A.G. Gancarski
Presidential candidate and short-term McDonald’s fry cook Donald Trump has supersized his lead in polling against Kamala Harris.
And “blurters” are partly why, claims the pollster.
According to a survey of 977 likely voters conducted by the University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL) from Oct. 7 through Oct. 18, the Republican Presidential nominee has one of his biggest leads in any Sunshine State survey, with only a New York Times poll from earlier this month exceeding it.
Trump has 53% support, 10 points ahead of Harris in a statistical rebuke to Democrats who insist that Florida is in play in the presidential race.
And one unconventionally articulate group is driving margin.
“Prior research tells us that the folks who blurt out their candidate vote choice and then hang up are very likely to vote, and most of those ‘blurters’ are Trump supporters. This might help explain why his lead widened to 10 points, up from 7 in our last poll back in July,” says poll director Michael Binder.
In this survey, Trump is stronger with registered Democrats than Harris is with Republicans, a phenomenon that bolsters the former President over the current Veep, along with a GOP active registered voter edge of more than 1.1 million votes.
Trump has 94% of Republicans on lock, +88 over Harris. Meanwhile, Trump takes 8% of Democrats, with Harris only +80 in her own party.
The lopsided top line lends itself to other statistical anomalies in the GOP candidate’s favor.
Trump is up with women, 49% to 48%. He’s up double-digits with Hispanics, 55% to 41%. He leads in all age groups. He’s +24 with people who didn’t vote in 2020.
His canny positioning on Florida’s abortion amendment has also paid off, as he’s rhetorically triangulated, opposing the push for untrammeled abortion rights while criticizing the ban on the procedure after six weeks of pregnancy. He takes 29% of pro-choice voters, just 37 points behind Harris.
Meanwhile, she’s -80 with pro-lifers, eking out just 8% with that conservative cohort.
64 comments
My Take
October 21, 2024 at 5:19 am
I’ll bet he’s well ahead with droolers too.
Bobble head Kammy
October 21, 2024 at 5:26 am
Red Storm Rising. Please wash away Debbie Wasserman-Schultz.
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ARLENE HARRISON
October 21, 2024 at 1:29 pm
OH YEAH! TOO MANY YEARS. ITS TIME FOR THAT UGLY
PERSON ON THE INSIDE AND THE O UTSIDE.!!!
yew oweme
October 21, 2024 at 1:41 pm
ARLENE, blurters are rude, maga is rude, it all makes sense. maga is out of control like a rabid dog.
Billy Rotberg
October 21, 2024 at 4:13 pm
Florida is a red state. Democrats don’t stand a chance.
Be the Republican
October 21, 2024 at 10:25 pm
Be the Republican Trump thought you were back in 2015 and 2016 when he earned 34 of his own convictions while stripping you of your convictions.
A day without Libturds
October 22, 2024 at 10:41 am
Be the democrat whore that you are. Service Willie brown’s member to climb up since there is no other way for you. Nice role model for your daughters libturds! Raise them as ratchets
Ron Ogden
October 21, 2024 at 5:26 am
As the top of the ticket goes, the bottom of the ticket goes. One is forced to wonder if the Florida Democratic Party survives past November.
If you D’s wonder why this disaster is being visited upon you, the answer is simple: as always has been the case, you are enthralled with your own picture, as reflected in the mirror of Manhattan and Washington and Hollywood. Florida needs a strong Democratic Party–without it our two-party system fails. But to be a strong party you have to get rid of this over-intellectualized, confrontational, holier-than-thou, super-technocrat, progressive-ist attitude and get down to talking about real people and real issues. You have to moderate your policies and calm your rhetoric. If you do that, the results will not be immediate, but the Republican Party eventually will come back to center, too, and together we can help solve the really frightening problems that loom for our state and nation.
MHDuuuval
October 21, 2024 at 9:38 am
Rick Scott is “real people and real issues”?
Please, “Fifth Amendment” Moneybags has no idea what the rest of us have to deal with every day.
A day without Libturds
October 21, 2024 at 5:00 pm
Neither do you inflation loving open border scumbags. Stay retarded!
yew oweme
October 21, 2024 at 12:04 pm
RON OGDEN, you couldn’t be any more wrong. you are obviously biased. go vote for trump and shut up with the bull you just spouted.
Desantarded
October 21, 2024 at 1:19 pm
Yeah, real issues like wokeism, and books, and all the other cultural war horseshit.
MHDuuuval
October 21, 2024 at 1:33 pm
The book banners and their cousins the book burners are with us always.
