Jacob Ogles
Republican Randy Fine holds the edge ahead of a Special Election for Congress. But his lead over Democrat Josh Weil falls within the poll’s margin of error despite the heavy GOP tilt of Florida’s 6th Congressional District.
That’s according to a survey done for Florida Politics by St. Pete Polls ahead of the Tuesday Special Election to succeed former U.S. Rep. Mike Waltz.
The results show Fine winning just over 48% of the vote, while Weil received just over 44%.
The poll of 403 likely voters in CD 6 was conducted on March 22. Pollsters report a 4.9% margin of error, greater than Fine’s lead.
And among those polled who said they already voted, more than half supported the Democrat. Weil leads 51% to 43% among those whose decision has already been made via a mail-in ballot or in-person early voting. According to the survey, about 38% of likely voters have already cast their ballots in the race.
That means Fine will have to make up the difference with those who vote between now and the close of polls on Tuesday at 7 p.m. if he intends to move into Congress. He definitely hopes for that, having already submitted an irrevocable resignation letter from the Florida Senate to run.
But Weil has massively outraised Fine. As of reports on fundraising through March 12, Weil had $1.3 million in cash on hand for the race’s final stretch, while Fine had just $93,000.
Democrats hope to capitalize on outrage at President Donald Trump. Indeed, while Trump won CD 6 by double digits in November and Waltz won re-election with 66.5% of the vote, less than 51% of voters in the district approve of the job Trump is doing as President. Trump is still above water in the district, with 45% disapproving. However, Fine underperforms Trump’s approval ratings in the poll.
According to the poll, voters without party affiliation are voting heavily for Weil, with 57% of those polled intending to back the Democrat and 34% supporting Fine. Meanwhile, about 14% of voters in the district are supporting Weil, while Fine is winning over just 9% of Democrats.
93 comments
Mark Doe
March 26, 2025 at 4:24 am
ok
EARL PITTS AMERICAN
March 26, 2025 at 6:47 am
WAKE UP FLORIDA REPUBLICANS:
Why are all Republicans sleeping on the facts (as exposed in previous knowledge drops of Sage Earl Wisdom) that CD6 & several Florida Districts Democrats are funded by George Soros money?
As you, one & all, know theres no way a Demoncrat could ever, ever ever ever, out fund raise Sage Republican Candidates in The Free State of Florida without a Massive infusion of George Soros Money.
THAT BEING SAID:
The only reason which I, EARL PITTS AMERICAN, can thìnk of for Florida Republicans to sleep on Earl’s Sage Wisdon, is that they have dimunitive tiny peanuts rather than having been blessed with Sage Bull of the Woods Low-Hanging Gonads such as me, EARL PITTS AMERICAN.
WAKE UP FLORIDA REPUBLICANS:
EARL PITTS AMERICAN [AKA AMERICA’S POLITICAL BULL OF THE WOODS]
epa
okay then
March 26, 2025 at 12:43 pm
HILLARY CLINTON IS HIDING UNDER YOUR SINK!!!! Run! Run for your Lives!
Pat Riot
March 27, 2025 at 9:44 am
Free lard!
Kathy Osborne
March 26, 2025 at 4:15 pm
Florida …. You can be the hero in stopping the dictatorship and adding Balls back to the congress, we all know the Republicans in congress have lost theirs to Musk and Trump and we need some to preserve our constitution and peace. Such a big part of Florida are retirees who are losing their savings and threats to their social security, Medicare and Medicaid. Be a hero Florida vote blue just this once, be a leader and flip.
Beverly J Nickell
March 28, 2025 at 4:03 am
The majority of Americans have awakened and finally realize the lies from the media. We also finally understand the tactics the democrats have been using. Guilt & shaming Americans by saying we were born racist! That Americans are inferior to European and other countries. That everything the Republicans say is a conspiracy theory. That if we practice & value our religious principles, we are radical right wingers. That it is not possible Biden had dementia. Americans be proud of that we have supported the poor, disabled black & brown folks to all be treated fairly. That America is a fantastic country to live in! Vote to protect our children. Vote to protect them from the exposure of sex and other adult issues. To protect our children from the terrorists allowed into our country.
