A.G. Gancarski
Yet another late poll of the Sunshine State, this one released as early voting is underway in many counties, suggests it’s too late for Kamala Harris to make a play for Florida’s electoral votes.
The Emerson College survey finds Donald Trump up 52% to 44%, with 3% undecided and 1% voting for someone else.
When undecided voters are compelled to pick one, the numbers change but the story doesn’t; Trump’s lead there is 54% to 46%.
The former President is more than holding his own across the gender gap that has been a primary narrative in many polls of this race, explaining his overall lead.
“Female voters in Florida break for Trump, 49% to 47%, making Florida the second competitive state, after Arizona, to find Trump with an edge among women,” said Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling.
Democrats have messaged heavily around reproductive rights and have charged Trump with picking Supreme Court Justices who ended Roe v. Wade and laid the groundwork for laws like Florida’s Heartbeat Protection Act, but seemingly to no avail against Teflon Don.
The former President’s outreach to Latino communities, such as during this week’s roundtable event in Doral, also works in his favor, as he maintains functional parity with voters Republicans have faced challenges with in past cycles.
“Other key groups in Florida such as Hispanic voters, who — like women, broke for Biden in 2020, are split: 48% support Harris and 47% Trump.”
The poll of 860 likely voters, conducted Oct. 18 through Oct. 20, assumes a strong Republican advantage, with 39% of respondents being Republicans, 31% Democrats, and 30% unaligned with the major parties. It is in line with the average poll of the Trump-Harris contest, which shows Trump up also by 8 points.
44 comments
Shame
October 23, 2024 at 8:00 am
Shame on every single one of you voting for Trump.
Bobble head Kammy
October 23, 2024 at 8:06 am
Kammy getting exposed for the phony that she is. No wonder she was the first to drop out of the Demo primary four years ago. The coup by Pelosi and the Demo leadership is failing right before our eyes. The last four years have been a complete failure. The border, the economy, world affairs and on. People simply want change. Trump might actually win this thing.
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October 23, 2024 at 11:45 am
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MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 2:43 pm
People want change if it is for the better, but Trump will be good only for the extremes of wealth and ideology.
Billy Rotberg
October 23, 2024 at 11:29 am
There is no unity or joy within democrats. Its either your way or the highway. So anti democratic. Thanks for proving how petty you folks are.
Fred
October 23, 2024 at 4:36 pm
800 million is going to Ukraine. How much more is the Democrats’ giving away. Shame on the Democrats’. Don’t like paying for sex changes for criminals either. Late term abortion where the head is coming out. That’s murder. Harris is a vote for Satin!!
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 5:53 pm
Since the war began, the U.S. has provided Ukraine with $175 billion through April 2024.
— Council on Foreign Affairs
Jojo
October 23, 2024 at 8:05 am
Never in my long life have I listened to a person in which every single hateful juvenile attack on another is a mirror reflection of who he is.
Shame on you indeed for casting a vote for this wanna be fascist dictator.
And in case you’re not paying attention to history , fascists eventually come after what is dear to you.
Bobble head Kammy
October 23, 2024 at 8:09 am
Stop with the Fascism BS. That is a nothing more than a zombie media sound bite. Ask yourself this, why has Kammy had a 90% turnover on her staff? We are all seeing why right before our eyes. Word salad and just plain ol stupidity.
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 9:53 am
The South is familiar with fascism: The Solid South Democrats were fascists.
Billy Rotberg
October 23, 2024 at 11:05 am
You Democrats are literally pushing 30s Germany gun control. That makes YOU the fascists.
Billy Rotberg
October 23, 2024 at 11:31 am
Democrats are literally pushing 30s Germany gun control. That makes YOU the Fascists. Get a clue.
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 1:52 pm
What is your source for this ridiculous assertion?
“The idea that supporters of gun control are doing something akin to what Hitler’s Germany did to strip citizens of guns in the run-up to the Second World War is historically inaccurate and offensive, especially to Holocaust survivors and their families.”
Abraham H. Foxman, Holocaust survivor and ADL’S national director in 2013
Tom
October 23, 2024 at 3:03 pm
They just keep repeating the same stupid things regardless of whether they make any sense or not which I’d say that was more akin to 30’s Germany propaganda than some stupid crap about guns. The funny (not really) thing is that if he wins, we all lose regardless if you’re a trump fanboi or not.
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 5:55 pm
Trump voters often appear deranged and there will be some psychic benefit to them if he wins, as there was in 2016.
Michael K
October 23, 2024 at 8:09 am
John Kelly, a retired Marine general, and the longest serving chief of staff in the Trump administration, and head of Homeland Security uder Trunp:
“He said that, in his opinion, Mr. Trump met the definition of a fascist, would govern like a dictator if allowed, and had no understanding of the Constitution or the concept of rule of law.”
He discussed and confirmed previous reports that Mr. Trump had made admiring statements about Hitler, had expressed contempt for disabled veterans and had characterized those who died on the battlefield for the United States as “losers” and “suckers” — comments first reported in 2020 by The Atlantic.
Michael K
October 23, 2024 at 8:13 am
From the NYT interview:
Kelly said that based on his experience, Trump met the definition of a “fascist.”
In response to a question about whether he thought Mr. Trump was a fascist, Mr. Kelly first read aloud a definition of fascism that he had found online.
“Well, looking at the definition of fascism: It’s a far-right authoritarian, ultranationalist political ideology and movement characterized by a dictatorial leader, centralized autocracy, militarism, forcible suppression of opposition, belief in a natural social hierarchy,” he said.
