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Democratic presidential candidates, former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, left, and former Vice President Joe Biden talk during a break in a Democratic presidential primary debate Wednesday, Feb. 19, 2020, in Las Vegas, hosted by NBC News and MSNBC. (AP Photo/John Locher)
Democratic presidential candidates, former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, left, and former Vice President Joe Biden talk during a break in a Democratic presidential primary debate Wednesday, Feb. 19, 2020, in Las Vegas, hosted by NBC News and MSNBC. (AP Photo/John Locher)

2020

Latest poll: Joe Biden surging, Mike Bloomberg fading in Florida primary

Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg trail badly

New polling says former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden is back on top with Florida voters, staving off former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg.

St. Pete Polls had been tracking this race as tacking toward Bloomberg, narrowly up in their previous survey.

However, the latest polling breaks to Biden, pulling away from the billionaire in what is a two-man race.

Biden, at 34%, is up 9 percentage points on Bloomberg, at 25% and fading.

A wave of support once trending Bloomberg, fueled by $45 million of television in the state, crashed on the rocks of a widely panned debate performance last week.

Biden’s advantage is statewide.

Biden leads Bloomberg in every media market in the state. Biden racked up huge margins in the Panhandle and Jacksonville, with Bloomberg more competitive in South Florida.

The frontrunners are roughly neck and neck with white and Hispanic voters, but African American voters are where Biden dominates Bloomberg: the former V.P. is the choice of 46%. Bloomberg lags behind with just 24% of the black vote.

Among those who have already voted, just 22% of the 2,788 likely voters polled, Biden has 37%, with Bloomberg at 29%.

However, the trend since the end of January has been roughly 60% of the electorate dialed into Biden and Bloomberg.

That critical mass, in flux throughout the polling period, is breaking Biden’s way down the stretch, with the rest of the field proving to be non-starters with likely voters polled.

In a distant third, U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders was the pick of just 13% of those surveyed. He was the only other candidate in double digits.

Sanders has been battered from the left and the right for continued apologia for the Fidel Castro era in Cuba, which the self-styled democratic socialist has lauded for its universal literacy program. The worst of the onslaught came on Monday; as polling began, many Democrats in the state distanced themselves from the candidate.

Even a wounded, self-sabotaging Sanders polled better than the rest, however.

Undecided, at 10%, outpaces the meager totals for former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (8%), Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar (4%, 3%), and billionaire Tom Steyer (1%).

The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday and has a 1.9% margin of error.

Written By

A.G. Gancarski has been a correspondent for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. In 2018, he was a finalist for an Association of Alternative Newsweeklies "best political column." He can be reached at AG@FloridaPolitics.com

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Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Drew Dixon, Renzo Downey, Rick Flagg, A.G. Gancarski, Joe Henderson, Janelle Irwin, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Scott Powers, Bob Sparks, Andrew Wilson, and Kelly Hayes.
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