Dylan
March 28, 2025 at 1:52 pm
Says notable terrorist ‘Beverly J Nickell.’
The average American has literally never talked to anyone outside the nation. Theres 8 billion other humans in the world, and let me be the first to tell you, no one believes what you are saying, and you said it yourself, you’re a radical religious conspiracist.
Noneof Yourbusiness
March 28, 2025 at 6:12 am
Trying to scare retirees with your lies! Nobody is getting their social security cut. My 84 year old mother still gets hers every month! So stop with your lies. There’s lots of ‘“bad actors” who are stealing from us. You Democrats should support DOGE. Imagine how much money each tax payer could be saving. Stop crying and wake up!
enhancedvibes
March 28, 2025 at 9:03 am
You have no clue what DOGE is doing lol, but it’s not gonna save any money. All it’s doing is illegally firing civil service workers. You all believe complete nonsense because of the news you consume. The comments on this article sound crazy lol.
Nurse Nancy
March 28, 2025 at 5:48 pm
Check your 401k.
Eli
March 26, 2025 at 6:16 pm
Republicans are destorying America and have no brain, so why would you vote for him, Even worse they are destorying Florida where you live.
Bill
March 26, 2025 at 10:44 pm
he said George soros! everybody drink
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 12:23 am
Listen up fellow MAGAs, If you want the post office w US Mail, Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, medical research, disease treatments, veteran support and care, and national security of classified information, vote for Weil. I am tired of the unelected chainsaw hack saw sidekick directing the puerile felon’s actions.
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 12:28 am
Infirmed (not informed….ai is failing us) NN
Pat Riot
March 27, 2025 at 9:37 am
If you’re a “fellow MAGA” I’m George Soros.
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 4:56 pm
Huh?
George
March 27, 2025 at 6:48 am
Based on what Republicans say, it appears that Soros is a trillionaire.
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 7:18 pm
Who cares? Check out the chainsaw hack sidekick who got his wealth from the US Government and its taxpayers.
Nurse 4ever
March 28, 2025 at 4:12 am
You sound like a luney NN. Elon Musk is uncovering government waste fraud & abuse. Finally what was said would be done IS being done! You want to keep going in the same direction? This country was truly going to HELL.
Nurse Nancy
March 28, 2025 at 5:52 pm
Please check your 401k and retirement plan, if any. Losing fast due to adverse policies by the aged, angry, cruel, puerile, demented, confused, lying felon and his chainsaw sidekick. Weil is needed to oppose the strongmen billionaires. NN
Vote Blue
March 28, 2025 at 7:16 pm
This country is going to hell now with the devil in the White House.
What happened to lowering gasoline, lowering groceries, no tax o. social security? None of that has happened!!
Renewal
March 27, 2025 at 3:04 pm
Blah, blah, blah, Soros money, Biden, Hilary’s server. Felon 47 and felon Musty is destroying this country in plain sight.
David
March 27, 2025 at 8:49 pm
Oh yeah, and Biden and the demonutjobs were doing such a great job!
Dylan
March 28, 2025 at 1:55 pm
No, but god forbid Americans have ideological beliefs that lie outside the two party system. Politics is just a game to all you people, but real people are affected by your bullshit.
enhancedvibes
March 28, 2025 at 9:02 am
Who cares where the money is coming from lol. Republicans only like PACs when they’re helping their own candidates? You people sound ridiculous.
Dylan
March 28, 2025 at 1:50 pm
You people think politics is game. The people of Florida deserve the right to elect their officials who they deem will best benefit their needs as constituents. You’re probably a bot anyways. Quit listening to podcasts and go to talk to real people, most of them will probably avoid you though so be careful.
Walter Hoaglun
March 28, 2025 at 6:29 pm
Too much money in politics. How much did musk spend to get trump elected.
