Progressive poll finds Marco Rubio, Val Demings in near deadlock

The poll found Demings growing in name recognition, but Rubio underwater in favorability.

A new poll from progressive groups shows U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio and Democratic challenger Val Demings virtually tied.

Liberal groups Progress Florida and Florida Watch polling a large number of voters and modeled its sample on a Republican-leaning mid-term electorate. The Senate race, though, remains close with Rubio winning 46% support to Demings’ 45%.

That means the two-term Senator underperforms the generic ballot test in the same boll, that shows 48% of voters inclined to vote Republican in the midterms and 45% who intend to vote Democratic.

Pollsters for the Florida Communications and Research Hub surveyed 3,017 Florida voters between Aug. 25 and 30. The poll has a 1.78% margin of error.

Results were collected after Democratic primaries determined Crist as his party’s nominee.

Perhaps as important as his standing against the Orlando Congresswoman, the poll also found Rubio well below a desired 50% threshold where incumbents want to be. And the results come out when Demings continues to out-raise Rubio in one of the nation’s most competitive Senate contests.

For Demings, the near tie with Rubio represents a 7-percentage-point leap from the last Hub poll as far as name recognition.

Still, a polling memo from pollsters Geoff Puryear and Annika Ramnath said there’s space for improvement. “She has room for definition, with 1-in-4 voters saying they are unable to rate her, including 17% of Democrats and 36% of NPAs.”

But Demings has a net positive rating as far as likability, with 40% holding a favorable view and 34% iterated an unfavorable one. By comparison, Rubio remains underwater with voters, 52% of whom view him unfavorably and 43% who see him favorably.

“After more than 20 years in office as a career politician, Floridians know who Marco Rubio is and they don’t like what they see,” said Progress Florida Executive Director Mark Ferrulo. “As Floridians continue to learn more about Chief Val Demings and her record of keeping our communities safe, protecting access to abortion care, and fighting for working families, she is well positioned to send Sen. Rubio into the private sector this fall.”

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected].


  • Tom

    September 1, 2022 at 11:33 am

    Amazing, these continued fake push polls pile up.

    Really, question. If Marco locked his wife out?
    Beat his dog and made his daughter walk a mile in the dark rain, would you vote for him or Dumings.?

    Amazing. Keep on crawling to no where.
    Rubio is up 8 to 10 pts. .

    • Joe Corsin

      September 1, 2022 at 11:53 am

      Seek inpatient psychiatric treatment
      Seek medication
      Seek something for Christ sakes..think about humanity.

      • Avy115

        September 2, 2022 at 3:52 pm

        Are you tired with your job good cd03 opportunity Online Working Home Base Jobs for you here.

        Copy This Site………

    • lawson

      September 8, 2022 at 8:14 pm

      Your opinion seems to have no factual basis, America needs people in office that work for all people not just forn the corporatiuons and the rich. And demings has a good record for being an honest law and order public servant. Little marco supports domestic terrorists and
      only votes the party line no matter how bad it is.

  • PeterH

    September 1, 2022 at 11:41 am

    Last evening Alaska voted to put the first Native Alaskan in the House. MAGA Sarah Palin has been was soundly defeated.

    If Americans want women to control their own bodies, qualified teachers to replace DeSantis’s culture wars in classrooms, intelligent teacher-student conversations concerning the social issues facing Americans in the 21st century, non-bullying discussion about classroom students who are different, common sense gun regulations, and a new honest approach on how best to address climate change……AMERICANS MUST VOTE ALL REPUBLICANS OUT OF OFFICE. REPUBLICANS ARE AMERICA’S PROBLEM.

  • Hope

    September 1, 2022 at 11:57 am

    Too many people respect Senator Rubio as he knows all too well about corrupt regimes that threaten our freedoms (such as the Brandon Administration). He will win overwhelmingly and no bogus polls will change that. Rubio for the win!

    • Charlie Crist

      September 1, 2022 at 12:03 pm

      Boobio for the rich!!!
      Scott for the fraudsters!!
      Trump for the neo nazis!!!
      Fat Cammack for the farmers!! (ever seen a woman eat a 5 gallon bucket full of grits and gravy???😂)

      • Hope

        September 1, 2022 at 12:30 pm

        You are the Billboard reminder of the Hunter Biden treason, the Biden inflation, the 401Ks dropping, the weaponization of our Federal law enforcement agencies, the high gas prices, supply chain disruptions, baby formula shortages, making the US vulnerable to enemy countries, grooming of children, fentanyl overdoses due to the trafficker-in-chief Biden.. thank you for the free advertising for Rubio and DeSantis as they will be victorious in November!

