New survey shows Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump with similar odds in matchup versus Joe Biden
Does the Disney fight mean a prelude for Ron DeSantis to upstage Donald Trump?

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Pollsters keep testing the Trump or DeSantis question.

A new survey suggests that while neither Gov. Ron DeSantis nor former President Donald Trump would defeat President Joe Biden in 2024, DeSantis may be the stronger candidate of the two.

Biden received 41% of the vote against either potential Republican nominee, but DeSantis’ 33% was better than Trump’s 31%.

The poll of 1,000 registered voters was conducted by the Marquette Law School between Jan. 10 and Jan. 21. It envisioned a D +4 electorate made up of 26% Republicans, 30% Democrats, and the remainder claiming not to belong to either party.

The pollsters also tracked the question of DeSantis’ favorability. He is at net -12 in this survey, with 22% of those polled regarding DeSantis favorably, and 34% regarding him unfavorably. Trump, meanwhile, registered at a net -35, with 67% of respondents disliking the former President.

While this poll tracked the relative viability of the two Republicans against Biden, it did not test Trump and DeSantis against each other in a question about primary preferences.

Other recent polls have posed the Trump or DeSantis question, however, and those surveys say the nomination is still the former President’s to lose.

The latest Morning Consult/POLITICO survey showed former President Trump was the choice of 49% of the 390 registered Republican voters surveyed last week, with DeSantis the preference of just 14%.

With the former President excluded from the question, his son, Donald Trump Jr., was the choice of 24% of those surveyed, with DeSantis at 25%. Former Vice President Mike Pence was in third place in both scenarios, with 13% in a field with the former President, and 12% in a field excluding the senior Trump.

The Morning Consult/POLITICO poll also tracked DeSantis and Trump against Biden, and it suggested Trump was still considered to be the stronger of the two potential 2024 candidates.

Biden bested DeSantis, 44% to 39%, but the Governor led Biden with independents, 36% to 35%.

Biden was only one point ahead of Trump in that poll, with 45% support against Trump’s 44%. With independent voters, Trump had a +6 advantage.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


5 comments

  • FAKE NEWS

    January 27, 2022 at 12:24 pm

    You have to be kidding, whomever is doing this polling, is putting out FAKE NEWS

  • Charles

    January 27, 2022 at 5:05 pm

    Unfortunately Florida Politics has a history of quoting polls but not providing the details of who was polled and what party affiliations.
    Of course this is done to serve a specific narrative and make people think it’s truthful when it is pure partisan misinformation.

    I know of no one who thinks Biden/Harris has even begun to govern correctly. On the street people know Biden/ Harris has been a utter disaster of epic proportion’s.

    Enter our corrupt and biased media trying to sell us that what we see isn’t real. Keep trying — but cats out of the bag -and both Biden/Harris and media have been exposed for the hypocrites they are.

  • henry wershaw

    January 27, 2022 at 6:04 pm

    Poll taken at Democrat Party headquarters in NYC

  • Ocean Joe

    January 28, 2022 at 6:54 am

    You guys don’t like it, but you ought to realize that what you are selling has never had majority support. Trump lost the popular vote both times he ran, and we can go back through past presidential elections and find the last actual popular vote win by the GOP was Bush v. Kerry, 2004.
    Florida’s Republican party is still only 35% of our electorate. You win with independent votes or gerrymandering. Policies that ignore global warming together with your weird culture war stuff is costing you young voters.
    The poll is just a poll, but you might take from it that Trump is now an asset to the Dems.

  • zhombre

    January 28, 2022 at 4:58 pm

    Biden 2024. Four more years of dementia and ineptitude.

Comments are closed.


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