Poll: Ron DeSantis competitive with Joe Biden, Kamala Harris in 2024
Ron DeSantis. Image via AP.

Even in a Democratic-leaning poll, DeSantis shows real strength.

Polling continues to pour in showing Gov. Ron DeSantis would have a real shot at the presidency if he launches a campaign.

Though DeSantis has consistently said he’s not eyeing a run for the White House, a survey conducted by Echelon Insights from July 15 through 18 suggests that whether Democrats nominated President Joe Biden or Vice President Kamala Harris in 2024, DeSantis would be at least competitive.

In what was a D+5 poll surveying 42% Democrats, 37% Republicans and the remainder otherwise unaffiliated, Biden holds a 4-point lead over DeSantis among likely voters, with 45% support compared to 41% for DeSantis. Among registered voters, Biden leads 45% to 39%.

The margin of error in this survey was +/- 3.4 percentage points.

DeSantis does perform especially well against Biden with one subgroup. Fifty-three percent of respondents making over $125,000 a year prefer him over the President.

DeSantis takes 6% of Democrats polled against Biden, who takes just 5% of Republicans in this survey.

Against Harris, DeSantis fares even better. The Vice President took 43% of likely voters, 1 point above DeSantis. She had a 3-point lead with registered voters.

DeSantis drew 7% of Democrats polled against Harris, while she commanded just 4% support among Republicans. Independent voters preferred DeSantis against Harris by a strong 41% to 32%.

The Echelon Insights survey shows former President Donald Trump still commands strong support for another run for the White House, with 47% of respondents saying he definitely should run and another 11% saying he probably should. While a Trump launch is rumored to be imminent, this poll yet again shows DeSantis dominant against other Republican hopefuls in a Trump-free 2024 field.

A full 45% of likely 2024 GOP Primary voters like DeSantis. To put that number in perspective, the next 13 candidates combined for just 42% support, with “unsure” pulling the rest.

DeSantis has majority support with some key demographics, including voters who identify as male: 52% of men chose DeSantis over the rest of the field. Additionally, 51% of college graduates liked DeSantis in this survey.

Though Echelon Insights didn’t match Trump and DeSantis in this survey, at least one of their previous polls showed the Governor strong against Trump. Meanwhile, various single-state polls have shown competitive head-to-head matchups in Michigan and New Hampshire.

Florida polling is starting to show DeSantis over Trump in certain contexts. A new survey from Naples-based Victory Insights shows DeSantis ahead 61% to 39% when respondents leaning toward one candidate or another are forced to choose. A survey released last week by Blueprint Polling shows DeSantis is the choice of 51% when voters who lean one way or another are considered, with a 12-point lead over Trump, who sits at 39%.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Joe Corsin

    July 21, 2022 at 12:48 pm

    Vote RED to continue to shovel money to the rich as fast as humanly possible
    Vote RED for low wage slavery and impoverished rural areas
    Vote RED for far right propaganda labotomy so that the hogs can continue to grift them to a husk

    • Manolo V

      July 23, 2022 at 12:09 am

      Vote BLUE for increased inflation and gas prices

      Vote BLUE for endless lockdowns and poor education and mental health

      Vote BLUE for high crime, looting, and riots

      Vote BLUE for state run media and cinema

      Vote BLUE for censorship of all speech

      I can do it too.

  • Tom

    July 21, 2022 at 1:44 pm

    Oh ok, plus D 5%, has America’s Gov essentially even or so.

    So if even, plus DeSantis by 3 to 5 with independents carrying him.

    He’d defeat either one, period!

  • PeterH

    July 21, 2022 at 7:41 pm

    Put polling aside, Ron DeSantis won the State of Florida by 35,000 votes in a Governor’s race with eight million votes.

    We all had hope ….but that hope has changed to despair with mixed and failed COVID recommendations …. something he has no medical training to advise, divided businesses with fake COVID mandates, and a culture war that has divided Floridian families and teachers. Women have been relegated to second class citizens…..unable to make their own health care decisions without the nanny state overreach.

    DeSantis’s policies are not what we need in Florida or the Oval Office.

    Vote DeSantis out of office and make sure we send a clear message to the National arena…… that Floridians reject DeSantis and Trumpism.

    • Manolo V

      July 23, 2022 at 12:04 am

      Do you even live in Florida? Life’s been comparatively great here. Hence the reason people have flocked here from communist blue states.

      • marylou

        July 23, 2022 at 11:51 am

        Florida is now the least affordable place to live in the US. In some areas the rent is so high that low income (wage slaves), can’t afford to live there. Businesses are crying about how they can’t find workers.

  • Tom

    July 26, 2022 at 9:26 pm

    Put polling aside, Quinnipiac that dishonest liberal advocacy Org, openly deceived the Florida electorate and had the Manchurian soros candidate, Gillium up fraudulently by 10 pts. So DeSantis win is quite impressive you pathetic, predator Lincoln towel boy.

    Correct Manola, he peter h. Is a fraud.
    Mary lou is a sick abortionist, she wants born babies to be aborted, after both. 9 month plus.
    Corsin is lewd product.
    Despicable, scurrilous, and dastardly Manchurian nation.
    Wait til November, with recession we will win 50 house seats.
    America’s Gov rising tide for all.

Comments are closed.


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