A.G. Gancarski
Democrats continue to say Florida is in play, and a new poll suggests they might be right.
The Public Policy Polling survey of the state, conducted Aug. 21-22 for the Clean and Prosperous Energy PAC, shows just 4 points separate Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in the state.
Trump leads 51% to 47% overall in a two-person race, with 2% unsure of who they back in that scenario. When an expanded field was polled, Trump led 48% to 45%, with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 2%, Jill Stein and Cornel West at 1% each, and 3% not sure.
Trump leads only narrowly despite accomplishing what neither Harris nor President Joe Biden has: being above water in terms of favorability.
The former President, who has won the state twice already, is at 49% approval against 48% disapproval.
Meanwhile, Harris is at 46% approval against 52% disapproval.
President Biden, meanwhile, has just 41% approval and 54% disapproval.
The margin of error is listed at 3.4 percentage points.
This is just the latest poll to show Florida is competitive but, at least for now, still leaning Republican in the presidential race.
An August survey from Florida Atlantic University’s PolCom Lab shows Trump ahead 50% to 47%.
Another August survey from the Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) found Trump was up 53% to 46% in a two-way race with Harris.
Meanwhile, another public poll released recently splits the difference between the two polls.
The USA Today/Suffolk University/WSVN-TV phone poll of 500 likely voters conducted between Aug. 7 and Aug. 11 shows Trump ahead of Harris, 47% to 42%, with 5% backing Kennedy and 5% undecided.
The Real Clear Politics polling average shows a 6.3-point Trump lead, but that number is skewed by a July poll that showed Trump leading Harris by 10 points, with 49% against 39% for the candidate who had yet to establish herself.
Trump is even buying TV ads in Florida, though it’s unclear how it will help him based on the very localized spend. His campaign is dropping $48,000 on cable ads in West Palm Beach, which will run through Sept. 2.
9 comments
Michael K
August 27, 2024 at 9:45 am
Otho g would be better for our nation than to see the disgraced former president evicted from and and all future attempts to further divide this nation. He’s too old, too erratic, and to selfish, an incapable of telling the truth.
Day 36
August 27, 2024 at 9:48 am
Yet you defended Biden and his age. You, the media, the DNC, his handlers, his VP were all in on it. Suddenly Trump is old. What about the wicked witch from San Francisco? What say you?
JD
August 27, 2024 at 9:54 am
“You, the media, the DNC, his handlers, his VP were all in on it.”
Conspiracy theory much? You believe it was some deep-state design in all that? If the DNC is so disorganized and incompetant as you claim, then how could they have herded that many cats? And if they are not, why do you worry about them running the country?
Pelosi isn’t running for President, now is she? So that’s a conflation.
And is not untrue. Trump is old. And he will be even older by the end of his term.
JD
August 27, 2024 at 9:55 am
…end of his term…. in prison.
Dont Say FLA
August 27, 2024 at 10:06 am
There’s nothing sudden about Trump being elderly. The man spent 80 years doing it.
Wicked witch? What are you getting at? People shouldn’t vote for a woman because she’s a woman and there was once a fictional character in an old movie that was a woman and she was an antagonist? Did you know there were also two female protagonists in that movie? Why not focus on those characters?
A Day without MAGA
August 27, 2024 at 10:53 am
You hate women, probably why you have problems with women,maybe you should try men, because of your man crush of Trump
Dont Say FLA
August 27, 2024 at 10:09 am
Turnip Truck said is was so unfair that VP Harris became the Democrat candidate for President.
Then he said it was so unfair he had to debate her. Then he said he’s unqualified to debate her, so he needs his microphone on at all times so he can attempt to bully her rather than debate her.
And now he says it’s so unfair she doesn’t talk to the lamestream media that he constantly whines is all fake news, so why should he even care?
What a whiner and a crybaby. He didn’t just fall off the turnip truck yesterday. He is the turnip truck.
Michael S
August 27, 2024 at 10:29 am
‘The Real Clear Politics polling average shows a 6.3-point Trump lead, but that number is skewed by a July poll that showed Trump leading Harris by 10 points, with 49% against 39% for the candidate who had yet to establish herself.’
I think more accurate journalism would be to say, the 10 point July Fox poll took place prior to Harris even being an actual candidate. It is the UNF poll that took place the first day Harris became a candidate. Not that Trump doesn’t have the polling lead, but the only 2 polls that took place once Harris was actually out in public as a candidate average out to a 4 point Trump advantage.
Day 36
August 27, 2024 at 11:04 am
One of the reasons I canceled my local paper. They continuously published polls that were for the most part incorrect trying to influence the outcome of elections. Their editorial staff was way out in left field. The paper is a shell of what it once was. Certainly not balanced coverage