Billy Rotberg
October 21, 2024 at 5:47 pm
No books are banned in Florida. If it’s legal to buy and own, it ain’t banned. Go read the ruling from Nevarro vs 2 live crew.
MHDuuuval
October 22, 2024 at 5:10 pm
That predates DeSantis and his campaign against public school “groomers” and naughty books.
Billy Rotberg
October 21, 2024 at 4:16 pm
Less than 8% of all Florida voters supported their so called assault weapon ban in 2018. They make excuses for inflation. They make excuses for illegal immigration. Democrats are out of touch with reality.
MHDuuuval
October 22, 2024 at 5:14 pm
MAGAs marched like lemmings away from the border deal struck mid-2024 because DJT told them to do so.
The federal assault weapons ban was allowed to expire while W was President with the connivance of MAGAs in training. There are plenty of polls showing a majority of Americans want these weapons of war taken off the streets and restricted to the armories.
If you had kids in school, you might be singing a different tune.
Ocean Joe
October 21, 2024 at 5:34 pm
“…the Republican Party eventually will come back to center, too, and together we can help solve the really frightening problems that loom for our state and nation.”
You really believe that?
There was a time when people complained the parties were just alike. Concensus was reached, we didnt have government shutdowns. Those on the GOP side are now banished as “RINOS” because a lifelong Democratic New York City con man stole your party. You’re not getting it back, especially if he wins.
Think twice
October 21, 2024 at 8:40 am
Floridians willing to vote for a man willing to send the military after his adversaries, deport every brown/black person he sees, shoot drug dealers, sign a national abortion ban, destroy Medicare and Social Security and at this point in time demonstrates his dementia truly think he won’t harm them. Think Twice. They have taken women’s rights to healthcare a dictatorship in America is possible.
ScienceBLVR
October 21, 2024 at 9:13 am
And don’t forget the FL GOP war on teachers and higher education. When you start blaming teachers and schools for the problems of the world you have truly lost sight of reality and reason. Some children spend more consistent quality time with their teachers each day than with their own parents and believe me, we don’t do it for the money- not in this state, anyway. Now we’re groomers? Indoctrinators?
Florida has lost its way..
Bobble head Kammy
October 21, 2024 at 9:24 am
Shouldn’t you be teaching class right now?
yew oweme
October 21, 2024 at 12:11 pm
MAGA MARKIE, shouldn’t you be in school right now? your ignorance screams for more education, listen to it.
Billy Rotberg
October 21, 2024 at 4:54 pm
Florida is ranked #1 in education despite your claims. The groomer label is applicable if you are in favor of R rated material being unrestricted to children without parental consent.
MH/Duuuval
October 22, 2024 at 9:48 pm
#1 rated last year for post-secondary schools but not elementary, middle, and high schools. This year post-secondary schools lost ground except for UCF.
The R rating depends on the rater. If you fear two male penguins raising a young penguin orphan is naughty, then you respond by putting an R on that book.
This won’t at all change the reality that there are multitudes of gay couples raising children. Kids see this and are aware of how this may be different from many families, but it’s the adults who experience moral panic.
If a groomer surfaces — in the schools, churches, playgrounds, social groups — then the state or the organization should be prepared to take action.
It’s not been because of books like “Tango makes three” that school systems, the Boy Scouts, the Catholic Church worldwide, and Southern Baptists are in hot water. It’s because they turned a blind eye to the groomers themselves.
Dee has cleared the public school libraries of most books MAGAs find offensive; the good news is the Deecider doesn’t control public libraries or bookstores.
Bobble head Kammy
October 21, 2024 at 9:27 am
Umm I don’t know where you get your news from. Must be Fakebook. First of all no one is going to take your social security or Medicare. How we pay for it going forward is another question. Secondly, blow the dust off of your Civics textbook. The US Will never be a Fascist or Totalitarian regime.
yew oweme
October 21, 2024 at 12:00 pm
MAGA MARK, this is the dumbest post yet from the low info point of view you put out. you are not qualified to think in such a complex manner these subjects require. the poster you responded to said think twice. they didn’t know you were incapable of thinking clearly, just once, much less twice. dude you need to listen, and not talk. im sure you have been told that many times. your dunning – kruger effect is showing.
Bobble head Kammy
October 21, 2024 at 3:39 pm
I wasn’t addressing you slum lord. You really need to be tested for cognitive decline.
