A.G. Gancarski
Polls are snapshots in time, goes one of the oldest clichés in politics. And at this point, we have more than one snapshot of a potential photo finish in the Senate race.
Just 3 points separate incumbent Republican Rick Scott and Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, per a Public Policy Polling survey of the state conducted Aug. 21-22 for the Clean and Prosperous Energy PAC.
When Libertarian Feena Bonoan is added to the mix, getting 2% of the vote, Scott leads 46% to 43%, with a pivotal 10% undecided.
Without the spoiler included, Scott leads 48% to 45%, with 7% undecided.
Should Mucarsel-Powell get the bulk of undecided voters, she may have what it takes to overpower the wealthiest man in the Senate, who has proven to be a prodigious self-funder in campaigns in 2010 and 2018, the first times he ran for Governor and Senate, respectively.
However, there are caveats. Not least among them is that Mucarsel-Powell is still a relatively unknown quantity for half the voters. So even though she is above water in terms of favorability, with 29% approval and 20% disapproval, she is still undefined.
Voters also say they aren’t seeing her ads, which were on television leading up to the uncompetitive Democratic Primary last week.
Only 18% say they have spotted her commercials, with 71% saying no and 12% unsure.
Scott is skeptical about polling, as he told Florida Politics earlier this month.
“We’re going to have a big win. If you look at all my races, the polls have generally been way off,” Scott said in Jacksonville. “In all three of my races, polls said I was going to lose … because they’re not accurate.”
Previous polling of a potential race between Mucarsel-Powell and Scott has been all over the place.
The latest survey from Florida Atlantic University’s PolCom Lab shows Scott with a marginal 47% to 43% lead over his Democratic opponent.
Polling from the Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) shows Scott ahead of Mucarsel-Powell by 10 points (52-42%) with 7% of voters undecided.
Other Florida Atlantic University polls showed a 16-point race and a 2-point difference, and a Florida Chamber of Commerce poll showed a 15-point gap earlier this Summer.
17 comments
Yrral
August 27, 2024 at 10:49 am
Harris is doing the right thing about not giving interviews,when you got White reporters doing the White thing , instead of the right thing by not questioning Trump about his past Rape, Racism and Fraud,after the election their should be nothing stopping Black people and other minority and people of different sexual identity from extracting legal retribution against those who are hellbent on transgressing on Liberty Equality and Justice for All
T'Challa
August 29, 2024 at 7:11 pm
Agreed,
the only ones suggesting that Harris-Walz momentum will come to an end are those that want it to come to an end.
Early voting will start soon.
I encourage everyone to check their voter registration because RepubliKKKans are trying to make it harder to vote and easier to cheat.
Make a plan to vote and get others to the polls.
#Souls2ThePolls
Ocean Joe
August 27, 2024 at 11:01 am
Nobody likes him.
But he’ll win because Republicans would rather vote for a thief than a liberal. Florida has stolen Mississippi’s identity.
Dr. Franklin Waters
August 27, 2024 at 10:38 pm
To be fair though, the typical Republican is a moron.
So of course they’ll continue to vote against their own best interests.
T'Challa
August 29, 2024 at 7:13 pm
He doesn’t have to win.
We can mobilze voters to vote for Mucarsel-Powell.
This is a winnable race.
The only thing Scott has on his side is money & money doesn’t vote.
We do.
When we fight, we win.
Michael S
August 27, 2024 at 11:56 am
Powell might have a better chance depending on the Cuban vote this time. It was the Miami Dade Cubans that gave Florida to Trump both prior times Trump ran. If however, it dawns on the Cubans they would not be living in the U.S. if Trump was President when they wanted asylum, then possibly they will vote D. Unless, of course, they otherwise can get Trump to comprehend that ‘asylum’ in this context means ‘escaping political persecution’ rather than ‘being released from mental health confinement’.
Yrral
August 27, 2024 at 12:20 pm
Cuban has a chance to fight,they ran , Cuban are not being repressed more than others country,such as Saudi Arabia,how many people in Cuban have had their head cut by Cuban leaders,they have no intention of going back to Cuba, just be a bunch of wannabe,who fantasize about going back there ,Maybe one day Elian Gonzalez will rule Cuba Google Elian Gonzalez Miami Rescue
T'Challa
August 29, 2024 at 7:15 pm
Let’s not put our eggs in any one basket.
Instead, we need the approach that got Senator Warnock to win 5 elections in Georgia in 2 years.
We’ve got to campaign on Mucarsel-Powell’s behalf in blue counties, purple counties and pink counties.
We’ve got to get the word out to get the vote out.
#Souls2ThePolls
Jojo
September 2, 2024 at 11:01 am
OMG Michael S that was hilarious!
Asylum vs asylum- classic
TOMAS
August 27, 2024 at 3:37 pm
WARNING ⚠️-SOURCRATS, ROTTEN. WHITE HOUSE SEWER RAT 🐁🐀 CROUCHLESS PANTY WEARING THUMB 👍 SUCKER BIDEN CAN’T GET RIGHT, BORDER CZAR JEZEBEL KAMALA HARRIS. THE WORST PRESIDENT IN AMERICA HISTORY ALONG WITH VICE PRESIDENT. HAPPY 😊 DAYS ARE COMING SOON AGAIN. HAVE A TANGERINE 🍊 DAY IN FLORIDA. STAY SAFE AND LOVE 💕 YOUR CHILDREN N ANIMALS. GOD BLESS AMERICA AMEN ♥️🤍💙. ESTE LA VISTA EL GRINGO PATRIOTISMO BLANCO SOLDADO VA MO CON DIOS NO DROGAS O PRISION ADIOS 🚔🐕🦺 Droga-Cumplimiento-Agencia TRUMP ♥️🤍💙 2024. MUCHO GRACIAS POR TU TIEMPO 🤓
Kerry Martineau
August 27, 2024 at 4:33 pm
Typical Trumpkins morons white man ♂️ but I will tell you come November Big Blue Wave 🌊🌊🌊.
Dr. Franklin Waters
August 27, 2024 at 10:39 pm
This is what mental illness looks like.
LT Ryan
August 28, 2024 at 10:35 am
If you can’t see the con, you’re the mark.
rick whitaker
August 28, 2024 at 11:46 am
TOMAS, you do realize you sound like a raving lunatic don’t you?
freediverx
August 28, 2024 at 4:24 pm
A perfect example of a typical Trump voter. Deranged, misinformed, bat shit crazy.
Joan Murdock
August 29, 2024 at 3:42 pm
STFU you ignoramus.
Brian Ielts
August 27, 2024 at 11:20 pm
Wannabe dictator, Putin loving, con artist, woman abusing, ignorant,
moneygrubbing criminal, con artist, disabled veteran hating Trump, YES, 40% of Americans are stupid enough to vote for him again!
Comments are closed.