A.G. Gancarski
Republicans are on track to carry Florida in the races for President and Senate.
That’s the takeaway from polling of 1,894 likely voters from Redfield & Wilton, which finds former President Donald Trump and U.S. Sen. Rick Scott ahead of Democratic opponents Vice President Kamala Harris and former U.S. Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell.
Trump, who won the state against Joe Biden by north of 371,000 votes in 2020, leads the Vice President 50% to 45%, a 5-point edge that substantially accords with the polling average, which shows Trump up by 6 points.
The survey was part of swing-state polling regularly conducted by the effort, but there is evidence that Florida still leans Republican here.
For example, Florida was just one of two states polled where JD Vance, Trump’s polarizing vice presidential pick, is above water (+5) in terms of favorability. While Harris’ No. 2, Tim Walz, is marginally more popular (+7), his numbers have declined since the previous survey from Redfield and Wilton.
Florida voters trust Trump more than Harris on policing and crime, the economy, inflation, Ukraine, and immigration.
Given that the state has more than a million more active Republicans than Democrats, it’s not surprising to see GOP candidates in the lead.
The Senate race offers a similar topography. Scott has a 4-point lead over Mucarsel-Powell, with 11% of voters undecided. The current RCP Average for the Senate race has Scott up by 4.3 points, so this poll aligns with the other recent surveys.
In an attempt to close the gap, Mucarsel-Powell has been trying to bait Scott into a debate. She is open to debates on WPBF in West Palm Beach, WFLA in Tampa and WJXT in Jacksonville. Scott isn’t committing to any debates.
15 comments
Cat 5 Hurricane Helene
September 23, 2024 at 2:41 pm
Just saying you trust Desantis on his hurricane policy,I knew 10 days in advance of the Cat 5 that will impacted Florida,it will be at full strength on Friday
The Blue Wave is Coming!!!
September 23, 2024 at 3:34 pm
The blue wave is coming!! Don’t get caught underneath it!
Bobblehead Kammy
September 23, 2024 at 3:46 pm
You are going to be disappointed. 😜
JD
September 23, 2024 at 3:59 pm
While I think there is still a better than 50% chance of it going to red, I don’t think it will be by much. I think it is will be a very light pink, cresting purple. Tides are shifting. It might take to 2026, but the strangle-hold is gone.
Raul Chavez
September 24, 2024 at 12:50 pm
Ahahahahaha blue wave GTFOH all ya’ll commie demoKKKrats ain’t got a chance our latino vote gonna make sure a red wave be comin
MH/Duuuval
September 24, 2024 at 3:16 pm
Nice attempt at an accent Peachy.
Gayta
September 24, 2024 at 11:48 pm
Dude quit with the ra ist tropes. You voting for a man that called your people rapists and murders. What a good friend to have hih?
Bye bye MAGAts
September 23, 2024 at 3:36 pm
Could we be so lucky to get rid of two criminals at once? Well technically we got rid of one years ago but they’re both turds that won’t flush.
Koko
September 24, 2024 at 8:59 am
Wake up Floridians! Scott wants to slash Medicare and Social security to pay for Trump’s Billionaire tax cuts. The Grift, wake up!
rick whitaker
September 24, 2024 at 9:11 am
WAKE UP WHILE YOU STILL CAN
Raul Chavez
September 24, 2024 at 12:51 pm
AMAZING! ‼️ ‼️ https://usajournal.news/2024/09/05/another-dem-trump/
Michael K
September 23, 2024 at 3:49 pm
Yes, there is a single digit that expresses the sentiment toward these two fraudsters.
Marcella Everett
September 24, 2024 at 5:41 am
Time for more blue than just our beautiful beaches!
Phil Morton
September 24, 2024 at 6:25 am
It’s going to be tight, if Early Voting is any indicator. Florida Democrats make up nearly 50% of turnout, so far. Enthusiasm is on our side.
MH/Duuuval
September 25, 2024 at 2:42 pm
And, if by chance DJT and Scott, or either one, goes down to defeat, Florida voters can take all the credit and not the big money folks. Proving, once again, there is only one poll that matters.