Billy Rotberg
October 21, 2024 at 4:31 pm
Rick is your typical bitter, angry rage driven democrat. Posting nothing but liberal supremacist gibberish running cover for his parties failure like a trash possum defending garbage. If Harris had anything beneficial to offer It would have already been implemented in her current administration.
yew oweme
October 21, 2024 at 5:22 pm
BILLY AND BOBBY, tell me, which one of you is dumb, and which one is dumber? that symbol at the end of my previous question is a question mark. figure the rest of it out.
yew oweme
October 21, 2024 at 5:31 pm
MAGA MARK, i was addressing you, waste of time talking to a low info dude, but yeah, i WAS addressing you.
Billy Rotberg
October 21, 2024 at 5:48 pm
Thanks for proving my claim Rick. Stay angry. It’s your preferred state of mind.
MHDuuuval
October 21, 2024 at 9:46 am
Rick Scott certainly has voiced concerns about Social Security and Medicare when he volunteered to sunset all federal programs, subjecting them to review and revision periodically.
His MAGA allies and GOP posers have wisely kept a lower profile, sitting on their hands as financial problems with these programs loom. Their plan: Once the inevitable crisis occurs, then the possibility of trimming benefits and raising the age of eligibility occur.
The praise for dictators and autocratic leaders by MAGAs in power in the US doesn’t bode well for the future. Here in Florida, we have the Orban model in action with Dee who imagines he should control every action by any level of government in the state — popular referenda notwithstanding — and has no problem getting tax dollars and state employees involved in out-of-state issues.
Billy Rotberg
October 21, 2024 at 4:18 pm
Thank biden for supporting the same thing and for taxing social security benefits.
MHDuuuval
October 22, 2024 at 5:18 pm
Biden is reponsible for taxing SS benefits? How so?
Biden has not supported autocrats with the exception of Netanyahu who was democratically elected but won’t step aside for reasonable fears about being tried and put in jail.
Linwood Wright
October 21, 2024 at 9:51 am
He’s really popular with weirdos. Did y’all see him up there talking about the size of Arnold Palmer’s cOck?
These people are weird as hell.
Tom
October 21, 2024 at 10:54 am
Probably the visual he has while doing his jerkin tudix dance but hey, he spent so much time with Roy Cohn, it probably rubbed off on him. 🙂
yew oweme
October 21, 2024 at 12:07 pm
this post seems to be written by earl shitts.
Audrey Inglesby
October 21, 2024 at 1:03 pm
I question these polls! Must people are like me and we just want Trump to go away. His constant whining, gaslighting and raging are exhausting. He is an old and damaged man who should never be near the Oval office or any position of power. We have an economy now that is “the envy of the world” . Harris/Walz offer even more opportunity and sane leadership. Vote Blue!
MHDuuuval
October 21, 2024 at 1:58 pm
Trump is running ahead in Florida; Scott not so much. Our role in this electoral drama is to knock Scott out of the Senate while other states knock DJT off his perch.
Otherwise, a MAGA Senate will be obstructionist as the MAGA House has been the last two years. The MAGA House has done almost nothing outside of “investigating” Democrats.
Bobblehead Kammy
October 21, 2024 at 5:55 pm
Absolutely hilarious MH. Do tell how the Nancy Pelosi house worked with Trump when he was President. She used her position as Speaker to go after Trump personally. She is a vile and disgusting person. Again, is she the first to tear up the State of The Union Address?
MHDuuuval
October 22, 2024 at 5:21 pm
Don’t make me laugh: Pelosi is now a back bencher on her last term in the House, and you still want to make her her the boogeyman?
Of course, as an adherent of the Trump Daily Line you want to be where your boy is, politically speaking.
Billy Rotberg
October 21, 2024 at 4:26 pm
Thank biden for supporting the same thing and for taxing social security benefits.
yew oweme
October 21, 2024 at 6:29 pm
pelosi is twice the person trump is. she will go down in history as beloved, and trump will go down in history as un-loved. markie, you are lost for not seeing that. low info dudes like you are not likely to catch much truth.
Bobblehead Kammy
October 21, 2024 at 6:38 pm
It is you that is the dumb azz. Old and senile, just like Joe.
yew oweme
October 21, 2024 at 6:44 pm
MAGA MARK, are you dumb, or is billy rotberg dumb? which one of you is dumber?
Bobblehead Kammy
October 21, 2024 at 8:49 pm
Anyone that thinks Pelosi is beloved and that Jimmy Carter was a better president than Ronald Reagan needs their head examined. Dude.
MHDuuuval
October 22, 2024 at 5:23 pm
Folks in the South who hate and hated Jimmy Carter were mostly fans of George Wallace, he of the “segregation today, tomorrow and forever” ilk.
