Joe Biden dominates Ron DeSantis in poll of possible 2024 matchups
Image via AP.

Former President Donald Trump performs far better.

A nationwide poll conducted this week suggests Gov. Ron DeSantis would have an uphill climb if challenging President Joe Biden in 2024.

The Emerson College survey of 1,200 registered voters showed that 48% of those called would back Biden’s reelection while just 36% would pick DeSantis.

Florida’s Governor performed worse than former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head with Biden. Trump won that one, 47% to 46%, even though just 395 Republicans were polled compared to 450 Democrats.

However, DeSantis polled better than Mitt Romney, who got just 23% compared to 42% for Biden.

DeSantis’ underperformance against the President, his “Trumpian” nature notwithstanding, comes even as Democrats polled seem less than thrilled with Biden.

Only 60% of Democratic respondents want to see Biden run for reelection in 2024. A full 39% would prefer another nominee, though the survey did not ask who those voters would prefer.

Happier news was to be found for DeSantis when it came to the pollsters’ best guess of how Florida’s Governor might do in the 2024 Republican primaries.

With Trump in the field, DeSantis drew just 10% support, a full 57 points behind the former President. However, if Trump did not run, Republican respondents here prefer Florida’s Governor over the other prospective candidates.

DeSantis’ 32% puts him over former Vice President Mike Pence at 24%, Sen. Ted Cruz at 13%, and former Gov. Nikki Haley at 10%, with the rest of the field still farther back.

The Emerson College poll was conducted from Aug. 30 through Sept. 1. According to the pollster, the data sets were weighted by age, education, race, party affiliation, and region based on 2020 turnout modeling.

While DeSantis is still well-positioned as a Trump stand-in in 2024, some caveats abound, including polling showing that his governance style is wearying on Floridians.

A recent Quinnipiac poll suggests that 59% of Floridians don’t want DeSantis to run for President, while 35% back the concept.

Not even all Republicans want to see it. While 67% are open to a President Ron DeSantis, a full 24% aren’t; 61% of Independents oppose the idea, suggesting the Governor’s base plays may have come at a cost.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. He writes for the New York Post and National Review also, with previous work in the American Conservative and Washington Times and a 15+ year run as a columnist in Folio Weekly. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Kathy

    September 3, 2021 at 3:07 pm

    Desantis is as dangerous as trump was. Another toddler with a penchant for throwing tantrums if things don’t go his way. Allowing only FOX news to cover a story, taking the Covid vaccine into Republican private housing developments for members only life saving treatment (when those of us on the County’s waiting for weeks still waited), threatening and trying to follow through with intimidating school boards trying to keep children alive…..backdoor politics and the White House would only embolden his shady antics.

    • Tom

      September 3, 2021 at 3:14 pm

      Kathy, You and your extremist ilk are dangerous. DeSantis the best!

      • Alex

        September 3, 2021 at 3:19 pm


      • JoAnn Poteete

        September 3, 2021 at 4:12 pm

        I’m with you. DiSantis is the greatest we have right now. They keep saying trump did nothing. Where have they been? Have they been in their basement with sleepy Joe? Trump did more good for our country in just 4 years than any other president. REASON. HE’S A VBUSINESS MAN, NOT A BLOODY LAWYER WHO KNOWS NOTHING OF RUNNING A BUSINESS. A COUNTRY IS A GIGANTIC BUSINESS THAT NEEDS TO BE RUN AS SUCH.

        • Alex

          September 3, 2021 at 4:34 pm


          Trump’s failed businesses:

          1. Trump Steaks

          2. GoTrump

          3. Trump Airlines

          4. Trump Vodka

          5. Trump Mortgage

          6. Trump: The Game

          7. Trump Magazine

          8. Trump University

          9. Trump Ice

          10. The New Jersey Generals

          11. Tour de Trump

          12. Trump Network

          13. Trumped!

          Trump companies that sought bankruptcy protection:

          1. Trump Taj Mahal

          2. Trump’s Castle

          3. Trump Plaza Casinos

          4. Trump Plaza Hotel

          5. Trump Hotels and Casinos Resorts

          6. Trump Entertainment Resorts

          • Peterh

            September 3, 2021 at 4:53 pm

            😀 Exactly! The con artist is a failed businessman.

