Jacob Ogles
A new poll shows U.S. Sen. Rick Scott as the five-percentage-point leader over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell. However, the incumbent still needs a critical 50% majority to win.
New survey results from Morning Consult show 47% of like voters in Florida intend to support Scott for a second term. By comparison, about 42% plan to support the Democratic nominee.
That puts Scott’s lead outside the poll’s 2-percentage-point margin of error. Pollsters conducted surveys of voters between Aug. 30 and Sept. 8, including responses from 3,187 likely voters in Florida, one of the largest sample sizes of any poll this year.
It also pegged Scott with one of the widest leads he has enjoyed in public polling since Primary voters picked party nominees for the election. An Emerson College poll this week found him with just a one-percentage-point lead.
But every poll taken since the Primary found Scott in the lead, even if most mount him polling under 50%.
The Morning Consult lists some 11% of voters as undecided, and Mucarsel-Powell would need to win over a large number of those voters or convince some who plan to support Scott to abandon the incumbent.
But the poll contributes to a stockpile of data now suggesting Scott won’t enjoy the same cakewalk to re-election as fellow Republican U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio enjoyed when he secured a landslide re-election vote in 2022. Rubio secured a 17-point victory over Democrat Val Demings.
But then, Rubio was seeking a third term and had also won his last election in 2016 by more than seven percentage points.
Scott, a former Governor, has never won a statewide election by more than a percentage point. When he unseated Democratic U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson in 2018, the race was so close it went to a recount, and Scott ultimately won by just over 10,000 votes out of more than 8.1 million cast.
12 comments
Alexa is Biased
September 10, 2024 at 6:02 am
Bye bye Debbie.🤣
JD
September 10, 2024 at 9:16 am
Even if Scott wins, he had to spend a boatload of his own money to do it. I still think people are tired of him, and as the article noted, he barely scrapes by—mainly because people vote R in the gerrymandered districts.
But even if Debbie loses, it’s still a win in a way, given how much Scott had to spend.
Phil Morton
September 10, 2024 at 6:43 am
Same poll has Trump leading Harris by 2. I expect the U.S. Senate race is closer to that. People don’t like Rick Scott and justly so.
Really?
September 10, 2024 at 8:06 am
“Mount” him?!?!
Stephen D
September 10, 2024 at 8:14 am
Keep Florida RED!
JD
September 10, 2024 at 9:18 am
Florida’s going purple again – at best, maybe a very light pink for the authoritarian ideologues.
Enjoy it while it lasts!
Linwood Wright
September 11, 2024 at 12:14 am
Nah.
Zakaria Moko
September 10, 2024 at 8:47 am
Machu Pichu!!!!!!!!🤣
Jane Fonda
September 10, 2024 at 8:50 am
Democrats are idiots!!!!!!!!🤣
Linwood Wright
September 11, 2024 at 12:18 am
Oh Jane, you silly, silly goose. Trump made a fool of himself on the world stage tonight, spouting nonsense about people eating cats, babies being executed, and then rambling about his “concept” of a health care plan. You people are still supporting a guy with oatmeal for brains, and are deluded enough to say Democrats are idiots? ROTFLMAO.
Absolute delusion. When all of this is said and done, you might want to go look into cult deprogramming. You need it.
Dee
September 13, 2024 at 7:53 am
To not admit Trump is old and ohh his rocker is the double standard of the republicans
Dr. Juan Gray
September 10, 2024 at 10:12 am
THE RACE IS NOT OVER YET !!! RICK SCOTT AND GOP DAYS ARE NUMBERED IN FLA. HOLD ON TO YOUR HATS AND SIT. THE “FAT LADY” HAS NOT SUNG. WHEN SHE DOES THE RESULTS WILL BE CLEAR. WOMEN WITH THE ABORTION INITIATIVE ON THE BALLOT WILL SEND A CLEAR, LOUD AND DEFINITIVE ANSWER TO THIS GOP NONSENSE IN THE SUNSHINE STATE.
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