A.G. Gancarski
U.S. Sen. Rick Scott isn’t known for blowout victories, and a new poll suggests the Republican is headed toward another nail-biter against a Democratic opponent in 13 days.
In polling of 860 likely voters conducted by Emerson College between Oct. 18 and Oct. 20, the Naples legislator leads former U.S. Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell 48% to 44%, with 8% of voters undecided.
When those undecided voters are compelled to choose, it’s bad news for the challenger, as Scott’s lead expands to 6 points.
These numbers accord with the average of surveys in this race, in which Scott is up by 5 points.
Though Scott and Gov. Ron DeSantis, who is above water with 51% approval in the survey, don’t necessarily vibe, there is a strong correlation between a favorable impression of the current Governor and where voters go in the Senate race.
Pollsters found 90% of those who like DeSantis say they are voting for Scott, while 82% of those down on the Governor are backing the Democrat in the Senate race.
Similarly, 94% of Scott voters are supporting Donald Trump atop the ticket, while 93% of Mucarsel-Powell voters are backing Kamala Harris, suggesting further that intraparty affinity prevails.
Mucarsel-Powell does lead with independent voters, taking 52% of the sample, but it’s not enough to make up for the R+7 model of the electorate Emerson uses here, one that reflects GOP party registration gains in recent years.
She also leads with people who already voted by mail when they were polled, taking 62% of that group. However, this survey was in the field before in-person early voting began anywhere in the state.
14 comments
Bobble head Kammy
October 23, 2024 at 9:28 am
Fake polls won’t help Debbie. She is done.
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October 23, 2024 at 9:40 am
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Billy Rotberg
October 23, 2024 at 9:51 am
It’s not that Scott is a good candidate. What it’s really about is control of the senate. He won in 2018 because Bill Nelson was far worse. Little Debbie just as bad.
Ocean Joe
October 23, 2024 at 10:08 am
Again, nobody has anything nice to say about Scott, and with 4.5 million Republicans in Florida, this is who you stick Florida with again.
Bobble head Kammy
October 23, 2024 at 10:38 am
Then there is Joe Biden. Six terms as US Senator from Delaware. Are you kidding me? Elizabeth Warren, Chuckie Schumer. Let’s not forget the product of the Pelosi coup Kammy Harris. 🤣
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 2:41 pm
You identify with the economic elite, which is why you can’t appreciate Warren or Biden.
A Day without GOP
October 24, 2024 at 1:27 pm
Bill Nelson did not steal billion of dollars from Medicare,this is the end of the GOP after Trump is defeated Google Rick Scott Medicare Fraudster
nail
October 24, 2024 at 7:06 am
I’m glad you like Scott because your not going to have social security in 6 years..Then we can get rid or they will die all the MAGATs..But they are stupid as trump said, he just didn’t tell us they were demented like him.
Cat 5 Patty
October 24, 2024 at 10:06 am
You better review your insurance policy, before Cat 5 Patty visit you on election day
Joe
October 23, 2024 at 10:34 am
Synonyms: Skeletor, the Crypt Keeper, FLA RepubliQan elected official.
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2024 at 1:44 pm
Retired Marine Corps. General Kelly added that “in his opinion, Mr. Trump met the definition of a fascist, would govern like a dictator if allowed, and had no understanding of the Constitution or the concept of rule of law.”
The fact that some US vets embrace DJT is no different than the US vets who supported the KKK or the German WWI vets who supported Hitler. Or Charles Lindbergh, the famous aviator, who embraced the American Bund on the cusp of WWII.
nail
October 24, 2024 at 7:16 am
1st big vote in FL yesterday…The Miami Dade beat out the Proud Boys who DeFASCIST sent to torment voters but the Dems won. Won not by 50, 60, 70, or even 80%….83% voted to say F you DeFASCIST and your friggin red hated MAGAtards…..we have a union and go suck on it…
They vowed that this will be the end of the stupid party in FL..MAGATs can get the hell out or DeFACIST will be on a bender to find another disease to kill off the rest of the stupid.
The historians voting that this year they will as a subscript for what each president was known for..trump will always be the last because their will never be a RAPIST or a over 100 felony charged president ever again, but they settled on trump description:
PRESIDENT TO THE STUPIDEST PEOPLE IN THE UNITED STATES
so apropos! they couldn’t have done better!
nail
October 24, 2024 at 7:57 am
Scott is done this year… The MAGAts want to end Social Security and they thought it was a joke, President Harris has a way they can get their dreams of ending SS and a way to do it for them.
.Anyone who votes for trump or Scott is getting their SS checks pulled the first of Jan… If they show their voter ID cards and it says MAGAT you get you SS checks pulled!!! if it says Dem, don’t worry you will continue to have it..this will ensure that we have SS for another 25.8 years because their are more MAGATS than Dems on SS..
A very simple solution to a not so complex problem.