Mimi Vanderberg-Mustardseed
March 26, 2025 at 7:09 am
Weil winning is nothing but a liberal wet dream. A Dem poll promoted by a Dem website (FP). You are embarrassing yourselves fawning over this child-abusing teacher who doesn’t have a chance against the brilliant, and dishy, Randy Fine, in a heavily R district.
EARL PITTS AMERICAN
March 26, 2025 at 7:28 am
Thank you, Beautiful Mimi,
Earl is in love with you,
MAGA, EARL PITTS AMERICAN
Clearly doesn’t know him
March 26, 2025 at 7:53 am
Ha – brilliant and dishy! What a hoot!
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 12:26 am
Hi Mimi, these are serious matters. The elderly, veterans, and informed are at high risk…because… If you want the post office w US Mail, Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, medical research, disease treatments, veteran support and care, and national security of classified information, vote for Weil. I am tired of the unelected chainsaw hack saw sidekick directing the puerile felon’s actions. thanks
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 12:37 am
Typo~ Infirmed (not informed….ai is failing us) NN
Mustardseed of Truth
March 28, 2025 at 11:41 pm
“Brilliant and dishy”….. Mimi, are YOU Randy Fine?
tom palmer
March 26, 2025 at 9:33 am
It would be great to get that putz Fine out of politics. but we’ll see.
Walter Hoaglun
March 28, 2025 at 6:31 pm
One can only vote and support.
Vote Blue
March 28, 2025 at 7:18 pm
I hope he loses and it will be a win for Florida!
Ocean Joe
March 26, 2025 at 9:52 am
Fine is grotesque, thankfully Desantis didnt ruin FAU by making him president. He will be Florida’s Marjorie Taylor Green in congress. Hate to see the Democrat waste all that money, in a district that he can’t win.
Randolph
March 26, 2025 at 11:36 am
Volusia election::
There are no REPUBLICAN poll watchers at Volusia only Democrats
Mary Jane Greene
March 26, 2025 at 11:56 am
Oh the panic! No one is voting REd or Blue! We are voting to save our Democracy, Medicare, Medicaid, VA etc. Real people are voting their rage! Get used to checks and balances reasserting itself as it often does when one side overreaches! A Blue vote is simply a protest vote!
EARL PITTS AMERICAN
March 26, 2025 at 2:53 pm
The rest of the United States is laughing at how messed up FL has become.
Renewal
March 27, 2025 at 3:10 pm
MAGAts like you are responsible for Florida’s decline.
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 5:34 pm
Fl 06 could save life as we know it in the USA.
Richard David Robinson
March 26, 2025 at 3:13 pm
I’m 67. My wife is 72. I’m scared to death that Fine, Trump, and Musk are going to disappear my Social Security like they disappeared legal Americans to El Salvador without due process. Of course, nothing to worry about giving away the intelligence crown jewels to Russia over Signal (severe snark!)
Susan Baty
March 26, 2025 at 8:02 pm
They are not “disappearing” your Social Security! If you are retired they don’t even want to tax it ! What Trump is doing is expelling illegal immigrants that are criminals and you know that! The Democratic bought judge has stopped him with an illegal temporary injunction. It WILL be thrown out! And as far as Russia is concerned, you don’t understand how negotiations work… I’m sick of you people lying, and what’s worse people believing your lies. Have you ever heard the phrase, Keep your friends close and your enemies closer? You can’t negotiate with enemies unless you are able to have talks with them!! If you alienate yourself, nothing happens! Please stop making comments that are NOT true!!
Bill
March 26, 2025 at 10:51 pm
Donny’s boys have effectively defunded Medicare and DOGE is laying off 7000 people from SS office. This will make it even harder to get get assistance if you need it. Donny said many times he’s not touching medicare then the first spending bill effectively defunds it. So if he lied on medicare, why do you think he’s telling the truth on Social security…
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 12:36 am
My fellow MAGAs: It is happening before our eyes. We will all be compromised by the upcoming planned deficiencies of mail delivery, Medicare, Social Security, Medicaid, veteran care, health care, and the recent national security breach, as the billionaires directing the felon enrich themselves. Please wake up before it is too late by voting for Weil. Thank you all.