          • Impeach Biden

            September 3, 2021 at 5:17 pm

            So the con artist didn’t take a salary as US President. Biden has been on the government teet for nearly fifty years. Hasn’t done a damn thing outside of DC. Of course he is collecting his paycheck. He is truly a multi year recipient of government paychecks.

          • Tom

            September 3, 2021 at 6:39 pm

            You and PeterH couldn’t accomplish any, at all. No chance.
            You clean toilets and they are dirty,

          • Fred

            September 7, 2021 at 11:25 am

            Name 1 job that Joe Biden created besides for his son and brother.

        • John Knight

          September 6, 2021 at 1:07 pm

          25 Top accomplishments of President Donald J. Trump

          1. Executive order enacted Jan. 1, 2021 requiring hospitals to provide medical prices to patients upfront so they can shop around.
          2. Reversing the ascent of the Islamic extremist terrorist group ISIS.

          3. “Most Favored Nation” executive order so that the U.S. (through Medicare) would pay no more for a drug than what’s offered to foreign countries, saving the U.S. an estimated “$85 billion in savings over seven years and $30 billion in out-of-pocket costs.”

          4. Moving the U.S. embassy in Israel to the capital of Jerusalem.

          5. Building more than 450 miles of new and replacement border wall.

          6. Leading U.S. to a level of energy independence (exporting more oil than importing for the first time in 70 years), allowing international policy decisions to be made with less regard to how an oil nation we once relied on would respond.

          7. No new wars.

          8. Drastic reduction in regulations, opening the door for entrepreneurs and businesses to succeed, expand, and hire more people. According to the Trump administration, they promised to eliminate two regulations for every new one, but actually wound up eliminating 8 old regulations for every 1 new regulation adopted, equating into an extra $3,100 a year for the average American household.

          9. Expanding Republican reach among African Americans and other constituents who traditionally lean Democrat.

          10. Cutting taxes in an initiative that benefitted every tax bracket.

          11. Doubled the child tax credit.

          12. Operation Warp Speed: accelerated development of coronavirus vaccines.

          13. Eliminated the Obamacare penalty.

          14. A series of trade agreements and changes seen as beneficial to Americans, including replacing NAFTA with USMCA.

          15. Instead of 2-for-1, we eliminated 8 old regulations for every 1 new regulation adopted.

          16. Provided the average American household an extra $3,100 every year.

          17. Started the Space Force.

          18. Instituted “Right to Try,” allowing terminally ill patients to use potentially lifesaving, unproven treatments.

          19. Prioritized and made permanent funding for historically black colleges.

          20. Brokered peace deals or normalization agreements between Israel and five Muslim and Arab-Muslim countries.

          21. Banned the teaching of “Critical Race Theory” in the federal government.

          22. Withdrew from Iran nuclear deal.

          23. Withdrew from the Paris Climate Accord.

          24. Instituted a Buy American policy within federal agencies.

          25. Achieved a $400 billion increase in contributions by NATO allies by 2024 with the number of members meeting their minimum obligations doubling.

          • Peterh

            September 6, 2021 at 1:15 pm

            26. Rightfully impeached twice in three years.
            27. Orchestrated and promoted an attempted coup on January 6, 2021. This event has sealed his fate to never see the inside of the Oval Office again.
            28. Few legislative achievements. 95% of Trump’s executive orders successfully reversed in the first three months of a New Democratic competent administration.

          • JohnKnight99

            September 6, 2021 at 1:17 pm

            Everything but Warp Speed was an accomplishment 24 out of 25 isn’t bad.

        • Judith Dishong

          September 16, 2021 at 8:32 am

          There is a reason Trump is not welcome in NYC. They know him there and see him as a con man and scam artist who uses bankruptcy to destroy his vendors, contractors, etc. and avoid any loss to himself. As a businessman, he is closer to the mafia than a legitimate successful businessman.

      • Firey Blaze

        September 6, 2021 at 3:54 pm

        I’m with you. They must be polling south florida b/c I can’t believe after the Afghan debacle w/ Biden’s incompetence shining through that he can beat any GOP candidates.