Is this you, Peachy?
Billy Rotberg
October 22, 2024 at 10:55 am
I built a huge castle in Rick’s head. .Rent free living. Every day he or whatever gender it is cries about me while it posts it’s liberal supremacist gibberish. Quite the clown show!
Rick and Zed's gay man sex emporium
October 22, 2024 at 10:58 am
Nobody owes you anything. Go get a sponsor, a job and move out of the homeless shelter.
Rick and Zed's gay man sex emporium
October 22, 2024 at 11:05 am
Ricki is into the free stuff his idiot masters promise. Nobody owes him anything.
HE's BACK: EARL PITTS AMERICAN
October 21, 2024 at 7:21 pm
Good evening Earl’s Besty Leftys,
Stay away from You Tube because so many of your Hollywood A Listers are trashing and thrashing Ya Girl Scrumpy Rumpy Kamalla there.
As you know I, EARL PITTS AMERICAN, love my Besty Leftys and just know you will mostly go insaine if you see such things you will never be able to process the “Sage Truth” with your “Pea Brains.”
Thank you to all my, EARL PITTS AMERICAN’s Besty Leftys,
EARL PITTS AMERICAN
HE's BACK: EARL PITTS AMERICAN
October 21, 2024 at 7:50 pm
I know what you, my Besty Leftys, are thinking and no – Tay Tay has not come out on You Tube against Scrumpy Rumpy Kammie yet. But experts predict its just a matter of time for Tay Tay.
AT THIS TIME:
The only ones of my Besty Leftys which I authorise to go to YouTube are OJ, The Silly Wabbit, and Yew OweMe [FKA Rick Whittaker] all my other Besty Leftys are not allowed on YouTube until I can come up with a support group to keep you from totally mentally melting down.
REMEMBER STAY OFF YOUTUBE,
EARL PITTS AMERICAN
34 Convictions
October 21, 2024 at 10:27 pm
Trump has 34 convictions, so far, while his voters have no convictions.
Trump morally bankrupted nearly half of U.S. Americans, and they’re fine with that.
All The Trump Yard Signs Are Where Nobody's Ever Seen Them Before
October 22, 2024 at 8:01 am
Is it just me or is there not even ONE Trump yard sign in any yard that had a Trump yard sign in 2016 or 2020?
At least some U.S. Americans do evidently still understand “fool me twice, shame on me.”
Too bad there’s a new batch of folks to be fooled being born every day.
A day without Libturds
October 22, 2024 at 10:51 am
Yes, the dumb fuc juice drinkers are you libturds.
Dont Say FLA
October 22, 2024 at 8:42 am
Turnip J Truck is so desperate that he pretended to work at a McDonalds.
Because Kamala Harris really did work at a McDonalds.
Turnip might be actor and most all his supporters did just fall off his truck, but still, that is pretty darned desperate, PRETENDING to work at McDonald’s.
How would you like to be that drive-thru customer, knowing the Secret Service had you centered in two (or more) sniper rifle reticles when all you wanted was a Pepsi?
If you moved your hand funny you would have got shot just so Turnip J Truck could self-promote himself at a drive-thru window by pretending to be the drive thru worker. It’s a liot like back when he pretended to be his own agent, his own assistant, his own secretary, etc, etc, lol, what a chump, except pretending to be the McDonald’s drive thru worker is even more pathetic.
Well, at least he’s qualified for McDonald’s in this one weird way: Turnip J Truck is the biggest clown in town!
A day without Libturds
October 22, 2024 at 10:50 am
Die mad
MHDuuuval
October 22, 2024 at 5:25 pm
Trump should have had on a hair net and gloves, but he was too vain to follow the rules of the state department of health.
Those were some nasty fries.
Ron Forrest Ron
October 22, 2024 at 9:55 am
Obama’s birth certificate didn’t say Africa, but Elon’s does.
And Elon owns the MAGA party and formerly influential social media company Ex-Twitter.
Trump’s okay with Elon Musk actually being born over there, but not with Obama being born over three, and Obama wasn’t even born over there. Why?
A day without Libturds
October 22, 2024 at 12:28 pm
Libturd Whataboutism
Joe
October 22, 2024 at 2:17 pm
You sound smart.
MHDuuuval
October 22, 2024 at 6:45 pm
Cro Magnon Peachy.
Joe
October 22, 2024 at 2:16 pm
“He’s +24 with people who didn’t vote in 2020.”
Literally zero percent chance that statistic is accurate.
Comments are closed.