Latest poll of Florida primary shows Joe Biden with huge lead over Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden crushes Bernie Sanders in Florida, according to St. Pete Polls.

joe biden 12.7.19
Poll included Mike Bloomberg and Elizabeth Warren, who have since dropped out.

Even before Mike Bloomberg dropped out of the race for President, voters in Florida were consolidating behind Joe Biden.

More than 61% of likely Florida voters favor Biden, according to the most recent survey by St. Pete Polls commissioned by Florida Politics (the full PDF of the poll is embedded below). That gives the former Vice President a commanding lead over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 12%.

The poll was conducted on Wednesday, the same day billionaire Mike Bloomberg dropped out of the race and a day before Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren suspended her campaign.

Both were left in the field of active candidates in the poll. Bloomberg held the support of almost 14% of likely voters while Warren showed up with 5%.

The results showed a continued decline for Bloomberg since a poor debate performance in Nevada, which followed a surge in interest in his candidacy in Florida earlier this year.

Just as Bloomberg’s rise seemed to draw voters primarily away from Biden, his decline benefited Biden in turn. The trend lines for St. Pete Polls surveys have shown those two candidates consistently leading the field since late January.

The most recent prior St. Pete Polls survey, released Feb. 27, showed Biden with 34% over Bloomberg at 25%, Sanders at 13% and Warren at 4%.

The latest results represent a 27-point bump in the polls for Biden, seemingly fueled by a solid performance on Super Tuesday.

Bloomberg saw an 11-point decline after a poor showing where he won only in American Samoa.

Sanders, meanwhile, dropped 1 point while Warren rose 1 point, all movement that falls within the poll’s 2.3% margin of error.

The poll was taken after Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar and Tom Steyer suspended their respective campaigns. All still appear on the Florida ballot, but support for those candidates dropped to 1% or less.

Buttigieg and Klobuchar have since endorsed Biden, as has Bloomberg, and the support for the candidates also flowed toward Biden while Sanders and Warren remained largely static.

More than 28% of voters surveyed had already cast their ballot, though about 20% wish they could now change their vote.

Among voters surveyed who already mailed in ballots, Biden still held a commanding lead with 53%, while Bloomberg had the votes of 20% and Sanders won 11%. Buttigieg had 5% support among those who already voted, while Warren won 3%, Klobuchar 2% and Steyer nearly 1%.

Those who would change, granted a sliver of the overall sample size, were asked hypothetically who they would vote for among the remaining field of candidates. Among that set, 78% would vote Biden, 11% Bloomberg, 4% Sanders and 2% Warren.

The poll found remarkable consistency in Biden’s support. The frontrunner held majority support from voters in every demographic regardless of age, race or gender. And his support was solid across Florida media markets.

Similar to national polling, Biden performed strongest among minority voters, winning over 68% of black voters, 69% of Asian voters and 60% of Hispanic voters compared to 58% of white voters.

But Sanders’ following among young voters nationwide doesn’t seem to translate within the Sunshine State. He wins 14% support from Florida voters ages 18 to 29, about the same level of support Bloomberg enjoyed. Biden, meanwhile, wins over that demographic with 61% support.

Here is the full poll:

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected]


6 comments

  • RG CLEMETE

    March 5, 2020 at 9:35 pm

    It doesn’t matter who is nominated for the democrats. They all will follow the left’s radical agenda of Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Nancy Pelosi, Sheila Jackson Lee, Maxine Waters, Al Green, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Rashida Talib, Ayanna Pressley, llhan Omar, Val Deming, and Hakeem Jeffries.

    Democrat-Socialist Goals & Platform:

    -Sanctuary Cities & States.

    -De-fund & terminate Border Patrol & ICE.

    -Drivers licenses for illegal aliens.

    -Late term abortions up to 9 months.

    -Opposed to ANY voter ID Laws.

    -Weaken our Military.

    -Taxpayer Bailout student Loan Debt. Cost to taxpayers Billions.

    -Pay check for every person in the US even if they choose not to work.

    -End all deportations of illegal aliens, if you get here, you stay.

    -Destruction of all private health care

    -The Green new deal.(which would create massive unemployment)

    -Medicare care for all including illegal aliens (taxpayer funded with a
    52 trillion estimate)

    -College for all, including illegal aliens. (tax payer funded)

    -Disarming Americans.

    -Decriminalization of illegal entry into our country.

    -Citizenship for 20 to 50 million illegal aliens & TPS recipients.

    -Reparations for any race harmed by Caucasians

    -Massive tax increases.

    -Open Borders, No Borders.

    -Welfare & Food Stamps for illegal aliens.

    Sources: View the democrat candidates positions on their websites. Watch their speeches debates on you tube. Educate yourself.
    VOTE “RED” Remove All Democrats!

    Taxpayers pay special attention to Bernie’s “Key Points.” under Welcoming

    https://berniesanders.com/issues/
    https://berniesanders.com/issues/

    • Colen Douglass

      March 6, 2020 at 9:39 pm

      RG Clemete this is a stupid comment but sounds just like Donald Trumpterd however Trump will be gone in January and back living with Putin !! If you can go with him !!

    • Richard W Anderson

      March 7, 2020 at 8:14 am

      Boogity, boogity. Leftists, commies, baby killers….Oh my!

    • Bob

      March 7, 2020 at 11:29 am

      Every single item on this list is false. I’ve marveled at misinformation before, but this list takes the fake news prize. Every single item easily debunked. Somebody needs to go back to propaganda school.

  • Merle

    March 10, 2020 at 12:18 pm

    “Latest poll of Florida primary shows Joe Biden with huge lead over Bernie Sanders” – to the point.

Comments are closed.


#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Jason Delgado, Drew Dixon, Renzo Downey, Rick Flagg, A.G. Gancarski, Joe Henderson, Janelle Irwin, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Scott Powers, Andrew Wilson, and Kelly Hayes.

Email: [email protected]
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704