Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Peter SchorschNovember 4, 2016

With four days before The. Most. Important. Election. Ever. comes to its conclusion, it’s difficult to separate the signal from the noise when it comes to polling and predictions. Right now, everyone is as much an expert about politics as they are in theories about how “Game of Thrones” will end. So many people are […]

Joe HendersonOctober 14, 2016

As we approach the home stretch of ShameFest 2016 — otherwise known as the election — we should take a moment to ponder one of the great moments the last time the nation chose a president. It was election night 2012 and Fox News, accurately as it turned out, declared President Barack Obama had won […]

Guest AuthorMay 8, 2016

The next time I get into one of those verbal political brawls that include aging boomers reminiscing about their bucolic lives in a splendid picket-fence of a hometown, I’m hauling out this nugget from Nate Silver: If you want to “get in touch with ‘normal America,’ skip the small towns of your actual or imagined […]

Darryl PaulsonMarch 29, 2016

(Last of three parts) The last time the Republicans held their national convention without a candidate having a majority of the delegates needed to win was 1976. Fortunately for President Gerald Ford, he was able to persuade enough of the unpledged delegates to win a first ballot victory over Ronald Reagan. For Democrats, 1984 was […]

Guest AuthorNovember 2, 2014

When asked to write this column, I was reminded about a time when political polls were exclusively analytic tools that taught us something useful for campaigns. They were the closely guarded domain of geeks and political insiders seeking a strategic roadmap for a candidate or referendum. Polls were our little secret and were much more […]

Tag: Nate Silver

The smartest guy in the room thinks Hillary Clinton will win Florida

Joe Henderson: Assault on polling begins in ‘ShameFest 2016’

Linda Cunningham: You can find ‘Real America’ in Tampa, not Des Moines

Darryl Paulson: Donald Trump needs 498 more delegates to avoid contested convention

Steve Vancore: Polls: What have they become?