Steve Vancore, Author at Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Steve VancoreJuly 30, 2015

Mason-Dixon recently released a new statewide poll testing the two pending solar amendments currently making their way through the process in Florida. Despite the fact that both dealt with a similar subject, solar power, it was a tale of two initiatives: one very passable and the other with seemingly no path to victory. The initiative […]

Steve VancoreJuly 30, 2015

On July 18, 2105 Donald Trump uttered the unthinkable. He not only violated Ronald Reagan’s 11th commandment, he did so with an exclamation point and refused to back down. The media – mainstream and otherwise – went into overdrive and his opponents piled on. Pollsters, pundits, and politicos immediately began writing his epitaph. We assumed […]

Steve VancoreJuly 30, 2015

On July 18, 2105 Donald Trump uttered the unthinkable. He not only violated Reagan’s 11th commandment, he did so with an exclamation point and refused to back down. The media – mainstream and otherwise – went into overdrive and his opponents piled on. Pollsters, pundits, and politicos immediately began writing his epitaph. We assumed his […]

Steve VancoreJuly 27, 2015

This saltshaker test will be short on originality and long on quotes. The latest Mason-Dixon poll results of both Democratic and Republican primaries for U.S. Senate apparently come from the same survey of, “500 registered Republican voters and 500 registered Democratic voters.” So in assessing its validity/reliability, we will offer our first quote from a recent […]

Steve VancoreJuly 25, 2015

The most recent poll from Mason-Dixon shows Jeb all but lapping the current GOP field, holding a strong 12-point lead over the 2nd-place finisher, Marco Rubio, who scored a solid 16 percent in a field of 16 challengers. You read that right, 16 challengers named on a phone poll. Mason-Dixon did well to rotate those names, […]

Steve VancoreJuly 24, 2015

The most recent poll from Mason-Dixon shows Jeb Bush all but lapping the current GOP field holding a strong 12-point lead over the 2nd place finisher, Marco Rubio, who scored a solid 16% in a field of 16 challengers. You read that right, 16 challengers named on a phone poll. Mason-Dixon did well to rotate those […]

Steve VancoreJuly 8, 2015

The recently released Gravis Marketing poll of the Florida Presidential Preference Primaries and the U.S. Senate races is truly confounding. On one hand, it appears thorough and reasonably well-conceived. On the other, it has some very serious problems that all but make the poll useless and even misleading. The poll had large numbers of voters […]

Steve VancoreJuly 8, 2015

The recently released Gravis Marketing poll of the Florida Presidential Preference Primaries and the U.S. Senate races is truly confounding. On one hand, it appears thorough and reasonably well-conceived. On the other, it has some very serious problems that all but make the poll useless and even misleading. The poll had large numbers of voters […]

Steve VancoreJune 11, 2015

When it comes to political polls, here’s how the news cycle usually goes: Poll gets released, we write about it, readers read it and (because who doesn’t love a poll?) traffic goes up. This week’s publication of the recent Saint Leo University poll didn’t go that way. It released the poll, we wrote about it, and instead of […]

Steve VancoreOctober 14, 2014

On Wednesday, there will be a televised live debate between Charlie Crist and Rick Scott — and possibly Adrian Wyllie. Wyllie is suing to participate under the presumption that he has met the threshold of 15 percent in polls set by the debate organizers. Did he make it? This is not a legal analysis of […]

Steve Vancore

Mason-Dixon solar poll: Salt Shaker Test

Donald Trump winning Florida? The 'Say it isn’t so' Salt Shaker Test

Donald Trump winning Florida? The “Say it isn’t so” Salt Shaker test

Salt applied to Mason-Dixon U.S. Senate poll

Take Mason-Dixon poll with Jeb crushing Florida with a few grains of salt

Salt Shaker Test: Take Mason-Dixon poll with Jeb crushing Florida with a few grains of salt

Analyzing the latest Gravis Marketing poll: Between half and a full shaker of salt

Analyzing the latest Gravis Marketing poll: Between a half and full shaker of salt

The return of the salt shaker: Saint Leo University polls kind of suck

Steve Vancore: Adrian Wyllie fails to meet polling threshold to qualify for debate