A.G. Gancarski
On the Smarkets online betting exchange platform, Ron DeSantis’ odds of winning the Republican presidential nomination continue to find new floors, and are now below 13%.
That’s the worst his chances have been since 2021 in this market, the latest sign that people outside the Governor’s political operation are losing confidence in his ability to topple Donald Trump.
As of this writing, Trump has 69.44% odds, with DeSantis at just 12.82%. Other names are even bigger long shots, meanwhile.
Former United Nations envoy Nikki Haley is at 3.33%, good for third place. U.S. Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina, former Vice President Mike Pence and Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin all are at or above 2%. Twitter broadcaster Tucker Carlson, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and author Vivek Ramaswamy are between 1% and 2%.
Further back, U.S. Sens. Marco Rubio and Rick Scott, who are not declared candidates, have 0.34% and 0.1% odds, respectively. Meanwhile, Miami Mayor Francis Suarez is still not an available option.
DeSantis led Trump as recently as Jan. 18, 40.32% to 34.72%. By April, however, Trump doubled up DeSantis in this market, and the former President’s momentum continues unabated.
The Governor’s long odds aren’t limited to just the Smarkets platform, meanwhile.
The Election Betting Odds aggregator, which includes projections from the Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt and Polymarket platforms, shows Trump at 66.8% and DeSantis at 14.2% at this writing.
Polls track with bettor sentiments, meanwhile.
The Race to the White House polling average continues to show a lopsided race, with Trump at 53% and DeSantis continuing to decline, dropping down now to 20%. Pence is at 6%, Ramaswamy is at 4%, and Haley is at 3% in that metric.
The delegate forecast is likewise tough for the Governor. He is forecast to have just 341 if the field never consolidates, and 394 if it does after Nevada. Both numbers are far short of the necessary 1,234 to win the nomination uncontested.
The site projects Trump winning nomination battles in 49 states if the field doesn’t consolidate, as polls show a tie in Utah. If the field does consolidate, DeSantis could win Tennessee and Wisconsin as well.
11 comments
Earl Pitts "The Big Voice On The Right" American
July 13, 2023 at 9:30 am
Breaking news America:
This is from an information source America 100% trusts.
No not the A.P., no not CNN, no not The View, no not Fox News none of those DFBL or RINO news sources.
This my beloved members of my, Earl Pitts American Fan Club, comes straight out of the “political genious brain” of me, Earl Pitts American, so let me, Earl Pitts American, get right to it:
“America” (Earl Pitts American takes his glasses off and looks directly into the camera with “That Look”, [ladies all across America simultainisly get moist (in all 4 time zones) and their hands disappear from view] “it has come to my, Earl Pitts American’s, attention that the DFBL’s have taken control of the Political Betting Market in the same way they control the regular “polling” business’ until about 3 weeks out from election day”.
“America you are hereby on notice, going forward, to henceforth get 100% of your election news from me, Earl Pitts American, and my, Earl Pitts American’s Fan Club, all the way up to election day 2024.
“Desantis will 100% be the RNC’s nominee and I, Earl Pitts American will continue to serve America behind the scene due to some personal family issues preventing my “Run with Ron 4 VPOTUS”.
Thank you America and a special shout-out to all my beloved members of The Earl Pitts American Fan Club,
Earl Pitts American
Joe The Plumber
July 13, 2023 at 9:57 pm
This right here is a straight up 100% poli-effin-tition peeps. Count em down from the top. My man Earl has got his entire 8ffin name out there on line in his simple post Elevin Times!
Name recgonition like nobody else ever before. Whats his name? You already know. Joey
Linwood Wright
July 13, 2023 at 10:11 am
Sad trombone noises.
Dont Say FLA
July 13, 2023 at 11:27 am
Advise short sell on Rhonda
My Take
July 13, 2023 at 11:53 am
It’s like a doomed ship, slowly but steadily taking on water.
PeterH
July 13, 2023 at 1:01 pm
Murdoch has ended his support of the failing Trump and DeSantis campaigns!
My Take
July 13, 2023 at 1:22 pm
There is distinct Schadenfreude pleasure in watching a foul fascist flounder, fail, and founder, .
Even when muted by another fascist’s success.
Michael K
July 13, 2023 at 2:32 pm
The more America sees of the Pudgy Putin of the Panhandle, they less they want the delusional Casey and Ron anywhere near the White House.
My Take
July 15, 2023 at 1:54 am
Crazy Casey and Raving Ron.
Padded cell, not the Oval Office.
Dont Say FLA
July 14, 2023 at 7:52 am
IF any Swifties land here because of the number 13, take it from me, you do not want Ron DeSantis, not for anything at all. Ron’s the kind of guy that would keep your scarf and still, after all these years, wipe his ass with it.
Earl Pitts "The Earl of Florida" American
July 14, 2023 at 1:11 pm
Dont worry Son/Daughter,
That was a bad habit with the scarves but I told him it was upsetting to you and to stop doing that..
EPA
Comments are closed.