Q-poll: Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders lead Donald Trump in Florida
In polls of recent polling, Joe Biden is staying ahead.

biden trump 1_0
Other Democrats lead Trump too, by closer margins

Hours before President Donald Trump takes the stage in Orlando to officially kick off his 2020 re-election campaign, a new poll finds he trails Democratic front-runner Joe Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.

The latest survey from Quinnipiac University, taken from last Wednesday through Monday of 1,279 Florida registered voters, finds former Vice President Biden leading Trump 50-41. The poll also shows Sanders ahead of Trump 48-42.

The poll also finds Trump trailing U.S. Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris and other leading Democratic candidates in Florida, though by lesser margins, some within the margin of error.

The poll finds that Floridians are generally pleased with the economy and feel they are better off. But they give Trump below-water approval ratings anyway.

The poll also finds that Floridians do not want Democrats pursuing impeachment proceedings against  Trump.

“Florida Republicans have won the last five major statewide elections, all by very close margins, but Sunshine State Democrats see these very early numbers as a sign that their losing streak might be coming to an end,” Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, stated in a news release announcing the poll Tuesday.

“President Donald Trump trails both former Vice President Joseph Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders in general election matchups and basically ties other leading Democratic challengers,” Brown added.  “While most  Florida voters are feeling better financially, President Trump remains underwater with a 44 percent job approval rating and a 51 percent disapproval rating.”

The poll suggests that at this point those other Democratic candidates are nearly irrelevant to the 2020 presidential election, among Florida Democratic voters.

Biden leads the Democratic field with 41 percent. He’s followed by Sanders, the Vermont Senator, with 14 percent; Warren, of Massachusetts, with 12 percent; South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg with 8 percent and Harris, of California, with 6 percent.

None of the other 19 Democratic candidates that Quinnipiac listed got more than 1 percent.

The poll surveyed 417 registered Democratic voters. The margin of error for the Democratic question was 5.8 percent, Quinnipiac reported. The overall margin of error was 3.3 percent.

As has become common in such polls, Quinnipiac’s pollsters found large differences of opinion based on demographics. In a Trump-Biden matchup, Biden leads among women 58 percent to 34 percent, while Trump leads among men, 49-42. Trump leads among white voters 52-42. Biden leads among black voters 79-9 and among Hispanic voters, 57-32.

Both Trump and Biden get more than 90 percent of the vote among voters within their parties. Independent voters favor Biden 54-32.

When asked if they are better off financially than they were in 2016, voters said yes, 54 percent to 43 percent.

Yet the economy is not enough. Florida voters gave a 44 percent job approval rating for Trump, compared with a 51 percent disapproval. That is up from Quinnipiac’s previous poll, in March, which found a 41-53 spread.

As for impeachment, 62 percent say no, Democrats should not pursue it, while 32 percent said yes. The only two groups that topped majorities favoring impeachment were Democrats and black voters.

Scott Powers

Scott Powers is an Orlando-based political journalist with 30+ years’ experience, mostly at newspapers such as the Orlando Sentinel and the Columbus Dispatch. He covers local, state and federal politics and space news across much of Central Florida. His career earned numerous journalism awards for stories ranging from the Space Shuttle Columbia disaster to presidential elections to misplaced nuclear waste. He and his wife Connie have three grown children. Besides them, he’s into mystery and suspense books and movies, rock, blues, basketball, baseball, writing unpublished novels, and being amused. Email him at [email protected]


10 comments

  • Raymond Blacklidge

    June 18, 2019 at 2:43 pm

    Sure and Trump is only going to have a few hundred people show up in Orlando tonight and Biden’s crowds although in the hundreds will be reported in the thousands. But hey believe what you want, Biden is way up on Trump, it’s going to be a landslide no need to work so hard here in Florida

    • Christopher Kennard

      June 18, 2019 at 3:07 pm

      It is getting hard to determine who the Russian trolls are and who is voicing their own honest opinion . . . whether based upon real facts or innocent speculation.

      After 45 years or more of voting and involvement in the Civil Rights and Peace Movement of the 1960’s -1970’s on, leading to a lifetime of progressive community organizing and political activities, I am going to have to predict that Bernie Sanders will continue to gain support from Democratic voters who will come to realize that most of the positions They support are issues and resolutions that Bernie Sanders has supported over his lifetime.

      As an Independent candidate, Bernie Sanders is beholden to neither to the Big Pharma or fossil fuel or technological giants or the military-industrial complex, etc. who “own” the “dual” establishment wings “serving” both major political parties, Democratic and Republican, alike.

      It is why Bernie has been able to put together a progressive people’s peaceful “political revolution” that began many years ago with Bernie and colleagues and has “grown up” today!

      It is why the human rights, civil rights activists, peace movement folks and environmentalists all find a kindred spirit and natural leader due to Bernie’s karma, integrity, perseverance and commitment to the American people to serve them honestly and serve them well in every public office he has ever held; Mayor or Burlington, Vt, a U.S. House Representative, Senator and now candidate to be elected President of the United States of us all!

  • Miguel

    June 18, 2019 at 2:45 pm

    Wow, why are u posting FAKE News, that is not real news everyone knows that TRUMP is popular in the Great State of Florida. Liberals and Far Left Hacks are so RACIST. Latinos for TRUMP 2020

    • Valerie Sprieser

      June 18, 2019 at 2:59 pm

      Floridians are sick of the day to day antics of this drama queen!
      We will send Don the Con back to his den of iniquity!

    • gary lopez

      June 18, 2019 at 6:12 pm

      WELL SAID MIGUEL!

      GOD BLESS DJT

  • VoteDem2020

    June 18, 2019 at 3:13 pm

    After the past three years with the Draft-Dodger-In-Chief, it’s hard for me to believe ANY self-respecting voter could possibly vote for Trumpty Dumpty. He’s a pathological liar, a serial cheater and adulterer, a clueless con man, and an out-and-out fraudster. At this point, it doesn’t matter who the Democratic nominee turns out to be. Any one of them should be able to beat this lout handily. The primary goal, however, is for the Dems to keep the House and take over the Senate … so they can throw Trump out if, by some bizarre quirk, he does win again!

  • GREG

    June 18, 2019 at 6:11 pm

    LET ME STATE NOW: CONGRATULATIONS DJT FOR YOUR LANDSLIDE VICTORY IN 2020!

  • Karen

    June 18, 2019 at 10:05 pm

    Go Trump❗️❗️Keep America Great❗️❗️

  • Pedro

    June 19, 2019 at 1:31 am

    Trump knows his lies are catching up to him and he is on his way out. What a loser!

Comments are closed.


#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Jason Delgado, Renzo Downey, Rick Flagg, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Joe Henderson, Janelle Irwin, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Jesse Scheckner, Scott Powers, Andrew Wilson, and Kelly Hayes.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704