A.G. Gancarski
Democrats continue to say Florida is in play, and a new poll suggests they might be right.
The Public Policy Polling survey of the state, conducted Aug. 21-22 for the Clean and Prosperous Energy PAC, shows just 4 points separate Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in the state.
Trump leads 51% to 47% overall in a two-person race, with 2% unsure of who they back in that scenario. When an expanded field was polled, Trump led 48% to 45%, with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 2%, Jill Stein and Cornel West at 1% each, and 3% not sure.
Trump leads only narrowly despite accomplishing what neither Harris nor President Joe Biden has: being above water in terms of favorability.
The former President, who has won the state twice already, is at 49% approval against 48% disapproval.
Meanwhile, Harris is at 46% approval against 52% disapproval.
President Biden, meanwhile, has just 41% approval and 54% disapproval.
The margin of error is listed at 3.4 percentage points.
This is just the latest poll to show Florida is competitive but, at least for now, still leaning Republican in the presidential race.
An August survey from Florida Atlantic University’s PolCom Lab shows Trump ahead 50% to 47%.
Another August survey from the Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) found Trump was up 53% to 46% in a two-way race with Harris.
Meanwhile, another public poll released recently splits the difference between the two polls.
The USA Today/Suffolk University/WSVN-TV phone poll of 500 likely voters conducted between Aug. 7 and Aug. 11 shows Trump ahead of Harris, 47% to 42%, with 5% backing Kennedy and 5% undecided.
The Real Clear Politics polling average shows a 6.3-point Trump lead, but that number is skewed by a July poll that showed Trump leading Harris by 10 points, with 49% against 39% for the candidate who had yet to establish herself.
Trump is even buying TV ads in Florida, though it’s unclear how it will help him based on the very localized spend. His campaign is dropping $48,000 on cable ads in West Palm Beach, which will run through Sept. 2.
30 comments
Michael K
August 27, 2024 at 9:45 am
Otho g would be better for our nation than to see the disgraced former president evicted from and and all future attempts to further divide this nation. He’s too old, too erratic, and to selfish, an incapable of telling the truth.
Day 36
August 27, 2024 at 9:48 am
Yet you defended Biden and his age. You, the media, the DNC, his handlers, his VP were all in on it. Suddenly Trump is old. What about the wicked witch from San Francisco? What say you?
JD
August 27, 2024 at 9:54 am
“You, the media, the DNC, his handlers, his VP were all in on it.”
Conspiracy theory much? You believe it was some deep-state design in all that? If the DNC is so disorganized and incompetant as you claim, then how could they have herded that many cats? And if they are not, why do you worry about them running the country?
Pelosi isn’t running for President, now is she? So that’s a conflation.
And is not untrue. Trump is old. And he will be even older by the end of his term.
JD
August 27, 2024 at 9:55 am
…end of his term…. in prison.
Dont Say FLA
August 27, 2024 at 10:06 am
There’s nothing sudden about Trump being elderly. The man spent 80 years doing it.
Wicked witch? What are you getting at? People shouldn’t vote for a woman because she’s a woman and there was once a fictional character in an old movie that was a woman and she was an antagonist? Did you know there were also two female protagonists in that movie? Why not focus on those characters?
A Day without MAGA
August 27, 2024 at 10:53 am
You hate women, probably why you have problems with women,maybe you should try men, because of your man crush of Trump
Day 36
August 27, 2024 at 12:45 pm
Nice try Yrral. I don’t hate women as you say. I don’t support incompetent ones. Kammy ain’t ready for prime time but you and the media are hoping to push her across the finish line
Dont Say FLA
August 27, 2024 at 1:05 pm
Kammy ain’t ready for prime time, but Turnip J Truck is????
Did you forget the 4 years he had the office of the Presidency yet did nothing for the benefit of the USA or its non-billionaire voters?
LOL @ Turnip Truck being ready for prime time unless we are talking priming his face prior to applying the orange spray tan.. He’s always ready for that
Yrral
August 27, 2024 at 2:24 pm
Lots of you mens that support Trump get an erotic estascy feeling,when thinking about Trump,get you a little wet
rick whitaker
August 27, 2024 at 2:29 pm
day 36 / howler monkey, you hate everything good, including women. howler monkey, we got you figured out.
Linwood Wright
August 27, 2024 at 10:37 pm
You are quite literally a complete f*cking moron.
rick whitaker
August 27, 2024 at 2:33 pm
DAY 36 / HOWLER MONKEY, howler, i see you are up to what about what about what about what about. dude, you are lame.
