Steve Vancore, Author at Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Steve VancoreFebruary 25, 2016

Quinnipiac’s latest poll is a good one, but with a slight methodology problem that could favor Donald Trump. What did the poll find? It found Trump nearly lapping what is left of the field and is 16-points ahead of the second closest candidate, Marco Rubio. If accurate (and we know the race will change between […]

Steve VancoreFebruary 8, 2016

Can a poll have flawed methodologies and still be relatively “accurate?” Of course it can, much in the same way a dart can be close to its intended target even if the player throwing the dart does not use good form. It might be that way with the newly released Florida Southern College poll, which […]

Steve VancoreNovember 4, 2015

It was trumpeted (pun intended) as an “Exclusive Poll” for Bay News 9, and it showed Trump so far in the lead we just had to scratch our heads. Anytime you have an outlier poll with unusual findings it is vital that you turn a skeptical eye to the results – and so we did. […]

Steve VancoreNovember 4, 2015

It was trumpeted (pun intended) as an “Exclusive Poll” for Bay News 9, and it showed Trump so far in the lead we just had to scratch our heads. Anytime you have an outlier poll with unusual findings it is vital that you turn a skeptical eye to the results – and so we did. […]

Steve VancoreNovember 3, 2015

When two highly regarded Florida-based firms join forces for research into voter attitudes, we have little choice but to take them and their findings seriously. In the case of Viewpoint Florida, two of Florida’s top-tier firms – Data Targeting (Pat Bainter and co.) and Public Concepts (Randy Nielsen and Rich Johnson) – have collaborated to […]

Steve VancoreNovember 3, 2015

When two highly regarded Florida-based firms join forces for research into voter attitudes, we have little choice but to take them and their findings seriously. In the case of Viewpoint Florida, two of Florida’s top-tier firms – Data Targeting (Pat Bainter and co.) and Public Concepts (Randy Nielsen and Rich Johnson) – have collaborated to […]

Steve VancoreOctober 29, 2015

The saltshaker is back. Due mostly to a hectic schedule, we put the Florida Politics saltshaker on a brief hiatus. But, as polling season heats up (Did it ever really cool down?) and actual voting isn’t that far off, it’s now time to break it out of the cupboard and take a look at the […]

Steve VancoreOctober 29, 2015

The saltshaker is back. Due mostly to a hectic schedule, we put the Florida Politics saltshaker on a brief hiatus. But, as polling season heats up (Did it ever really cool down?) and actual voting isn’t that far off, it’s now time to break it out of the cupboard and take a look at the […]

Steve VancoreAugust 3, 2015

St Pete Polls recently released findings from a poll showing strong support for two statewide ballot initiatives being proposed in Florida. The first is John Morgan’s second take on medical marijuana and the other is a $10 per hour minimum wage being offered by a group known as “League of Voters, Extraordinaire.” Morgan is, of course, well known, but […]

Steve VancoreAugust 3, 2015

St Pete Polls recently released findings from a poll showing strong support for two statewide ballot initiatives being proposed in Florida. The first is John Morgan’s second take on medical marijuana and the other is a $10.00 per hour minimum wage being offered by a group known as “League of Voters, Extraordinaire.” Morgan is, of course well known, but […]

Steve Vancore

Salt Shaker Test: Evaluating Donald Trump’s large lead in latest Q-PAC poll

Applying salt shaker test to Florida Southern College poll

Salt Shaker Test applied to latest Florida GOP PPP poll

Salt Shaker Test applied to latest Florida GOP PPP poll

Salt Shaker Test applied to recent Viewpoint Florida polling

Salt Shaker Test applied to recent Viewpoint Florida polling

The Salt Shaker returns: Testing a pair of UNF polls

The Salt Shaker returns: Testing a pair of UNF polls

Saltshaker test has tough verdict for St. Pete Polls’ latest survey

Salt Shaker Test applied to St. Pete Polls' latest