Kathy Ng
March 27, 2025 at 2:30 am
Musk said social security is a ponzi scheme so they are definitely taking away your social security. I mailed a package that normally takes 5 days to deliver and it took over two weeks so i am certain they are messing with the post office to sell it to the highest bidder. Save yourselves and vote for the democratic party.
Michelle
March 27, 2025 at 4:56 am
They are entitled to their opinion. I am tired of people trying to shove their beliefs on me. I am a republican and I don’t like what the administration is doing. I will be voting for anyone who is against that. No matter what side of the isle they are on.
George
March 27, 2025 at 6:52 am
How do you know they are criminals. Just because Trump says so. That is why we have courts. How would you like it if Trump sends you to El Salvador because he says you cheated on tax or did some horrible crime. Letting one man decide if you are guilty or not is the perfect example of a dictator
Beverly J Nickell
March 28, 2025 at 4:29 am
You think Trump decided they are criminals? Come on. I am sure these people have been a problem and well known in the police circles
Nurse Nancy
March 28, 2025 at 6:27 pm
Wrong!
Len Ison
March 27, 2025 at 4:51 pm
Your comments are so out of touch with reality!!!
Nurse Joan
March 28, 2025 at 4:22 am
Well said Susan! I agree! The democrat party is no longer recognizable. Its the potty mouth party. And they think they can continue to gaslight Americans. The gig is up. Main steam American is wise. Susan those lies are gaslighting…
Nurse Nancy
March 28, 2025 at 5:58 pm
If you want mail delivery, town halls, Medicare, Medicaid, veterans’ support, Social Security, medical research, clean water, weather forecasts, and other standards of our lives, vote for Weil, who will defend these.
And btw, do you think the sky is green? Just wonderin. NN
Vote Blue
March 28, 2025 at 7:24 pm
Susan, tell that to the hundreds of people whose checks have stopped because Musk and his minions said the person was dead. Several of those people do not other income to rely on for food and housing! Social security is not a scheme. I paid into mine and I’m entitled to draw upon it. You can give your check to Musk if you like
That Guy
March 28, 2025 at 8:12 pm
Tell me why the Trump Administration is withholding any information of those who were sent to El Salvador. It sure looks like they are hiding something. They have no charges here or in El Salvador because they have no court dates. And Nayib Bukele has said no one will “walk” out of that prison ever. Can you explain?
That Guy
March 28, 2025 at 8:14 pm
This question is for Susan
That Guy
March 28, 2025 at 8:15 pm
Tell me why the Trump Administration is withholding any information of those who were sent to El Salvador. It sure looks like they are hiding something. They have no charges here or in El Salvador because they have no court dates. And Nayib Bukele has said no one will “walk” out of that prison ever. Can you explain?
Pat Riot
March 27, 2025 at 9:40 am
Biden-Harris minions already pushed Granny over the cliff, but kept her wheelchair.
It’s a good thing Trump and Waltz were there to catch her.
Marie
March 27, 2025 at 1:58 pm
Save her so she can live in her car. How kind
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 4:58 pm
Huh?
Think!
March 28, 2025 at 11:23 am
No one, absolutely no one is taking any of you SS or Medicare.
I have a special needs daughter and she is in no danger of losing anything
My son is concerned with losing NIH grants. He isn’t and won’t.
Is Fine the perfect candidate? No
But coming from a father who has had two daughters in competitive sports, the choice is easy.
No abortion up to and past birth
No mutilation of children
No open borders
No unchecked spending
No more unfair trade practices
Dylan
March 28, 2025 at 1:59 pm
What a horrible father
Nurse Nancy
March 28, 2025 at 6:04 pm
Sure, but did you mention the abject juvenile incompetence of the defense leaders and VP on the Signal call breach AND the inflation provoking tariffs? Just wonderin.
