Associated Press
Updates on this story have moved here.
Georgia officials began counting the final votes of the nation’s turbulent 2020 election season on Tuesday night as polls closed in two critical races that will determine control of the U.S. Senate and, in turn, the fate of President-elect Joe Biden’s legislative agenda.
The two Senate runoff elections are leftovers from the November general election, when none of the candidates hit the 50% threshold. Democrats need to win both races to seize the Senate majority — and, with it, control of the new Congress when Biden takes office in two weeks.
Voting hours were extended less than an hour in a handful of precincts following a judge’s order. While voting was strong in some spots, state election officials reported light turnout early in the day, including across the deeply conservative region where President Donald Trump held a rally Monday night to encourage GOP voters to turn out in force.
In one contest, Republican Kelly Loeffler, a 50-year-old former businesswoman who was appointed to the Senate less than a year ago by the state’s Governor, faced Democrat Raphael Warnock, 51, who serves as the senior pastor of the Atlanta church where Martin Luther King Jr. grew up and preached.
The other election pitted 71-year-old former business executive David Perdue, a Republican who held his Senate seat until his term expired on Sunday, against Democrat Jon Ossoff, a former congressional aide and journalist. At just 33 years old, Ossoff would be the Senate’s youngest member.
With about 82% of the vote reported, Democrats’ lead has eroded significantly, but results are still coming in. Early returns showed the Warnock and Ossoff up with more than 60% of the vote, but as more votes trickle in, their leads began shrinking and eventually evaporated. Since the vote count reached about the 65% mark, Warnock and Loeffler have gone back and forth holding a narrow lead as votes alternatively came in from liberal and conservative counties. Ossoff is under-performing by comparison, having consistently been trailing Perdue in the 9 p.m. hour.
Much of the early tally included absentee ballots and early voting totals, which tend to favor Democrats. Several key conservative counties were yet to report vote totals and Democrats still have precincts around liberal Savannah to add to their totals.
Throughout the night Democrats watched as their lead grew early on, but began shrinking again as it neared 9 p.m. and Election Day votes began showing up in the totals. The question for both parties will be whether Democrats can hold onto large margins in blue counties surrounding the state’s urban centers like Atlanta, August and Savanna or if Republicans will eat into those margins and make gains in more rural red counties to make up the vote difference.
Despite the close margins and plenty of votes left to call, Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman predicted the race for Warnock just before 9:45 p.m. At that point, Loeffler had a slight lead, but Wasserman contended the math on votes remaining to be counted pointed toward a Warnock victory.
I've seen enough. Raphael Warnock (D) defeats Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) in GA's special Senate runoff. #GASEN
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021
Loeffler may have just retaken the lead in the count, but she's behind in the race considering what's left. #GASEN
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021
Shortly after, former Democratic presidential candidate Andrew Yang tweeted a photo of him with Warnock welcoming him to the U.S. Senate.
Welcome to the US Senate Reverend Warnock!! 😀 pic.twitter.com/frD7r8esOM
— Andrew Yang🧢🗽🇺🇸 (@AndrewYang) January 6, 2021
Within minutes, Twitter began posting disclaimers with those tweets cautioning that many media outlets have yet to call the race for either candidate.
While more than 80% of votes have been counted and despite early predictions that Warnock was a win locked, the races may still be too close to call.
The unusual importance for the runoffs has transformed Georgia, once a solidly Republican state, into one of the nation’s premier battlegrounds during the final days of Trump’s presidency.
Biden and Trump campaigned for their candidates in person on the eve of the election, though some Republicans feared Trump may have confused voters by continuing to make wild claims of voter fraud as he tries to undermine Biden’s victory. The president assailed Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, a Republican, repeatedly this week for rejecting his fraud contentions and raised the prospect on Twitter that some ballots might not be counted even as votes were being cast Tuesday afternoon.
State officials said there were no major problems with voting on Tuesday.
Gabriel Sterling, a top official with the Georgia secretary of state’s office, said voting was smooth across the state with minimal wait times, though lines of around an hour built up in Republican-leaning Houston, Cherokee, Paulding and Forsyth counties.
While they have no merit, Trump’s claims about voter fraud in the 2020 election have resonated with Republican voters in Georgia. About 7 in 10 agree with his false assertion that Biden was not the legitimately elected president, according to AP VoteCast, a survey of more than 3,600 voters in the runoff elections.
Election officials across the country, including the Republican governors in Arizona and Georgia, as well as Trump’s former Attorney General, William Barr, have confirmed that there was no widespread fraud in the November election. Nearly all the legal challenges from Trump and his allies have been dismissed by judges, including two tossed by the Supreme Court, where three Trump-nominated justices preside.
Even with Trump’s claims, voters in both parties were drawn to the polls because of the high stakes. AP VoteCast found that 6 in 10 Georgia voters say Senate party control was the most important factor in their vote.
In Atlanta’s Buckhead neighborhood, 37-year-old Kari Callaghan said she voted “all Democrat” on Tuesday, an experience that was new for her.
“I’ve always been Republican, but I’ve been pretty disgusted by Trump and just the way the Republicans are working and especially the news this weekend about everything happening in Georgia,” she said. “I feel like for the Republican candidates to still stand there with Trump and campaign with Trump feels pretty rotten. This isn’t the conservative values that I grew up with.”
But 56-year-old Will James said he voted “straight GOP.”
He said he was concerned by the Republican candidates’ recent support of Trump’s challenges of the presidential election results in Georgia, “but it didn’t really change the reasons I voted.”
“I believe in balance of power, and I don’t want either party to have a referendum, basically,” he said.
Even before Tuesday, Georgia had shattered its turnout record for a runoff with more than 3 million votes by mail or during in-person advance voting in December. The state’s previous record was 2.1 million in a 2008 Senate runoff.
If Republicans win either seat, Biden would be the first incoming president in more than a century to enter the Oval Office facing a divided Congress. In that case, he would have little shot for swift votes on his most ambitious plans to expand government-backed health care coverage, address racial inequality and combat climate change.
A Republican-controlled Senate also would create a rougher path to confirmation for Biden’s Cabinet picks and judicial nominees.
This week’s elections mark the formal finale to the heated 2020 election season more than two months after the rest of the nation finished voting. The results also will help demonstrate whether the political coalition that fueled Biden’s victory was an anti-Trump anomaly or part of a new landscape.
Biden won Georgia’s 16 electoral votes by about 12,000 votes out of 5 million cast in November.
Democrats counted on driving a huge turnout of African Americans, young voters, college-educated Georgians and women, all groups that helped Biden win the state. Republicans, meanwhile, have been focused on energizing their own base of white men and voters beyond the core of metro Atlanta.
In downtown Atlanta, Henry Dave Chambliss, 67, voted for the two Republicans. He said he wanted Republicans to keep Senate control to ensure the incoming Biden administration doesn’t slide “all the way to the left.”
“I’m moderately successful and I know they will come after more of my money, which I’ve earned,” Chambliss said. “I was born a Southern Democrat, and I just hope and pray that some moderate voices are heard and things stay more in the middle of the road.”
_____
Republished with permission from the Associated Press with contributions from Florida Politics reporters AG Gancarski and Janelle Irwin.
