Oddsmakers are increasingly warming to the prospect of Gov. Ron DeSantis being a first-tier Presidential candidate.
The self-described “betting industry analysts” at US Sportsbonus contend that the Florida Governor’s odds are 4/1 to be the Republican nominee and 12/1 to win the 2024 election.
Only one person is better positioned: the former President.
“Donald Trump also has 4/1 odds to win the Republican nomination (20%), but he’s the 7/1 favorite (12.5%) among Republicans to win the election,” the bookies assert. The only other Florida Man to rate as a Presidential choice: Rep. Matt Gaetz, who faces 100/1 odds at this writing.
One analyst for the site puts his name on his quotes.
“Bookies have been eyeing DeSantis’ recent surge over the past few months, which has shown the Florida Governor has a strong chance at the White House by running in place of Trump instead of alongside him,” asserted Jay Sanin.
Sanin adds that the money could be a leading indicator for polling.
“Recent polls have started to show DeSantis having more support than Trump in certain areas, which could indicate that polls are catching up to betting data, as the odds already gave Trump and DeSantis an equal chance at securing the Republican Nomination in 2024.”
At least one straw poll conducted this month shows DeSantis ahead of Trump. The Governor defeated Trump in the Western Conservative Summit’s straw poll. Though the in-state Colorado Politics website suggests that the “highly unscientific” survey has done a “poor job” of predicting nominees, the poll is seen as a barometer of activist passion nonetheless.
DeSantis continues to stress that 2022 is his focus; the Governor faces what will be a competitive and closely fought reelection campaign. At least one potential opponent, meanwhile, says that his win would just be a launchpad.
“If he’s running for President, he will have to declare, you know, right before or right after the November election. Which means the first two years, he’s campaigning all over the country. And his last two years, he’s going to be President. So who gets duped? The people of the state of Florida,” said Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried this spring.