Number of Republican ballots already cast now exceeds Democratic votes in Florida

GOP
RPOF Chair Joe Gruters said the party's 'turnout machine is working.'

The number of registered Republicans who already voted ahead of Florida’s Nov. 8 election now exceeds that of Democrats.

Fresh Take Florida’s tracking database showed by 9:30 a.m. on Thursday, Oct. 27, Republicans overtook Democrats. At that point, 794,199 Republicans had already had mail-in ballots received or had voted early. A total of 793,066 Democrats had voted by that point, along with 372,571 registered with no party or with smaller parties. That lead continued to expand through the day.

While Republican voters typically outperform Democrats by the time Election Day wraps, it’s unusual to see that type of turnout 12 days out. That has been especially unusual after former President Donald Trump criticized mail-in voting as susceptible to fraud.

The shift has taken place since in-person early voting became available to most Florida voters. Leading into this week, Democrats still had an edge when all ballots received came through the mail.

But Republican officials continue to encourage voting by any method available legally in Florida.

“Our turnout machine is working,” said Joe Gruters, Republican Party of Florida Chair.

Moreover, Gruters predicted Florida has seen Democrats in the lead with votes cast for the last time this election cycle.

“We passed the Democrats today in actual votes and we are never going to give that up,” he said.

He also predicted this would result in Republican victories up and down the ballot, even in a number of places where President Joe Biden performed well two years ago.

“We are going to put a licking on them (Democrats),” Gruters said. “We are going to crush them, and have one of the best cycles we have ever had in Florida.”

He credited a strong top of the ticket, in particular Gov. Ron DeSantis, who holds a double-digit lead on Democrat Charlie Crist in recent polls.

“I give credit to DeSantis for leading the party in this effort,” Gruters said, “and to his policies keeping Florida free and open, which helps everyone down ballot.”

Florida Democrats have not discussed the statistical shift in turnout.

This is the first election in Florida history where the number of registered Republicans in Florida surpassed the number of Democrats.

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected].


34 comments

  • Elliott Offen

    October 27, 2022 at 6:16 pm

    Florida is being lost to neo nazis, grifters, and terrorists. Cut off all federal aid, pull out all federal workers, and issue travel warnings for Florida similar to nations of a hostile foreign power. Travel to Florida at your own risk.

    • Ben

      October 28, 2022 at 2:20 am

      Leave.

    • Koggern

      October 28, 2022 at 4:53 am

      You’re describing the democrat party.

      Gop states and voters keep this country going. Democrats are low IQ leeches.

      • marylou

        October 28, 2022 at 10:35 am

        Those “leech” Blue states send much more money to the federal government than they get back! Republican run states— including Florida— get a lot more from the federal government than they pay in. Google it! Republicans are the leeches!!

        • marylou

          October 28, 2022 at 10:37 am

          Republicans are also the uneducated. Democrats are college graduates.

      • Elliott Offen

        October 28, 2022 at 12:32 pm

        Yeah Q-Shaman, Mike Lindell, and Trump low IQ. Ashli Babbitt NO IQ!

    • R L Mason

      October 28, 2022 at 10:24 pm

      If that’s the case then why are New Yorkers and Californians moving to Florida by the Thousands every month?

      • marylou

        October 29, 2022 at 8:35 am

        Because New Yorkers and Californians are telling uneducated, criminal leeches they are not welcome in their states. Peer pressure from neighbors is forcing out the gullible bigots. Florida is one of the few states actively importing moRONs.

      • Tony

        October 30, 2022 at 10:40 am

        Those states are not sending their best.

    • Jose

      October 30, 2022 at 9:40 pm

      Go back to New York, Jets fans…

    • Barry

      October 31, 2022 at 3:10 pm

      Sez, uneducated Democrap voter!

  • tom palmer

    October 27, 2022 at 6:26 pm

    I thought the GOP claimed mail in ballots were subject to fraud even though they had historically canvassed nursing homes.

  • Tom

    October 27, 2022 at 7:35 pm

    Wah, Wah, Wah.

    Buckle up mental morons.
    You got a real long 12 days coming. Election night worse.

    It’s going to be a gigantic defeat for pathetic chameleon, disaster Dumings and the rest of the clown show. Idiot POTUS has a 36% Florida approval. The Miami rally will have a 100 people.
    Hernandez Matz will bring the child molester. Elliot and Corsin will have private time with him. Biden will grab some young girls. Go shove some ice cream up pie hole.

    The Florida Dums are threw. Your going to get slaughtered. State, county, local. The Dums will be lost for a generation. Enjoy!

