Poll: Ron DeSantis neck-and-neck with Donald Trump in battleground states
Donald Trump gives Ron DeSantis the cold shoulder.

DeSantis leads in Georgia, Ohio; Trump is ahead in North Carolina, Pennsylvania.

A new poll of battleground state Republicans shows Ron DeSantis competitive with Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 Presidential Primary.

The survey, conducted by John Bolton‘s Super PAC, concentrated on Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, four Senate battleground states. DeSantis led in two of the states.

DeSantis led Trump in neighboring Georgia, with 36% support compared to 29% for the former President. In Ohio, DeSantis’ lead was more narrow: 30% to 28%.

Trump led in North Carolina, with 37% support against 29% for DeSantis. In Pennsylvania, Trump had his strongest performance, with 40% support against 29% for DeSantis.

Among the Primary voters polled, Trump held a narrow lead across the four-state region, 33% to 31%. No other potential candidate had more than 7% support overall, or even breached double-digit support in any state, the latest indication 2024 is shaping up to be a Trump-DeSantis face-off.

The margin of error overall is +/- 2.8 percentage points, so there is plenty of room for interpretation with these results. Bolton-associated polling has also trended toward DeSantis, which is another potential caveat. Nevertheless, this four-state survey is the latest evidence of an evolving showdown.

DeSantis has shown strength in various single-state polls, which have shown competitive head-to-head matchups in Michigan and New Hampshire.

Florida polling is starting to show DeSantis over Trump in certain contexts. A new survey from Naples-based Victory Insights shows DeSantis ahead 61% to 39%. A survey released last week by Blueprint Polling shows DeSantis with a 12-point lead over Trump.

Not all polling points to a DeSantis trend, however. Notably, Club for Growth polling on the state level has shown Trump well ahead of the Governor in most places.

The Bolton battleground state polling dropped in the immediate wake of a straw poll massively favorable to Trump at the Turning Point USA Student Action Summit.

The TPUSA straw poll showed Trump with 78% support against 20% for DeSantis, but if Trump were out of the field, most of that support gravitated to DeSantis, who drew 87% backing in a field excluding the former President.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Jim

    July 29, 2022 at 10:40 am

    2024 elections tentatively scheduled for hypothetical United States of America.

  • PeterH

    July 29, 2022 at 11:16 am

    Should voters see either of these two radical right wing candidates Trump or DeSantis on the Republican ticket in 2024 they should vote for either a Democrat or Independent candidate.

    I feel confident that Liz Cheney will run as an Independent if for no other reason to be a Republican Party spoiler. If you’re a true Conservative….having Liz Cheney in the Oval Office is a far better choice to advance authentic conservatism without the culture war badges of violence, white supremacy, hate and division.

  • Joe Corsin

    July 29, 2022 at 3:22 pm

    Vote RED for far right police state
    Vote RED for religious law
    Vote RED for life sentences for DUI
    Vote RED for rule by the misrable minority
    Vote RED for low wage slavery

Comments are closed.


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