WEIL will listen to his constituents. NN
doug shaw
March 26, 2025 at 3:16 pm
I used this article in my stats class of an example of an accurate headline. It is so rare to find an example of a headline that is mathematically correct when a poll result is within the margin of error. Thank you.
Paul Reinhardt
March 26, 2025 at 5:29 pm
Fine will only win because the RPOF gerrymandered that cock eyed looking district. Why didn’t you mention that?
The "REAL" EARL PITTS AMERICAN
March 26, 2025 at 7:20 pm
BUZZ BUZZ ….. BUZZ BUZZ
BUZZ BUZZ ….. BUZZ BUZZ
Good even’ting Sage Patriots, this Public Service Announcement has been brought to you by The “REAL” EARL PITTS AMERICAN as a public service to advise THE FREE STATE OF FLORIDA that the above poster is a “FAKE” EARL …. I, The “REAL” EARL PITTS AMERICAN, hereby place the above “FAKE EARL” on a painfull 2 (TWO) week CHASTIZEMENT which includes the full 2 (TWO) week “Wanking (masturbation) ban”.
Sometimes I, The “REAL” EARL PITTS AMERICAN, am forced to “Dish Out The Pain” for the good of both Florida and America.
I, The “REAL” EARL PITTS AMERICAN, Pitty The Fool that whizzes The “REAL” EARL PITTS AMERICAN off.
BUZZ BUZZ ….. BUZZ BUZZ
BUZZ BUZZ ….. BUZZ BUZZ
You are now being returned to your usual Wednesday Evening Routines.
Thank you Florida, Thank you America, and “DEUCES” on the you, “FAKE EARL”,
Yours Truley,
The “REAL” EARL PITTS AMERICAN
david yager
March 26, 2025 at 9:11 pm
All that military and retired military in that district will understand that INCREDIBLE lapse of security last week. What timing! Every military person who touches classified has to take several 1 hour classes each year, and pass a test for comprehension. Could not have a better, louder wake up call.
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 12:22 am
If you want the post office w US Mail, Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, medical research, disease treatments, veteran support and care, and national security of classified information, vote for Weil. I am tired of the unelected chainsaw hack saw sidekick directing the puerile felon’s actions.
Pat Riot
March 27, 2025 at 9:43 am
NN’s comment is the perfect example of repeating lies in the hopes that voters will believe them.
Legal CD6 votes are too smart to vote Communist.
Will you flood the zone with illegals?
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 3:27 pm
Huh?
JON TIKGER
March 27, 2025 at 5:08 pm
You words ring hollow and untrue
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 7:11 pm
Huh?
Joan Miller
March 28, 2025 at 4:33 am
She has nothing new to say… sounds like a bot. Most Americans are appalled & horrified at the open border nightmare. NO COUNTRY DOES THIS!!!
Nurse Nancy
March 28, 2025 at 9:12 am
Huh? The border is important. I am horrified at the dismantling of Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, the VA support system for veterans, the Post Office, and the attempts by a felon and his chainsaw hack saw sidekick and their billionaire cronies to live on the dole of the taxpayers. NN
enhancedvibes
March 28, 2025 at 9:07 am
It’s comments like this that prove Republicans do not live in reality lol. The news you consume is lying to you and making you believe abject nonsense like communists voting in the US. It just sounds dumb. Wouldn’t you rather be informed? Challenge your beliefs, and try and learn something new? If so, google is for you. Even if you’re maga, you too can google.
Barry O Goldwater
March 27, 2025 at 10:48 am
Never again will I vote for any Democrat as long as they’re reading from Engels and Marx ! Never ! Randy Fine is the best choice for CD6 , I recommend everyone vote Randy Fine.
david yager
March 27, 2025 at 11:05 am
Randy did manage to NOT chase Disney out of Florida – yet. A lot like depending on our allies to humor Trump’s temper tantrums. I personally never found depending on the emotional intelligence of others to be a continuing successful stategy.
