Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump neck-and-neck in Michigan 2024 poll
Is Ron DeSantis poised to upstage Donald Trump?

Trump leads, but within MOE. DeSantis continues to surge in state polling.

New polling of a hypothetical 2024 presidential Primary in Michigan shows that if the race were between Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump, it would be too close to call.

A live operator phone poll of 500 likely voters in this year’s GOP Primary showed that while Trump was ahead of DeSantis, 45% to 42%, the lead was well inside the margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.

As one might expect, DeSantis is even outperforming Trump with some subgroups polled. The Governor was stronger with college-educated voters than Trump, with voters having less formal education preferring the former President. And the framing of the poll illustrated that divide in stark relief.

“Among Trump Republicans, Donald Trump leads 71%-21%. But among “classic Republicans,” DeSantis holds a large lead of 53%-33%,” noted the ClickOnDetroit website in discussing the results of the WDIV/Detroit News poll conducted by the Glengariff Group.

This survey is the latest example of DeSantis at least holding his own against Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head, single-state matchup.

Florida polling is starting to show DeSantis over Trump in certain contexts. A new survey from Naples-based Victory Insights shows DeSantis ahead 61% to 39% when respondents leaning toward one candidate or another are forced to choose. A survey released last week by Blueprint Polling shows DeSantis is the choice of 51% when voters who lean one way or another are considered, with a 12-point lead over Trump, who sits at 39%.

A June poll by the University of New Hampshire of the first-in-the-nation Primary state also had DeSantis over Trump, while many other polls have shown some version of a Trump lead that seems to be eroding.

Club for Growth polling on the state level has shown Trump well ahead in most places, suggesting the former President may still be the front-runner, but polls like the Michigan survey show that the 2024 question is an increasingly open one.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Joe Corsin

    July 19, 2022 at 9:25 am

    Vote RED for killing blacks, homosexuals, and women with bad policy.

    Vote RED for forced birth of crack babies to feed the prison system.

    Vote RED for low wage slavery and GOP shoveling money to the rich.

    Vote RED for Trumpian kleptocracy and terrorism

    • Matthew Lusk

      July 19, 2022 at 11:25 am

      Vote Joe Corsin for Ministry of Truth.

      • Joe Corsin

        July 19, 2022 at 12:35 pm

        Vote RED for hideous exploitation and abuse of the American worker…low wage slavery.
        Vote RED for fusion of far right propaganda and mind bending religion
        Vote RED for a far right police state and people insisting that they won elections when they didn’t.
        Vote RED for rotten cheating, stealing, and lying.

    • John Dixon

      July 20, 2022 at 11:20 am

      You sir, are a complete child and have no idea of what you are talking about. Go listen to some more media rhetoric and let them rule your life as you obviously cannot function on your own. Amazing how ignorance breeds and spreads in the liberal agenda.

  • Christian Schneider

    July 19, 2022 at 10:29 am

    Will be funny when the GOP and their megadonors ignore Trump… I sense Don will be fairly irrelevant after midterms.

    • Bill

      July 19, 2022 at 11:42 am

      I’d say he was fairly irrelevant now. I think even the people that used to like him have to admit there’s just too much baggage that goes along with him and if the reports of what he says to his close acquaintances are correct, his main objective for running is to get himself out of some of his legal difficulties.

  • marylou

    July 19, 2022 at 12:09 pm

    Seniors need to wake up. They don’t see that their power in the Republican party is now gone, and that they are no longer the audience that their party is speaking to.

    What do these elders think will happen to them now that the Republicans no longer need their vote? Republican lawmakers have already established that it is acceptable to let people die when it’s in the government’s interest, so now we have pregnant women being denied life saving care. Seniors can’t somehow think they are different. They will soon be treated like the “useless eaters” that the Republicans now see them as. The Republican plan to cancel Social Security and Medicare is only the beginning.

    • Elliott Offen

      July 19, 2022 at 12:39 pm

      Republicans kill their children’s minds with mind bending religion and far right propaganda. Kill the elderly and disabled by trying to sabotage social programs and spending. Kill everyone else with low wages and shoveling money to the rich. The GOP is a national security threat. Should be declared unconstitutional and eliminated like yesterday. Military can deal with anyone who doesn’t like it.

      • John Dixon

        July 20, 2022 at 11:24 am

        How can you people be so lost and dominated by a fake liberal agenda? Do any of you actually educate yourselves? Every single thing you talk about is based on nothing. No science, no data, no actual statistical data. Just, because, is your only reasoning. My god you people are ignorant followers of a boob of a president. My children have a higher level of knowledge of the world than you do.

  • John Barron

    July 19, 2022 at 3:35 pm

    If DeSantis can’t beat trump at this point he needs to hang it up. He’s too far to be president anyway, just ask Chris Christie!

  • David in Shoreline

    July 19, 2022 at 8:02 pm

    President Trump was great. But 2024 will be the time for a younger, more principled man to campaign for the White House. Along with his beautiful wife and adorable kids. Ron DeSantis is the future of the Republican party and the future President of the United States, mark my words.

  • Frankie M.

    July 19, 2022 at 10:57 pm

    Gotta eat!

  • For you

    July 25, 2022 at 7:38 pm

    Thanks for letting us know that educated people vote.
    I thought the world was full of hoonigans

    • For you

      July 25, 2022 at 8:17 pm

      Donald gave people a gaureentee.when others offered none makes him more promising.
      If you like you life run by no guarantee no great outlook. Always punishing your fellow human.then that’s the choice

Comments are closed.


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