A.G. Gancarski
Democrats maintain that Florida is in play. But new polling from Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) challenges that theory.
In the survey, both Donald Trump and Rick Scott have majority support headed into November.
In the case of Trump, 52% of respondents say they will vote for him to carry Florida for a third time in eight years. Vice President Kamala Harris has 44% support, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. sits at 3% in a three-way race.
In a two-way contest, Trump leads 53% to 46% against Harris.
“President Trump won Florida by three points in 2020, and, with less than three months to go until Election Day, he appears to be in a very strong position to grow his margin and win Florida for the third time in 2024,” said AIF Vice President of Political Operations Jeremy Sheftel.
The survey of 800 registered likely General Election voters in Florida was conducted between Aug. 6 and Aug. 8.
The AIF poll comes as another public poll shows a closer race for the White House in the Sunshine State. The USA Today/Suffolk University/WSVN-TV phone poll of 500 likely voters conducted between Aug. 7 and Aug. 11 shows Trump ahead of Harris, 47% to 42%, with 5% backing Kennedy and 5% undecided.
Meanwhile, Scott is in good shape in the AIF survey as well, even though the USA Today survey, which is R+8, showed him at just 35% approval.
Here, he leads former U.S. Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell by 10-points (52-42%) with 7% of voters undecided.
Polling of a potential race between Mucarsel-Powell and Scott has been all over the place, and this survey falls in between the extremes in surveys in recent months.
In a survey released by Florida Atlantic University, she’s just 2 points back among likely voters, 45% to 43%.
That June poll presented a marked contrast to a previous poll by the same outfit that showed a 16-point race, and with a Florida Chamber of Commerce poll that showed a 15-point gap earlier this Summer.
15 comments
Joe
August 13, 2024 at 4:54 pm
You really are kind of the worst, Florida voters.
Day 23
August 13, 2024 at 5:41 pm
So stay away then. Move to Kalifornia.
Ocean Joe
August 13, 2024 at 6:44 pm
“Meanwhile, Scott is in good shape in the AIF survey as well, even though the USA Today survey, which is R+8, showed him at just 35% approval.”
When only a third of voters approve of him but a majority will elect him anyway kind of makes Joe’s point.
Debra Wood
August 13, 2024 at 5:01 pm
You called 500 people?
DemocratJ
August 13, 2024 at 7:16 pm
From Florida Phoenix: “The USA Today/Suffolk University/WSVN survey of 500 likely voters showed that Scott is upside down with Florida voters, with the 71-year-old Republican viewed favorably by 35% of respondents and 49% showing disapproval. An additional 7% were undecided. The survey also showed that 59% of Republicans viewed Scott favorably while 24% of Florida GOP voters disapproved of him.” Scott has a 47% to 45% lead, down from 11 points.
Time to give the devil his due. Early out of the Navy, lol.
Dee
August 13, 2024 at 11:07 pm
Rick Scott votes against everything that would be good for the middle class. Wants women to go back to the 50’s. Never see or hear from him until 1 week before the election and he has so much money he pays for his own election. Time for change!! no to Scott.
Brett Upthagrove
August 14, 2024 at 10:47 am
It is the unlikely voters who are going to throw Harris over the top in Florida. Young people and people who have never voted are coming to the polls to vote for legalization of marijuana and women’s reproductive Rights. These unlikely voters are not being polled.
Libsrvajayjays
August 14, 2024 at 12:12 pm
Dream on. You forgot about the fact there are now currently 1,000,000 more registered Republican voters in FL vs registered Democrats. Harris doesn’t stand a chance.
MH/Duuuval
August 14, 2024 at 12:27 pm
2 million plus non-affiliated voters.
And, GOP women haven’t been able to process fully the anti-abortion politics going down in the red states. Don’t look for all of them to go MAGA. (MAGA Daddy can’t go into the voting booth with them.)
Michael S
August 14, 2024 at 6:08 pm
It’s 3.5M NPA per the FL Div of Elections. How these folks (myself included) show up and break R and D certainly can change the outcome. Neither R nor D parties can rely on party ID for vote count estimates in FL.
MH/Duuuval
August 14, 2024 at 10:35 pm
3.5 million? I missed that one, but some of these folks are third-party zealots who won’t affect the races.
Yrral
August 14, 2024 at 3:29 pm
Florida is somewhat a banana Republic,if they support criminals Rick Scott economy built on government fraud Google Rick Scott Medicare Fraud Google Trump Venezuela
Immir
August 14, 2024 at 4:16 pm
Florida can just drop off into the ocean. You continually elect idiots.
MH/Duuuval
August 14, 2024 at 10:37 pm
The Yippees proposed that in the early 1970s, but no.
Harry
August 15, 2024 at 11:00 pm
As long as the economy does well. All small businesses need help in times like these.
Comments are closed.