        • PeterH

          September 6, 2021 at 4:00 pm

          This is not describing a Florida poll. It’s a National Poll.

      • Robert Lee

        September 7, 2021 at 10:10 am

        When you have no facts to attack the argument, attack the person making the argument. Instead of explaining why Kathy’s arguments are incorrect, just call her a name, attack her personally, call her an extremist and dangerous. Ad hominem attack never bolsters your argument. It only illuminates that you have no defense other than name calling. Discuss like an adult and give us logical retorts, not name calling.

      • Richard P.

        September 10, 2021 at 1:05 pm

        the best…what? Trump tool, maybe.

      • Steven freyler

        September 15, 2021 at 3:01 pm

        you re a member of a death cult who are you to criticize

    • Angry White Gen X Male

      September 3, 2021 at 10:50 pm

      Your ad hominem is failing, and Joe Biden has failed completely, utterly, and dangerously.

      “Delusiuonal” means that you have to have a Secret Service agent assigned to make sure that you don’t walk into the bushes looking for the door to the office.

      “Back-door” politics means that Joe Biden misled the citizens of the USA by telling the president of Afghanistan that they need to ‘change the optics’ so that he could have a ‘win’ for 9/11.

      Guess what? The loser of all time loses again, and the US military has been drubbed by the West Virginia of the Middle East.

      Your soccer cow thugs are power-mad and enabled by the backs of the very people that they enjoy beating.

      Guess what? The jig is up.

    • Andrew Finn

      September 5, 2021 at 12:24 am

      You are absolutely right Kathy. Our Emperor DeSantis (aka The Florida Fuhrer) is severely dangerous as proven by his incompetent handling of the virus in Florida. Having been a Republican voter for decades on all levels, next year I will break ranks and vote for anybody (and I mean ANYBODY) who runs against the moron.

  • Kathy

    September 3, 2021 at 3:10 pm

    Desantis is as dangerous as trump was. Another toddler with a penchant for throwing tantrums if things don’t go his way. Allowing only FOX news to cover a story, taking the Covid vaccine into Republican private housing developments for members only life saving treatment (when those of us on the County’s waiting list, for weeks, still waited), threatening and trying to follow through with intimidating school boards trying to keep children alive…..backdoor politics and the White House would only embolden his shady antics.

    • JoAnn Poteete

      September 3, 2021 at 4:14 pm

      There’s no down arrow on here, which is what I would press if there was one. They sure need one.

  • Tom

    September 3, 2021 at 3:10 pm

    LMAO AG.
    The fact that America’s Gov scored 36% without flipping a switch is wonderful news. DeSantis is the best! He offers a bright future.

    This is really interesting that media and pollsters are already prepping him for the race and presidency. He’s not known nationally and Biden has been on a national ticket 3 times. DeSantis is the youngest chief executive in the country. He has a lot of time. Wonderful news for America’s Gov. Miles to go before we sleep.

    • Alex

      September 3, 2021 at 3:17 pm

      Still waiting for you to tell me why you didn’t sue the big bad government for taking your 4th Amendment rights (Bwahahahahaha!!!) because you had to wear a mask.

      Or was that proven (and incredibly moronic) lie #11?

      • Tom

        September 3, 2021 at 3:36 pm

        I answered that earlier
        Of course we did.
        I’ve been involved In that before as well. You are way out of line.
        This ain’t Stalin’s Soviet Union, nobody has to answer to a pud like you.
        You are a know nothing, do nothing socialist racist. You are a tyrant just like the know nothing blue state Govs.
        Who took everyone’s freedom away.
        Unlike this wonderful Gov. America’s Gov!

        • Alex

          September 3, 2021 at 3:42 pm


          No one has sued for a 4th Amendment violation over wearing a mask.

          It’s an incredibly stupid claim to make.

          Proven lie #11

          • Tom

            September 3, 2021 at 5:16 pm

            I never says it was about a mask.
            It was about property rights u idiot.
            Consent to enter. Go call Soros.
            Which is even worse.
            F u jack off
            You are 5 yr old. Period

        • Alex

          September 3, 2021 at 5:23 pm

          Lie #12

          Go for 13 stupid.

