Associated Industries of Florida’s political shop foresees under 20% primary turnout

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A tout sheet circulated by Associated Industries of Florida shows internal projections of just under 20 percent turnout for today’s primary election.

“We … believe statewide turnout is headed to 19-20% or close to 2.5 million total votes,” writes Ryan Tyson, AIF’s Vice President of Political Operations.

To be precise, Tyson and Co. are predicting 2,425,718 votes cast out of 12,370,930 registered voters, for a percentage of 19.6 percent.

To compare, the 2014 primary saw 18 percent overall turnout and 2012’s primary had about 21 percent.

For this year, AIF’s number crunchers project 28 percent Republican turnout, 20 percent Democratic, and 9 percent “other.”

“… All indicators seem to suggest we are headed for a usual, low turnout primary election,” the sheet said.

More than 1.75 million ballots have been cast, both vote by mail and early voting, state records show.

Staff Reports



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