National poll puts Ron DeSantis 42 points behind Donald Trump

Ron DeSantis 5.17.23 AP PHOTO (2)
Will the formal campaign launch turn the numbers around?

Days ahead of a campaign launch, another national poll is sour on Ron DeSantis’ level of support among Republicans in 2024.

The most recent survey from Harvard-Harris, conducted May 17 through May 19, shows the Florida Governor 42 points behind former President Donald Trump, 58% to 16%.

Despite DeSantis’ doldrums, he’s well ahead of the trio tied for third: Nikki HaleyMike Pence and Vivek Ramaswamy all have 4% support.

There is some good news in the survey. After Trump, DeSantis is the runaway “second choice,” up 41% to 14% over the former Vice President.

DeSantis has scored 16% in other recent polling.

A survey of 436 likely GOP Primary voters conducted April 24-27 by McLaughlin and Associates shows DeSantis mustering just 16% in a crowded field including Trump (52%) and other declared and potential candidates.

An Emerson College poll in the field Monday and Tuesday of last week has DeSantis 46 points behind Trump, 62% to 16%.

These polls diverge from the FiveThirtyEight average of polls, which shows a Trump trend in aggregate. The former President leads DeSantis 53% to 21% on average, with Pence at 6% and Haley at 4%.

The RealClearPolitics (RCP) polling average pegs DeSantis at just under 20% support in the 2024 Republican Primary field, with Trump registering nearly 57% support.

The Race to the White House average is more forgiving to the Florida Governor. Trump musters 53% support in that model, with DeSantis’ nearly 22% standing as the best of the three major averages.

Race to the White House also offers a delegate forecast based on state polling, which suggests the race is Trump’s to lose. In a crowded field, the former President is predicted to amass 1,787 delegates, with DeSantis taking 598. Just 1,234 are needed to win.

In a field that consolidates to a two-man race after Nevada, Trump draws 1,559 delegates, with DeSantis taking 895.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Ed Dot Com 👍

    May 19, 2023 at 2:43 pm

    Virtually impossible for him to win in 2024. It’s all a political stunt. Orange Hitler will split the vote to favor the Dems if DeSantis even comes close to getting the nomination. Just goes to show you what happens to a political party once it supports a right wing populist like Trump. They should have known better. Now Trump is a big pain in the azz and they think they can appease their way out of the situation. They underestimated his selfishness and harmful nature, or rather haven’t dealt with it effectively. They will continue to pay a price.

  • Bob T Iger

    May 19, 2023 at 2:49 pm

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  • Earl Pitts American

    May 19, 2023 at 2:53 pm

    Good afternoon America,
    This is total bogus polling based on a far left vast conspericy movement with compliant polling business’s cooking the books and a compliant media pushing these lies out to the public.

    Facts back up the left can beat the crap out of Trump once again and they totally need to run against Trump to win again.

    Facts back up that the left can not beat Desantis. So the left must run against Trump to survive.

    Now that you know the truth I, Earl Pitts American hereby label you a dook 4 brains leftist if you are still thinking about voting for Trump. And your an idiot too and you stink too and you are ugly too.
    Thank you America,
    Earl Pitts Americn

    • Meghan Sussex

      May 19, 2023 at 3:11 pm

      Oh Earl you are so very wise, intelegent, and good looking too.
      Me and my girlfriends are still dreaming of meeting you to savor the true flavor of all your sensual wisdom in person.
      We have sent your statements to Snoops and everything you say fact checks true 100% of the time.
      Thank you so much oh wize one,
      Yours forever in adoration,
      Meghan Sussex

    • Elliott Offen

      May 19, 2023 at 4:25 pm

      Earl Pitts is a Russian troll.

  • Michael K

    May 19, 2023 at 4:05 pm

    I’m surprised he’s not further behind. The more people learn about him the less they like him.

  • Ocean Joe

    May 19, 2023 at 4:22 pm

    Trump’s entire appeal has always been acting like the drunk uncle at a backyard barbecue. Desantis is the prissy neighbor who calls the cops about the loud music.
    Neither can win, but Dems are playing with fire putting all the eggs in a basket carried by poor old Mr. Biden, one case of shingles away from looking like what’s her name, with the only back up nominee being a highly unpopular VP. Too important, others need to step up.

  • Crystal Barnjum

    May 20, 2023 at 8:35 am

    DeSantis is a God.

Comments are closed.


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