  • Alex

    September 3, 2021 at 3:14 pm

    No surprise.

    Oh and ignoramus Republicans will complain about not enough of them being polled, which simply shows their ignorance about how scientific polls work.

    • Tom

      September 3, 2021 at 3:19 pm

      You idiot moron, how stupid can one person be. He’s not known.
      He’s barely been Gov for 3 yrs.
      Repubs barely have heard of him.
      Bidens been around since the 70’s.
      3x national candidate. You have no depth. None at all, just a hack.

    • Impeach Biden

      September 3, 2021 at 5:28 pm

      Scientific polls. Ha! Ha! Let me guess you refer to Rebekah Jones as a scientist. More🤣🤣🤣🤣

      • Alex

        September 3, 2021 at 5:52 pm

        Triggered one ignoramus ^

        Can I get two?

        • Tom

          September 3, 2021 at 7:13 pm

          U triggered nothing.

          DeSantis is barely half known compared to Trump. He’s not running if Trump is. If he’s 1/4 known compared to a 3x elected national candidate that’s a lot.
          Being at 36% is pretty good considering he’s just getting his name out nationally vs 3x Nat candidate. Repub contributors are starting go get to know him and he’s had some success. Why do you care? You hate him anyway.

          I know you don’t want to discuss Biden’s Afghanistan or the pathetic Biden jobs report or the runaway inflation or the depressed wage earnings. Or Biden’s pick of incompetent Harris or his 41% approval or 53% want him to resign.

          DeSantis is in great place. You are on the curb. To bad they didn’t leave you behind.

          • Alex

            September 3, 2021 at 7:57 pm

            12 time proven liar runs mouth, again.

            No one reads your lies son.

          • Lizzie

            September 5, 2021 at 8:20 am

            This I agree with, people complaining about the pandemic need to get over it. 99% recovery rating and people want their hands held and not working. Look at the other states.. They are high in cases with restrictions. At least our gov is promoting treatments.. Why is slow joe not taking about covid? If this was trump everyone in the media that is bought from the far left would of blamed him.

      • Max Nardau II

        September 4, 2021 at 9:48 pm

        If having advanced science degrees, working as professor teaching science, working as a state researcher with the title of “scientist” and publishing scientific, peer-reviewed papers doesn’t make you a scientist… then what the hell does?

        She was right about everything. Florida. Desantis. COVID-19. You trolls should be ashamed.

  • Bennett Marco

    September 3, 2021 at 3:15 pm

    Joe Biden is a colossus, the greatest vote getter in American presidential election history, and will be re-elected easily besting DeathSantis or whoever the repug morons put up in 2024.

    • Tom

      September 3, 2021 at 3:24 pm

      No chance he gets re-elected.
      He’s lucky to finish the term.
      Can’t finish a sentence.
      41% approval & 53% resign.
      Real geniuses at WH.
      Yes, if you count polling places being closed and fake ballots.
      What a wack job you are Marco Polo.

      • Alex

        September 3, 2021 at 3:34 pm

        Still waiting for that answer.


      • Making American Sane Again

        September 5, 2021 at 5:22 pm

        We all know that there was voter fraud in the last presidential election, Tom. How could Trump has gotten as many votes that he did? DeSantis and the other Republican governors will find ways to cheat the American people again.
        As more Americans learn more about DeSantis, his polling numbers will drop… more and more women will see him for what he is — a dick

      • bob nathan

        September 7, 2021 at 4:18 am

        You should have Trump’s English analyzed. it is 4th grader stuff for starters.

      • Steven freyler

        September 15, 2021 at 3:06 pm

        no chance you have a brain

    • Impeach Biden

      September 3, 2021 at 4:12 pm

      You must be on staff of the “Stacy Abrams” voter harvesting group. No way that feeble old man generated more votes than Obama on his own

      • Bennett Marco

        September 3, 2021 at 4:20 pm

        Joe Biden is the kindest, bravest, warmest, most wonderful human being ever elected President of the United States.

        • Impeach Biden

          September 3, 2021 at 4:32 pm

          Definitely a shit stirrer.

