A.G. Gancarski
Reported polling from the conservative Club for Growth offers more evidence of a two-man race for the 2024 Republican Presidential nomination.
New York Times reporter Maggie Haberman tweeted that the group “regularly tested” a hypothetical head-to-head matchup between former President Donald Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in numerous states. The goal? To “test Trump’s strength within the party.”
“Through a spokesman, a Club official says Trump wins ‘handily’ in every state but Georgia,” Haberman reports.
“Handily” is a subjective term, but if the Club for Growth polling accords with other statewide surveys matching the two names, then Trump’s lead may be narrowing as time moves on from his presidency.
With speculation swirling that the timeline for a Trump relaunch may be this summer, theoretically negating not just DeSantis but any other Republican who might hazard a run, the poll testing is interestingly timed.
And the disclosure of Trump’s strong performance in the Club for Growth polls, of course, comes after a widely-reported series of straw poll wins for DeSantis.
Last weekend, the Western Conservative Summit 2024 straw poll in Colorado saw 71% approval for a DeSantis run, four points ahead of Trump. No other candidate drew even 30% support, suggesting that DeSantis continues to consolidate the “anybody but Trump” lane.
This event, associated with Colorado Christian University, is the second recent straw poll conducted far away from the Sunshine State to show DeSantis topping Trump. Voters could pick more than one candidate for approval.
Another poll of 325 attendees of the Wisconsin Republican Convention, reported by WisPolitics.com, saw DeSantis receive 38% of the vote in a hypothetical 2024 GOP field that included more than two dozen potential candidates. Trump grabbed 32% of the vote.
DeSantis is also competitive with Trump in prediction markets tracking the 2024 election, another indicator that the Governor has more buzz than the President who elevated him with his pivotal endorsement four years prior.
5 comments
Tom
June 7, 2022 at 6:20 pm
Just a meaningless article.
Ex Potus has a wide lead within party.
Gov Ron is identified as a positive voice, good future leader. He is well thought of. Independents, Hispanics and suburbia like him.
Trump should listen and learn some.
Any ex Potus is very hard to stop within party.
Maggie Haberman is last person to pass judgement. Not sure why club for growth would talk to her unless Trump did. The nomination is Trumps for asking. DeSantis is strong but I doubt he would run vs ex Potus. He may change his mind but it would be Trump 60%, DeSantis 40% vs 45, if not greater. The party leans his way.
The worse the economy gets, and it’s bad, the stronger Trump would be.
JD
June 8, 2022 at 11:48 am
He would beat Trump. The base is looking for conservative new blood, and Trump’s support has a concrete ceiling and narrowing floor. Wouldn’t surprise me to see DeSantis beat him one-on-one, a lot of the conservative supporters are already going in that direction.
Trump’s time as party leader may be coming to a close, sooner than he or we think.
Carol
June 8, 2022 at 12:41 pm
Our Prayers are for Trump as President and DeSantis for VP! Next two terms would be SeSantis for President! Republicans good for 12 years!
Aurelio Casillas
June 8, 2022 at 2:24 pm
Finance people and bundlers in NJ are already shunning DeSantis. Key people around former Governor Nominee Jack Ciattarelli are telling everyone that they won’t open check books for DeSantis.
Mark
June 8, 2022 at 3:00 pm
As a republican that voted for Trump twice, I will NOT vote for him a third time after what he did in Georgia after the 2020 election. Telling republicans to stay home for the runoff cost the republicans at least one and probably two Senate seats. As a result, it cost them an opportunity to control the Senate.
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