Mr. Trump’s recent comments about using the military against what he called the “enemy within” were so dangerous, he said, that he felt he had to speak out.
“And I think this issue of using the military on — to go after — American citizens is one of those things I think is a very, very bad thing — even to say it for political purposes to get elected — I think it’s a very, very bad thing, let alone actually doing it,” Mr. Kelly said.
Mr. Kelly said that Mr. Trump was repeatedly told dating back to his first year in office why he should not use the U.S. military against Americans and the limits on his authority to do so. Mr. Trump nevertheless continued while in office to push the issue and claim that he did have the authority to take such actions, Mr. Kelly said.
Billy Rotberg
October 23, 2024 at 11:32 am
Worst “Fascist” ever. Dictators need gun control to be effective. The same gun control democrats crave.
Bobblehead Kammy
October 23, 2024 at 8:24 am
When was the last Fascist Government? As Jrral says, google it. It won’t happen here. This is the new Demo buzz word after abortion. It is all you have with a rapidly fading Kammy. Looks like the giggling party girl is running out of gas and the old man is running circles around her.
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 9:58 am
Deep South state and local governments from 1890s until the 1960s were fascist. Not that you would admit it since George Wallace remains an icon for you.
Bobble head Kammy
October 23, 2024 at 10:03 am
I thought we were talking about country leaders. What’s next MH, city mayors, county commissioners, etc? Oh and no George Wallace is no hero of mine. Louis Farrakhan is. 🤣
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 2:02 pm
George Wallace became a national figure and played important roles in two Presidential campaigns, drawing a large number of votes from throughout the country.
The reason you claim to like Farrakhan is he was a separatist or Black nationalist, which is the flip side of white nationalism or white supremacy.
Bobblehead Kammy
October 23, 2024 at 3:16 pm
You have no sense of humor at all.
Billy Rotberg
October 23, 2024 at 11:15 am
You went really far into left field with that desperate nonsense. Your lack of understanding and flagrant usage of the word fascism only tarnishes the legacy of those who were affected by it.
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 2:19 pm
See Mr. Foxman’s comment above.
MH/Duuuval
October 24, 2024 at 10:17 am
“The idea that supporters of gun control are doing something akin to what Hitler’s Germany did to strip citizens of guns in the run-up to the Second World War is historically inaccurate and offensive, especially to Holocaust survivors and their families.”
Abraham H. Foxman, Holocaust survivor and ADL’S national director in 2013
Billy Rotberg
October 23, 2024 at 11:35 am
There are many words that democrats sling around that they don’t know the meaning of. Fascist is one. Others include: assault weapon, woman, unity, joy, common-sense.
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 1:59 pm
Ask any African American vet of WWII who lived in the South before the 1960s — or any intellectually honest white person — and they’ll tell you the white racists in the South were little different from the Nazis in Germany or the fascists in Italy.
In fact, when the Nazis began to compile their race laws in the late 1930s, they looked to Jim Crow laws in the South as a major source of their own prohibitions and discrimination against Jews.
Go ahead, prove me wrong.
Michael K
October 23, 2024 at 8:31 am
A distinguished Marine general and high-ranking administration member is publicly speaking the truth about the the former president he served under. Just like half of the former president’s cabinet members.
Bobblehead Kammy
October 23, 2024 at 8:41 am
There are two sides to every story. You probably aren’t interested in Trump’s.
A Day without Trump Corruption
October 23, 2024 at 1:44 pm
Their only one side to Trump, Corrupt
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 5:57 pm
Or, transactional. He’ll get what you want from the government, if you give him money or favors.
Less-than-billonaires get little play.
Bobblehead Kammy
October 23, 2024 at 9:01 am
Yes he is but he still got fired or resigned. For comparison purposes how many generals were fired for that piss poor performance on the Afghanistan withdrawal debacle?
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 9:55 am
Still singing the Benghazi blues.
Bobble head Kammy
October 23, 2024 at 9:58 am
No. I’m talking about Afghanistan and the horrible planning and execution. You gonna ignore that debacle as well?
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Trump told the Taliban the US would be out of Afghanistan in the spring. That was the basis for the deal Trump cut with the Taliban, completely ignoring the elected government. ISIS, a Sunni enemy of the Taliban, were responsible for the act of terror as the US withdrew.
Like Benghazi, you want to make something of the losses during withdrawal while ignoring the role the GOP played in creating the situation in Afghanistan and Iraq. Both of these debacles were created by W who you supported.
Billy Rotberg
October 23, 2024 at 11:38 am
Still pushing your liberal supremacist propaganda!
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 2:11 pm
Not the white supremacy and elitism you and Peachy are ladling, for sure.
A Day without MAGA
October 23, 2024 at 1:45 pm
How many Americans soldiers have died in Afghanistan ,we should of never been in Nam either
Billy Rotberg
October 23, 2024 at 11:41 am
Wow democrats! Your candidate is horrible. Being so far behind in the polls against a convicted felon. Just face it: Harris is a disaster.
Bobblehead Kammy
October 23, 2024 at 12:00 pm
She is a bad candidate. This might blow up on Pelosi’s coup. Kammy was picked for VP by Joe Biden for one reason only. The American people might not be ready to vote in the most liberal US Senator as President. Of course she is flip flopping now like good ol Charlie Crist.
A Day without MAGA
October 23, 2024 at 1:48 pm
Harris is doing well, getting half the the White voters
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 2:14 pm
And way more than half of all female voters, which is why the patriarchal Babbleheads are running scared.
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 2:15 pm
What polls show either candidate ahead at this point?