    • Charlie Crist

      October 27, 2022 at 7:42 pm

      👆 This is kind of neanderthal that Elliott was talking about. Just doesn’t know his ass from his balls and just a derelict. This is why Florida is fucked. Too many suckers for grifters who wouldn’t wipe their ass with them. Too many people not competent enough to vote!

      • Tom

        October 27, 2022 at 8:53 pm

        Wah Pussy moron, piece of manure Joey corsin. Go bang your mommy!
        Meet me at the Trump rally Pussy!

        • Charlie Crist

          October 27, 2022 at 9:12 pm

          I’ll meet you there. I’ll be flying over in a crop duster full of nerve agent. Do humanity a favor and spray the crowd full of apes, terrorists, and neo nazis.

          • Tom

            October 27, 2022 at 9:53 pm

            You couldn’t fly your kite!
            Wah, Wah!
            I’ll meet you at the Biden event, I’ll spot you. There will be only 10 of you, I’ll see you the wimp!
            Can you make it from China?

          • Tom

            October 27, 2022 at 9:53 pm

            You couldn’t fly your kite!
            Wah, Wah!
            I’ll meet you at the Biden event, I’ll spot you. There will be only 10 of you, I’ll see you the wimp!
            Can you make it from China?

      • Tom

        October 27, 2022 at 8:53 pm

        Wah Pussy moron, piece of manure Joey corsin. Go bang your mommy!
        Meet me at the Trump rally Pussy!

        • Charlie Crist

          October 27, 2022 at 9:13 pm

          “Wah pussy” – Tom Neanderthal double poster..not competent enough to vote.

          • Tom

            October 29, 2022 at 10:06 am

            350,000 new GOP registrations, flipped from 250,000 Dems 3 yrs ago.
            LMAO, people’s fleeing the Dummycrats. Good riddance.

            You have a historic shellacking taking place! Dems lost for a generation.

            Gov and Marco win with 55% plus.
            Top down, state, county and local FGOP sweep. Enjoy

          • Tom

            October 29, 2022 at 10:07 am

            350,000 new GOP registrations, flipped from 250,000 Dems 3 yrs ago.
            LMAO, people’s fleeing the Dummycrats. Good riddance.

            You have a historic shellacking taking place! Dems lost for a generation.

            Gov and Marco win with 55% plus.
            Top down, state, county and local FGOP sweep. Enjoy

          • Phil Ammann

            October 30, 2022 at 2:00 pm

            Please be civil and respectful. Florida Politics encourages debate and discussion in our comment section(s): Do not swear, use profanity, or otherwise inappropriate language on any FloridaPolitics.com post. Posting under another person’s name is also a violation of our rules. If any user continues to violate and/or does not maintain proper decorum, the account will be subject to additional moderation actions — up to and including a permanent ban. Derogatory language is not allowed, and if continued, will result in immediate removal/blockage without further warning.

          • Phil Ammann

            October 30, 2022 at 2:04 pm

            Please be civil and respectful. Florida Politics encourages debate and discussion in our comment section(s): Do not swear, use profanity, or otherwise inappropriate language on any FloridaPolitics.com post. Posting under another person’s name is also a violation of our rules. If any user continues to violate and/or does not maintain proper decorum, the account will be subject to additional moderation actions — up to and including a permanent ban. Derogatory language is not allowed, and if continued, will result in immediate removal/blockage without further warning.

  • Jerry

    October 27, 2022 at 7:56 pm

    Democrats are in for a historic loss. Not just Florida either. Democrats are in for a REALLY REALLY bad night. Polls everywhere show independents are breaking for Republicans. And polls are starting to show a large shift of Hispanic voters to the Republicans too. That shift is huge in Florida where the GOP may win Miami-Dade county for the first time in nearly 3 decades.

    Is anyone surprised? All the Democrats have done the past 2 years is further divide the country. They consider their political opponents, and parents who attend school board meetings, to be domestic terrorists. Biden gets on TV with a red dystopian backdrop and called 70+ million voters a threat to the country. He has politically weaponized the FBI. The border is out of control. Inflation is out of control. Crime is rising. The economy is on the verge of a recession. War has broken out in Europe. And all the Democrats want to talk about is abortion, abolishing the 2nd amendment, and if you got your COVID vaccine. They want to radically change our institutions such as getting rid of the filibuster and pack the Supreme Court so they can force their agenda down everyone’s throat. Don’t forget they hired 87,000 IRS agents in a bill they called “Inflation Reduction Act.” How does hiring 87k IRS agents reduce inflation? Can a Democrat explain that to me? All this is why the Dems are about to be spanked really, really hard.