Nurse Nancy
March 27, 2025 at 5:03 pm
Those wrecking the good things of America need opposition, no matter what the color. What is happening in the US is downright frightening. The chainsaw hack saw sidekick and the (unfortunate) cruel and angry felon need opposition. Please do the right thing. NN
enhancedvibes
March 28, 2025 at 9:09 am
That this is a serious comment is what’s so funny. You people actually believe this nonsense. Newsflash – Democrats aren’t your enemies. They’re your neighbors and co workers, the people standing with you in line at your grocery. Why do you hate them so much!? Listen to how unhinged you sound when you talk about them. IT is not normal.
Nurse Nancy
March 28, 2025 at 9:12 am
Huh?
Renewal
March 27, 2025 at 3:10 pm
MAGAts like you are responsible for Florida’s decline.
Real American
March 27, 2025 at 3:29 pm
Oh noes!
SOROS!
Face it, Soros has ZERO to do with this while trump’s 2nd failed administration along with the gop’s financial sodomy of America has EVERYTHING to do with this.
trump and maga have screwed America for the last time….It’s over for you, you just don’t know it yet.
And the coming reckoning will end them for good
Beverly J Nickell
March 28, 2025 at 4:37 am
You guys must love taxes. How about all those dead people getting social security checks?? You think that helps keep soc sec afloat? Can’t you see? My God you must have some other agenda.
enhancedvibes
March 28, 2025 at 9:11 am
Are you truly that dumb that you think Democrats want dead people to receive SS?! Listen to how idiotic you sound lol. Regardless, DOGE isn’t finding dead people on SS. Dead people’s spouses otoh DO receive benefits. Florida, full of old people, who apparently forgot all their logic and reasoning skills in service to their orange fake god. Bless your hearts.
That Guy
March 28, 2025 at 8:28 pm
@Beverly J Nickell
So Musk and his crew have finally shown some proof to any of their claims? I guess I missed it. So where can I find this? The proof that is
Nancy FL lady
March 27, 2025 at 7:44 pm
People, Vote Blue Trump & Musk. They are letting down all Americans people and both parties. This will not stop them but it can slow them down a bit. Vote Blue
Yadira
March 28, 2025 at 3:33 am
Fine is not Fine! Vote for a good candidate! Party does not matter; just look at what is happening with our prices; unlivable grocery prices this week.
Along for the Ride
March 28, 2025 at 3:36 pm
Look up the video of Randy Fine treating his constitutes the people he is supposed to represent. he doesn’t care about them only power and himself
Claire Taylor
March 28, 2025 at 6:47 am
From the UK, it looks like anyone who can’t see what Trump and his regime are doing, has lost their mind. It’s so obvious when you’re not in the MAGA cult, to see what is happening. He has destroyed alliances with Europe, Canada and Mexico, because “we are all baddies ripping America off’” He has ignored court orders and is threatening to dismantle the judiciary, because “they are so mean to him and want to prevent him from doing illegal things.” He has forced by coercion corporate law firms and universities to acquiesce to his demands for loyalty to him, because he “doesn’t like it when people peacefully protest about things he doesn’t agree with.” He has arrested and detained Europeans, Canadians, doctors, makeup artists,footballers, Venezuelans, Germans and more, and sent them into detention centres for no reason and without due process. He has allowed ICE agents in masks to drag people off the street for expressing opinions that he doesn’t like. He has appointed idiots to the highest level government positions. That’s not to mention his own criminal record. Sigh.
Vote Blue
March 28, 2025 at 7:31 pm
Claire, you are so right!!
We must band together to save our country.
Thank you for your accurate statements!
Nurse Nancy
March 28, 2025 at 12:16 pm
Listen up: one more thing!
Check your 401K and retirement plans under the current regime running the USA. Not good.
That Guy
March 28, 2025 at 8:34 pm
To all the Democrats, of which I am not, please, when you get back in power, don’t go back to the Bidin days. That’s what lead to this mess too begin with