        • Tom

          September 3, 2021 at 5:25 pm

          Yes, only in your demented mind.
          He’s showing his true colors.
          He and his son are a national embarrassment.
          We will include you also.
          Cant defend Americans abroad
          Defend Americans in cities
          Can’t defend Americans on the southern border,

          • Bennett Marco

            September 3, 2021 at 6:37 pm

            Demented? Stand down, punk. The 22nd Amendment should be repealed so Joseph Robinette Biden Jr will have the distinction of being America’s first nonagenarian president.

          • Tom

            September 3, 2021 at 6:57 pm

            Stand down my eye.
            He’s not asleep at the wheel, he’s just a sleep. He literally fell asleep with Israeli PM in oval presser. It’s on tape.
            I’m sure protective networks didn’t show it. Shameful. Please, you are an idiot.Take Alex and both of you go to socialist Cuba. Enjoy

          • Bennett Marco

            September 4, 2021 at 9:39 am

            You need compulsory re-education. This is in the works.

          • Tom

            September 4, 2021 at 1:49 pm

            Demented Marco Polo.
            You fool. You need lobotomy.
            No Manchurian school for me.

  • Impeach Biden

    September 3, 2021 at 4:02 pm

    Emerson College in Boston? Boy we are digging deep on the goal to discredit DeSantis now aren’t we Gencarski?

  • JmjUSA

    September 3, 2021 at 4:16 pm

    … In other news: aj meets his demon-rat friends to conduct a poll about how demon-rats & phake journos can better attack DeSantis….

  • PeterH

    September 3, 2021 at 4:51 pm


    Florida’s Gov. Ron DeSantis has been untouchable for the past year as he commanded the Republican culture wars to become heir apparent to Donald Trump. The latest coronavirus surge is starting to change that.

    Covid infection rates continue to climb as the state faces shortages of health care staff, morgue space and even oxygen for patients. About 15,500 people are hospitalized. 14 temporary refrigerated morgues have arrived to handle the ever accumulation of dead bodies. 350 Floridians died yesterday from Covid. Crematoriums can’t dispose of Covid bodies fast enough.
    Child infection rates have shot up. School districts — even in Republican strongholds — have rebelled against DeSantis’ anti-mask mandates. And cruise lines are resisting DeSantis’ vaccine passport ban. Even his recent poll numbers are slipping. In summary, coffins aren’t a very nice foundation for a candidate’s platform.

    Add to his draconian unscientific mask edicts …..DeSantis’s extreme positions on riot legislation, disenfranchisement of Florida trans teens participation in sports, and a woman’s right to control her own body ….. DeSantis has set the stage to be defeated nationally. He can not backtrack on his adoration of everything Trump and that alone will be his downfall of his presidential campaign.

    • Tom

      September 3, 2021 at 5:18 pm

      Blah blah blah says the predator associated org member.
      He is not running.
      Go away,

    • Lizzie

      September 5, 2021 at 8:26 am

      So you a transgender should play women sports? You do understand that men’s body will always have test, physical strength regardless of plastic surgery and hormone supplements. I guess the far left is hypocritical against women’s rights. Show wear desantis stated you can’t wear a mask? Why can’t you work? Explain what biden has done?

  • Tom

    September 4, 2021 at 3:32 pm

    Independents flee Biden over Afghan debacle.
    NPR/PBS Newshour poll have a 10 pt loss from July, 46% to now at 36%. Electoral shellacking upcoming.

    Enjoy you Manchurians, Marco Polo, Alex descendent of Che Guevara from Cuba and RHINO- Peter H, Lincoln project predator organization. LMAO

  • Jerry

    September 6, 2021 at 4:41 pm

    Every mainstream media news article on Florida or DeSantis is incredibly negative. The media is taking orders from their Democrat allies and trying to destroy any political opposition. So this is par for the course. There is a full court press against Florida and Texas right now. They are trying to sink those states. Far left cities like Portland is trying now to sever all business ties with businesses in Texas because of the abortion bill.

    This country is heading towards Civil War or a political breakup. Politically the divide is increasing. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris is not going to do anything to fix that divide. They are going to make it much, much worse.

Comments are closed.


Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Drew Dixon, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Cole Pepper, Gray Rohrer, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Drew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704