Survey shows tight contest between Jim Bonfiglio, Mike Caruso in HD 89
Mike Caruso is lagging behind in HD 59 fundraising against Jim Bonfiglio.

caruso bonfiglio
This is the second poll this month showing the race could come down to the wire.

A new survey from St. Pete Polls gives Democratic candidate Jim Bonfiglio a 1-point edge over Republican Rep. Mike Caruso in the House District 89 race.

The poll has Bonfiglio leading Caruso 45%-44%, with the remaining batch of voters either undecided or unwilling to reveal their preference. That’s in line with an early October version, which gave Bonfiglio a 2-point lead.

The results are once again well within the poll’s 5.4% margin of error, but it’s no surprise Caruso is in for a fight as he looks to secure a second term representing the district. Caruso won the open seat over Bonfiglio in 2018 by just 32 votes out of more than 78,000 cast.

He has also faced a significant battle in the money game this time around. Bonfiglio is appealing to out-of-state donors to help push him over the edge in the rematch this Nov. 3. Caruso has still raised more outside cash, but both hold similar cash totals for the campaign’s final stretch.

Bonfiglio held just over $35,000 on Oct. 16, the close of the most recent finance report submitted to the Florida Division of Elections. Caruso retains close to $32,000. Both candidates surpassed six figures in terms of spending during the most recent two-week period.

The new St. Pete Polls survey ran Saturday and Sunday.

Bonfiglio is well ahead among individuals who have already voted. He leads 55%-33% with that group. Among those still planning to vote, Caruso has a 63%-28% edge, suggesting a tightening race.

The survey also took a look at the presidential contest inside HD 89. Democratic nominee Joe Biden holds a comfortable lead, as he tops Donald Trump 54%-43%. That’s down from the last time St. Pete Polls sampled the district. Its early October survey had Biden up 14 points.

Also, Gov. Ron DeSantis is underwater in the district with a minus-5 approval rating. More than 49% disapprove of his job performance while more than 44% approve.

HD 89 runs up the coast of Palm Beach County and is home to Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort, which now serves as the President’s primary residence. That’s made the district a focus of Democratic groups looking to send a message to the President as they seek to oust him from the White House.

Ryan Nicol

Ryan Nicol covers news out of South Florida for Florida Politics. Ryan is a native Floridian who attended undergrad at Nova Southeastern University before moving on to law school at Florida State. After graduating with a law degree he moved into the news industry, working in TV News as a writer and producer, along with some freelance writing work. If you'd like to contact him, send an email to [email protected]



#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Ron Brackett, Jason Delgado, Renzo Downey, Daniel Figueroa, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Kelly Hayes, Joe Henderson, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Scott Powers, Gray Rohrer, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Andrew Wilson, Mike Wright, and Tristan Wood.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704




Sign up for Sunburn


Categories