Another Florida poll shows Kamala Harris within five points of Donald Trump
Image via AP.

Kamala Harris Donald Trump
When undecided leaners are added to the mix, the race is even closer.

New presidential race polling from Emerson College shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in a tight race ahead of the highly anticipated Sept. 10 presidential debate.

Overall, Trump has 50% support, with Harris at 45% in the poll of 815 likely voters conducted Sept. 3-5. The sample is 39% Republican and 32% Democrat, reflecting the GOP registration advantage in the state.

When undecided leaners are added to the mix, the race is even closer still due to Harris’ advantage among the small pool of undecided voters, with Trump ahead by just three percentage points, at 51% to 48%.

A full 89% of respondents say they are locked into their choice.

As might be expected given the rest of the responses, both candidates have essentially equal favorability, with 51% of respondents approving of Trump, and 49% of Harris.

This is the second straight poll to show a five point race.

Trump led 48% to 43% in a Redfield and Wilton survey conducted Aug. 25-28.

These polls are slightly more favorable for Trump than the FiveThirtyEight average, which shows the former President with a 4.7 point lead.

Some other polls are closer: The Public Policy Polling survey of the state, conducted Aug. 21-22 for the Clean and Prosperous Energy PAC, shows Trump leading 51% to 47% overall in a two-person race

A Florida Chamber of Commerce/Cherry Communications poll released last week shows Trump ahead 52% to 45%, in a more Republican leaning survey.

Neither Harris nor running mate Tim Walz have campaigned in the state, but surrogates including DNC Chair Jaime Harrison, former DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman-Schultz, and Florida Democratic Party Chair Nikki Fried were in the state this week making their case for the ticket.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


8 comments

  • Yrral

    September 6, 2024 at 10:44 am

    Si Ella Puede

  • Frank

    September 6, 2024 at 3:11 pm

    Cheating polls. Make others look like a depraved wanton personality. And knock him out of society then call him mentally ill that needs hospitalizations. And force chems down his throat

  • Michael K

    September 6, 2024 at 11:38 pm

    That radical liberal, Dick Cheney, is voting for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz. He joins a growing list of hundreds of prominent Republicans and former Trump officials, who are voting to preserve our Constitution and our democracy.

    Voting for Harris doesn’t automatically make someone a Democrat – just a patriot who wants to help our nation move forward.

  • Maria Ruiz

    September 7, 2024 at 12:00 pm

    Commie-la and Tampon Tim cannot win unless they cheat. No one likes this destroyed economy and Kamala was literally raised by communist professors. Walz is also a communist nut case. Wars, open borders, having to work 3 jobs to survive, no one wants the Democrats.

    • TJC

      September 7, 2024 at 12:20 pm

      Bullshit.

      • Michael K

        September 7, 2024 at 5:39 pm

        Miss Spoke, the Russian paid troll, with another name, but always the same old tired tropes.

    • My Take

      September 7, 2024 at 3:59 pm

      Even if true,* better than fascism.
      Including Trump’s 2025 fascism

      *which of course it is not: GOPers lie.

  • MH/Duuuval

    September 7, 2024 at 4:08 pm

    “Maria Ruiz” is Peachy in drag. Same old saw about KH, as if Peachy could ever get a date with such a babe — either as a man or a women.

Comments are closed.


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