Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Steve SchaleFebruary 14, 2018

2010 was like a living a broken record. No matter what candidates said or did, or whether they ran embracing themselves with the president, or running as their own style of Democrat, it just didn’t matter. Voters were looking to send a message, and people who had Democrat on their name tag were the only […]

Steve SchaleDecember 5, 2016

It is time for one last big data piece on Florida 2016. For about 18 hours a day over 2+ weeks, I found myself living and breathing early voting data. So now that all the data have been reported from counties, I wanted to look back at some assumptions, and compare them to the actual […]

Associated PressNovember 8, 2016

Did Donald Trump succeed in at last winning over college-educated whites uneasy with the billionaire reality TV star? Did he drive a wave of working-class white voters? Did Hillary Clinton rebuild Barack Obama‘s winning coalition – young voters, urban liberals and minorities – while picking off moderate Republicans? Those questions are central to who will […]

Steve SchaleNovember 8, 2016

To: Anyone who has been reading my memos, Putin included. From: Steve Schale Re: We survived, and genuine thanks from me. First, thank you all for following along for the last two weeks. This memo isn’t going to be a big data dump. For those, you can go back and read the other 12 versions […]

Steve SchaleNovember 7, 2016

To: The tired, poor, huddled masses yearning to be free of 2016 From: Steve Schale, Florida Sherpa Re: It is almost drinkin’ time I usually do a timeline here, but since I can’t even imagine life in a post-2016 election cycle world, I am simply going to say, Thank God America, we have damn near […]

Steve SchaleNovember 4, 2016

To: A tired, weary nation, and the Trump tech guys in Macedonia From: Steve Schale, Florida Man Re: Why in the world did I start doing these? *1 day since the leader of the free world did the #swoop at UNF. *4 days until the election. *6 days until I am home for a nice […]

Steve SchaleNovember 3, 2016

To: Curious Americans and President Vladimir Putin From: Steve Schale, Proud FloridaMan Re: 5 Days out — and eight years later, POTUS returns to Duval *5 days until the election. *7 days until the first Thursday after the election. *9 days until FSU basketball tips off. *23 days until the Tallahassee Turkey Trot 15K. *113 days until Daytona 500. Welcome to the last […]

A.G. GancarskiOctober 31, 2016

After one week of early voting in Duval County, including one Souls to the Polls activation, GOP turnout is still outpacing that of the Democrats. As of Sunday evening, 151,644 people had voted. Of that 151,644, 66,426 (or 43.8 percent) were Republicans. Democrats comprised 63,903 (or 42.1 percent) of that number. NPA voters comprised the […]

Jenna Buzzacco-FoersterOctober 5, 2016

State offices in more than two dozen counties will be closed beginning Thursday, and counties up and down the east coast are encouraging residents to evacuate ahead Hurricane Matthew. The state Department of Management Services closed state offices in 26 counties on Thursday and Friday. The announcement came as Hurricane Matthew barrels over the Bahamas […]

A.G. GancarskiAugust 22, 2016

2012 — the previous presidential year — saw Duval County with a 20.7 percent turnout among both parties. With a week left in early voting, the GOP turnout looks likely to exceed that number; as of the end of Sunday, 10.46 percent of all Republican registrants had voted. The real point of interest is what is driving […]

Tag: Duval

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Steve Schale: Notes on the 10th day of early voting in Florida

After one week of early voting, Duval Republicans ahead in turnout battle

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Duval GOP turnout exceeds 10 percent with week left in early voting