        Seek help for your Fatal Attraction.

        • Charlie Crist

          September 1, 2022 at 1:09 pm

          @Hope: Damn near everything you just said is ridiculous right wing propaganda. People not buying it anymore. Try something different like what will the GOP actually do for anyone but the rich….name these know like some kind of platform???

          • Terry

            September 1, 2022 at 1:31 pm

            This poll was commissioned by two progressive organizations. Charity Campaign Labs is the name of the polling company. In their bio it states “ We guide progressive campaigns and organizations on a path to victory through customized polling, analytics and strategy solutions” I would like to see a poll that is commissioned by a Republican polling organization. Results would be a lot different.

          • Hope

            September 1, 2022 at 1:59 pm

            Hahaha… nice try everything I listed were facts, you just have propaganda stuck in your little hamster wheel where you’re supposed to have a brain.

            Those are all the facts of the destruction the Brandon Administration has created. I didn’t think your attention span or brain (that has been lobotomized) would hold the actual Republican platforms.

            You would be shocked that the Republicans actually have legitimate platforms so as you read about them and learn about them you might want to have a crash cart nearby as the shock may send you into a cardiac arrest.

            How’s that Fatal Attraction therapy coming?

          • Michael Magri

            September 4, 2022 at 9:09 pm

            Very well said Mr. Crist. The Republikkkan Party is the party of Tax Cuts for the Rich and a Gun in every pot. Sorry no chickens to eat, so just eat your assault weapons with a side of fries.

        • marylou

          September 1, 2022 at 2:14 pm

          “grooming of children”: callously parroting “grooming” is insensitive and harmful. There are children who have been victims of actual grooming. Don’t let innocent children be re-victimized by campaign “grooming”, too.

          • Hope

            September 1, 2022 at 2:50 pm

            Mary Lou…
            Really? Talk about victimizing children, maybe you should take your own advice regarding your pro-abortion stance. Mic drop!

          • marylou

            September 1, 2022 at 5:34 pm

            @Hope: Are you trying to say that cruelty toward children and their parents is okay because some people think those same children should have more rights than a zygote? Is that supposed to make any sense? Pick up your mic and ice your foot so you don’t lose a toenail

      • Terry

        September 1, 2022 at 1:04 pm

        Again, you call a woman fat because you don’t like her political opinion. This is being done by you all the time. Besides being a Republican, what has Rep. Cammack ever done to you for to cause your constant insults. By the way I know this is another one of your aliases on FP— you’re not fooling anyone.

        • Charlie Crist

          September 1, 2022 at 3:12 pm

          @Terry: I call her Fat Cammack because I think she’s hot. I’m attracted to the woman. You fail!!!

      • marylou

        September 1, 2022 at 2:32 pm

        Desantis for the rapist boyfriends!!!
        …men who will force girls and women to have their baby and share 18 years of custody!!! A vote for Desantis is a vote to let abusers trap women and girls.

  • Charlie Crist

    September 1, 2022 at 3:16 pm

    @Hope: Almost everything you listed is exaggerated nonsense. You people are clowns… headed for the garbage can of history. Whole planet hates Trump and Trump supporters.

  • Elliott Offen

    September 3, 2022 at 4:37 pm

    I’m so tired of these fake polls used to demoralize patriotic Americans who don’t accept the left’s woke BS. It’s just a cover for stealing elections. Thank God so many of Trumps MAGA candidates have won their primaries. We are looking good for flipping the House and Senate Red this November.

    Looking forward to seeing Biden, Garland et al being impeached.

    America First!

    • Tom

      September 4, 2022 at 4:01 pm

      The House will flip, no doubt.
      Senate is 50/50, Repub. in good position. 65 days to go,

      GOP up 5 in Rasmussen generic, few others as well. Dems not in favorable position to retain. As usual mental idiot Elliot no clue.

  • Flagrante Delicto

    September 7, 2022 at 12:29 pm


  • hugh

    September 8, 2022 at 8:16 pm

    Your opinion seems to have no factual basis, America needs people in office that work for all people not just forn the corporatiuons and the rich. And demings has a good record for being an honest law and order public servant. Little marco supports domestic terrorists and only votes the party line no matter how bad it is.

Comments are closed.


Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Drew Dixon, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Cole Pepper, Gray Rohrer, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Drew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704

Sign up for Sunburn