “pick a winner”

    What do they do instead?

    They pick their prolapsed ass

  • My Take

    January 26, 2024 at 3:33 pm

    Nikki should stay in no matter what. Trump may fall later for any of a number of possible reasons.

    Having Trump as sole target might be better for Biden though.

  • tom palmer

    January 26, 2024 at 3:55 pm

    We knew this already.

  • DonenOut

    January 26, 2024 at 4:29 pm

    How could we continue supporting Trump after knowing he was found guilty of sexual assault…rape..we’re pathetic

    • Kamwick

      January 26, 2024 at 7:39 pm

      I think you just described today’s GOP.

    • Craven Florida

      January 26, 2024 at 7:55 pm

      You’re craven; driven by greed & lust like a beast. So gross.

    • Foolsrus

      January 27, 2024 at 7:34 am

      He was never found guilty of sexual assault. Or insurrection. Just because rabid libs and mentally ill mainstream media darlings obsessively repeat the allegations of “assault” and ‘insurrection” doesn’t make it true. Nor does a compromised tainted jury decision for defamation🙄. You are now entering the Twilight Zone…1,2,3…

      • Dont Say FLA

        January 29, 2024 at 8:52 am

        $100 million awarded, so far, to Eugene Carroll by two separate juries don’t lie.

        748, so far, people having pled guilty in court for their actions January 6th, that also don’t lie.

        A mere 3 people acquitted of federal J6 charges. Just 3. No lie there.

        So who is it again that’s rabid and mentally ill, obsessively repeating narratives that are not true? Not sure it’s the libs on this one. Maybe you’re thinking of climate change?

  • Julia

    January 26, 2024 at 5:32 pm

    How Can Someone Without Work Experience Apply Online for a Job? It’s time to move on to the next phase, which is to apply for and be hired for the job. Here are our finest recommendations for showcasing yourself as a xb02 candidate and obtaining that distant position:

    Examine and open this copy…………………………… easybusiness78.blogspot.com

  • Craven Florida

    January 26, 2024 at 7:54 pm

    Earth’s grossest men are your people.

  • Phil Morton

    January 26, 2024 at 9:07 pm

    Wouldn’t believe a word this guy says.
    “The Republican pollster Ryan Tyson, who is expected to be the political director of Gov. Ron DeSantis’ presumptive presidential bid, was deeply enmeshed in a major Florida political-corruption scandal that has resulted in criminal charges for five people, two of whom have been convicted.”

  • It Shows

    January 27, 2024 at 4:36 am

    Florida has 148 colleges and universities.

    And 178 prisons.

  • It Shows

    January 27, 2024 at 4:38 am

    99,000 Floridians in prisons in 178 facilities statewide.

    Good for all of us.

    • Dancing Outlaw

      January 31, 2024 at 8:31 am

      I can think of two Floridians that need to be in prison but somehow aren’t there. Yet.

      The sun is shining brightly, all over Trump’s Presidential term.

      The sun will eventually shine on the DeSantis Campaign’s currently covered up use of any state funds for personal campaign purposes.

  • ValentinaThomas

    January 27, 2024 at 5:46 am

    How Can Someone Without Work Experience Apply Online for a Job? It’s time to move on to the next phase, which is to apply for and be hired for the job. Here are our finest recommendations for showcasing yourself as a candidate and obtaining that distant position:

    Examine and open this copy…………………………hnewway345.blogspot.com

  • Sally B

    February 2, 2024 at 12:02 am

    Thank you, Dr. Rand Paul, MD (U.S. Senator of Kentucky)

Comments are closed.


Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Drew Dixon, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Cole Pepper, Gray Rohrer, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Drew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704