  • Carlos Danger

    October 28, 2022 at 1:12 am

    The Democrats problem is that they just pander to fool people into voting for them and then do little while in office, their talking points don’t really work in Florida anyway. Unlike the South West, most Hispanics here are not Mexican or from other parts of Central America, most are legally here and so are their relatives so they don’t give a crap about illegals one way or the other.

    That emotional blackmail tactic doesn’t go far in this state.

    So Democrats have to show results instead, and, the fail BIG TIME on that across the board…crime is up, gas is up, empty shelves, trying to groom children at school, and more.

    If Dems want to improve in Florida then they need to do their jobs and work for the people instead of working on Globalist issues and ignoring the people, even Ukraine is prioritized over Americans.

  • Carlos Danger

    October 28, 2022 at 1:12 am

    The Democrats problem is that they just pander to fool people into voting for them and then do little while in office, their talking points don’t really work in Florida anyway. Unlike the South West, most Hispanics here are not Mexican or from other parts of Central America, most are legally here and so are their relatives so they don’t give a crap about illegals one way or the other.

    That emotional blackmail tactic doesn’t go far in this state.

    So Democrats have to show results instead, and, the fail BIG TIME on that across the board…crime is up, gas is up, empty shelves, trying to groom children at school, and more.

    If Dems want to improve in Florida then they need to do their jobs and work for the people instead of working on Globalist issues and ignoring the people, even Ukraine is prioritized over Americans.

    • marylou

      October 29, 2022 at 8:48 am

      Guess Desantis hasn’t let you know:
      Overall crime rates went up 30 percent during T-rumps last two years. States that voted for Trump in 2020 had murder rates 40 percent higher than those won by Joe Biden.

      With Biden in office violent crimes like homicides and rapes are down in most major cities. States with the highest rates of gun ownership have the highest crime rates.

      No Democratic candidate has actually called for eliminating police funding. House Democrats passed a bill just last month granting $300 million to local police departments.

      • Carlos Danger

        October 29, 2022 at 8:35 pm

        Nice try with the lies. Even CNN admits that there is a massive crime in Democrat controlled cities – and that includes most cities in “red” states – they are ran by the Democratic Party. Democrats have also campaigned on defunding the police so you are silly to believe that people will buy your lies that Dems are PRO police, that’s hilarious!!

        From CNN: “””(CNN)Major American cities saw a 33% increase in homicides last year as a pandemic swept across the country, millions of people joined protests against racial injustice and police brutality, and the economy collapsed under the weight of the pandemic — a crime surge that has continued into the first quarter of this year.

        Sixty-three of the 66 largest police jurisdictions saw increases in at least one category of violent crimes in 2020, which include homicide, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault, according to a report produced by the Major Cities Chiefs Association. Baltimore City, Baltimore County and Raleigh, North Carolina, did not report increases in any of the violent crime categories.”””

        • Carlos Danger

          October 29, 2022 at 8:38 pm

          Also from CNN and about 2021 in particular [Biden has done SQUAT about crime since then btw]:

          “””Concerns rising inside White House over surge in violent crime

          A nationwide surge in violent crime has emerged as a growing area of concern inside the White House, where President Joe Biden and his aides have listened with alarm as local authorities warn a brutal summer of killing lies ahead.

          Biden plans to address the spike in shootings, armed robberies and vicious assaults on Wednesday afternoon following a meeting with state and local officials, law enforcement representatives and others involved in combating the trend.”””

  • Marconi

    October 28, 2022 at 8:56 am

    It’s quite brutal all this liberty, safety and prosperity Florida seems to be experiencing because that heartless Desantis.
    He was successful in getting the message out. Florida was kept free of regressive fauci lockdown nonsense during covid.
    Desantis was immediately boots on the ground following our recent hurricane.
    Democrat politicians simply talk progressive left wing gibberish.
    Desantis walks the walk of the regular working class man and woman. No biology degree necessary.
    Thanks to Gov. Ron, Florida will remain a free state!
    If you want to be blue, pack your bags and return to the blue states from which you came.

    • Charlie Crist

      October 28, 2022 at 12:36 pm

      👆Bio terrorist. Republican voters are terrorists and sociopaths of various stripes. Lie, cheat, and steal like pirates… claim devine right 😆

  • just sayin

    October 28, 2022 at 1:49 pm

    I think the most telling thing in all this is Manny Diaz, the Florida Democratic Party chair supporting moderate Dem John Dailey over Kristen Dozier. He knows if the party continues its leftward drift, which is mostly embraced only by the white childless liberals, it will lose all its minority support and splinter. Hopefully both parties can come back to the middle, although the sh–show that is the comments section of this website doesn’t give me hope.

  • Boaz

    October 29, 2022 at 2:07 pm

    Untrue if adjusted for FICA payments

Comments are closed.


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