PBS poll shows Donald Trump leading 2024 GOP field, boosted by poorer, less educated voters
Image via AP.

Blue collar Republicans still back the former President.

New national polling suggests that Donald Trump is still a complication to Ron DeSantis’ path to the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, drawing support from poorer, less educated voters, with DeSantis the choice of those with more money and degrees.

A National Public Radio/PBS Newshour/Marist Poll conducted Dec. 6 through Dec. 8 shows Trump is ahead of DeSantis nationally with Republican and GOP-leaning independent voters, in a three-way matchup that includes former Vice President Mike Pence.

Though polling generally has shown a trend favorable to DeSantis, especially in the weeks since the November election, this survey shows Trump with a 16-point lead among all respondents. The former President had a near majority, with 45% of the tally, 12 points ahead of DeSantis at 33%. “Someone else” came in at 11%, with the former Vice President garnering just 8% support.

Trump’s lead came from GOP registrants. That subset preferred him over DeSantis, 48% to 32%. Yet DeSantis held a slight edge with independents who lean Republican, 38% to 36%. Pence, meanwhile, was a non-starter with both groups. Just 11% of Republican registrants and 6% of GOP-leaning indies liked him best.

Respondents with less education and income preferred Trump. The former President had 53% support with voters making less than $50,000 a year, 30 points ahead of DeSantis and 41 points ahead of Pence.

Voters with less formal education also opted for Trump, who famously said at a rally that he “loves the poorly educated.”

The former President led DeSantis with those without a college education, 49% to 29%, while DeSantis held a 4-point lead with college graduates. Pence was in single digits with both cohorts.

In what may have been the most surprising finding in the survey, voters with children under 18 in the household strongly preferred Trump. A full 63% picked the former President, tripling DeSantis’ anemic 21% showing. Childless voters, however, leaned DeSantis, 38% to 36% for Trump. Pence was in single digits with both groups.

Trump was ahead of DeSantis with both male and female voters, but there was a definite split there too.

Among male voters, Trump held a 44% to 38% lead over DeSantis. But among female voters, Trump’s lead expanded, 46% to 29% for the Governor.

Pence was in single digits with both genders.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. He writes for the New York Post and National Review also, with previous work in the American Conservative and Washington Times and a 15+ year run as a columnist in Folio Weekly. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Josh Green

    December 15, 2022 at 10:46 am

    “I love the poorly educated.”
    – Donald Trump
    Februrary 24, 2016

    The poorly educated are the foundation of Trump’ base. Anybody with a brain in their head despises the guy.

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  • Bye Nancy

    December 15, 2022 at 10:54 am

    I would say the more poorly educated voters are Democrats. You have the country in an economic crisis, a Southern Border that has been dismantled, and record big city crime. Yet they continue to vote “D”. Unbelievable.

    • Elliott Offen

      December 15, 2022 at 11:15 am

      Sorry but that’s not true. Also only an idiot would vote for a billionaire and expect that individual to make them more prosperous. It doesn’t work like that. They cut their own taxes and use their position to profit more later. That’s more of your money in their pocket. Trickle down economics is a hoax. After enough people get to be billionaires, everyone else is basically at their mercy and these people don’t care about society as a whole… only profit and taking as much money as they can from the pile.

      • Karen

        December 15, 2022 at 1:41 pm

        Only an idiot would vote for a brain dead hack who spent his whole life Prostituting his country to the highest bidder!

        • Elliott Offen

          December 20, 2022 at 8:25 am

          He’s done good things for this country over many decades.. unlike Trump who only scammed people and grifted money to feed his own fat ass. You people need a big smack.

  • Joe Corsin

    December 15, 2022 at 11:21 am

    Run him again! He will lose! This is what GOP charlatans get for pandering to deplorables, not actually caring about their constituents, and only voting in the intrests of the wealthy in Congress. You get a bunch of constituents ready to burn it all down. Keep it up with the right wing propaganda! The party is suffering greatly because of these empty suit bums!

  • Diego Garcia

    December 15, 2022 at 11:32 am

    Says it all…colleges & universities are just “woke” factories is all. Knowledge without wisdom is useless.

  • cassandra of the swamp

    December 15, 2022 at 12:15 pm

    “…most surprising finding in the survey, voters with children under 18 in the household strongly preferred Trump.”

    Not surprising at all. Parents do not want Desantis’ culture wars in their child’s classroom. Or his government in their daughter’s body and their family’s lives.

    • Boaz

      December 16, 2022 at 3:24 am

      Hyperbole always hurts the causes of so-called progressivism, wokeism, or whatever euphemism is used nowadays to describe present-day Bolsheviks. Follow facts, not fear.

      • cassandra

        December 16, 2022 at 9:03 pm

        I’m sorry, but is your comment supposed to be somehow related to mine??

      • Joe Corsin

        December 20, 2022 at 8:23 am

        Fear like Fentanyl Halloween candy and “fight like hell or you aren’t going to have a country?”

  • Ian

    December 16, 2022 at 9:40 am

    Poorer uneducated voters, can I sell you a $99 NFT as myself depicted as a superhero.?

  • tom palmer

    December 20, 2022 at 5:00 pm

    Primaries are not general elections.

Comments are closed.


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