Jacie
August 28, 2024 at 12:09 pm
Wicked witch? Sounds like someone is just afraid of women in power. If you rely on sexism to feed your male identity, you’re in trouble! Women are going to continue to rise, much to your chagrin. BTW, the word ‘witch’ comes from the word ‘wise’ as women were referred to in pre-patriarchal cultures. The men couldn’t handle honoring women and respecting women, I suppose, so they turned “witch” into an insult. The men who hurl it as an insult don’t know their “history” and are just showing their fear of women.
Davey
August 29, 2024 at 10:36 am
LMAO. Given Kamala’s track record the entire human race should be afraid of her ever being in power. Thankfully, she has no chance of being elected absent wholesale voter manipulation and fraud, both of which are hallmarks of the social fascist left.
rick whitaker
August 29, 2024 at 11:18 am
DAVEY, you have it ALL wrong. are you kidding, or are you just that deluded?
jeff
August 28, 2024 at 9:54 pm
I didn’t. He is just way too old and he has already become confused. Haley and Pelosi. Harris and Haley. He doesn’t even know who he is running against. Maybe Kemp.
jeff
August 28, 2024 at 9:58 pm
Not suddenly. It took 78 years. He’s older than the cassette tape, color tv, Bill Clinton, etc…
Dont Say FLA
August 27, 2024 at 10:09 am
Turnip Truck said is was so unfair that VP Harris became the Democrat candidate for President.
Then he said it was so unfair he had to debate her. Then he said he’s unqualified to debate her, so he needs his microphone on at all times so he can attempt to bully her rather than debate her.
And now he says it’s so unfair she doesn’t talk to the lamestream media that he constantly whines is all fake news, so why should he even care?
What a whiner and a crybaby. He didn’t just fall off the turnip truck yesterday. He is the turnip truck.
Michael S
August 27, 2024 at 10:29 am
‘The Real Clear Politics polling average shows a 6.3-point Trump lead, but that number is skewed by a July poll that showed Trump leading Harris by 10 points, with 49% against 39% for the candidate who had yet to establish herself.’
I think more accurate journalism would be to say, the 10 point July Fox poll took place prior to Harris even being an actual candidate. It is the UNF poll that took place the first day Harris became a candidate. Not that Trump doesn’t have the polling lead, but the only 2 polls that took place once Harris was actually out in public as a candidate average out to a 4 point Trump advantage.
Day 36
August 27, 2024 at 11:04 am
One of the reasons I canceled my local paper. They continuously published polls that were for the most part incorrect trying to influence the outcome of elections. Their editorial staff was way out in left field. The paper is a shell of what it once was. Certainly not balanced coverage
Phil Morton
August 27, 2024 at 12:18 pm
Florida is in play. Texas is in play. Didn’t see that coming but it’s nice.
MH/Duuuval
August 28, 2024 at 10:05 pm
ditto NC and GA
Johnny
August 29, 2024 at 9:58 am
Please share what you are smoking with the rest of us….. Just another delusional social fascist….
rick whitaker
August 29, 2024 at 11:32 pm
JOHNNY, what do the maga cultist smoke, you’d know?
Dont Say FLA
August 27, 2024 at 1:09 pm
There’s only one serious party in this year’s Presidential race. The more people come to that realization, the more every state is in play.
If he actually wants to be President this time, Turnip Truck should at least do himself a favor and replace Jessica Darlynn Pants with the real Sarah Palin.
David Hugeon
August 28, 2024 at 1:40 pm
Rarely have I seen such utterly idiotic comments from the left as I have seen here. As for close polls, utter nonsense. Can’t want to hear from you woke imbeciles after the election. Trump by a landslide.
rick whitaker
August 29, 2024 at 11:25 am
DAVID HUGEON, you make me laugh you foolish twit. harris will win because americans aren’t ready to flush the country down the drain by voting for trump the liar and felon. guys like you make it hard on us good people . if there were a hell, you would visit it to see all your buddies and fellow maga cultist. what a joke.
Delusions
August 29, 2024 at 7:59 am
You have to feel comfortable in your own skin
What party is going to bring security and who will bring insecurity and bankruptcy with no safety nets.
Chris
August 29, 2024 at 12:51 pm
I DO think Florida is in play. 2020 my neighbors on either side had Trump signs all over. Their homes, their trees, yard signs, Trump flags..this year? Nothing. I have seen only one Trump sign in my very conservative neighborhood. Harris signs are out. Of course that may change but I am thinking some old Trump supporters may be sitting this one out.
rick whitaker
August 29, 2024 at 11:35 pm
CHRIS, i don’t see many trump signs in my town this year. and i live in a state that is not in play. do you think trump has blown all the sign money?
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