Ron DeSantis’ White House odds now exceed Gavin Newsom’s
Image via DeSantis War Room

Desantis via war room
Joe Biden, Donald Trump and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are still seen as better bets.

Is the Ron DeSantis campaign reboot working? By one metric, he has increased momentum.

Per the Election Betting Odds website, DeSantis’ odds of winning the 2024 Presidential Election now exceed those of California Gov. Gavin Newsom.

That wasn’t the case back in late July, when Newsom was seen as a better bet to be elected President than the Florida Governor, even though he’s currently not even a candidate for the office.

As of Wednesday morning, DeSantis has a 5.1% chance of being elected President, according to the site that aggregates markets including BetfairSmarketsPredictIt and Polymarket.

Newsom’s odds, meanwhile, have slumped to 4.5%.

Despite the fact that Newsom has said he’s not running for President, DeSantis has continued to goad the Golden State leader — even as he’s thus far ducked a challenge issued by Newsom to debate him on Fox News.

“What I would tell him is — you know what, stop pussyfooting around,” DeSantis said in June. “Are you going to throw your hat into the ring and challenge Joe Biden?”

DeSantis has baited California in his culture war offensive, recently using Florida taxpayer dollars to fly undocumented immigrants from Texas to Sacramento.

DeSantis has fought for more than a year with Gov. Newsom, a bicoastal battle between two Governors who have not faced significant tests in their own states of late. By POLITICO’s reckoning, Newsom and DeSantis are “sworn enemies that need each other.”

Despite having eclipsed Newsom, three other candidates are seen as better bets to win the presidency than DeSantis. President Biden is still the favorite, with a 35.2% chance of victory. Former President Donald Trump is in second place, at 29.2%. Democratic insurgent Robert Kennedy Jr. is given a 6.5% chance of winning it all.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


8 comments

  • Ocean Joe

    August 2, 2023 at 10:23 am

    He fried himself with the slavery stuff. It’s over.
    Florida trash loves that kind of stuff but nobody else does.

  • Ron DeSantis is a Racist

    August 2, 2023 at 10:25 am

    Many of us knew that Ron DeSantis was a racist bigot years ago. But we’re now glad the rest of the country knows it now too since he recently unmasked himself.

    The only supporters DeSantis has left are racist trash.

    • Bobby Walker

      August 3, 2023 at 8:45 am

      Desantis is so racist even when he’s trying not to be his mouth want let him everything about him is racist even his look, the way he dresses and the look on his wife face . He reminds me of previous governor of Florida claude kirk, hayen burns and the crooked balding Rick Scott who stole billions from Medicare…

  • Earl Pitts "The Ronald's UnOfficial Campaign Manager"American

    August 2, 2023 at 10:50 am

    Good mornting America,
    Slowley … ever so slowley … in order to retain their credibility in the business world the polling business’s begin the slow walk of adding a little more truth to their Presidental polling results.
    Every 4 years is a lot of time for average Americans to remember that it happens this way every 4 years.
    Most citizens of the world do not possess the superior intelect of an Earl Pitts American. So in that respect you are all pretty normal.
    You are welcome America,
    Earl Pitts American

    • Silly Wabbit

      August 2, 2023 at 12:27 pm

      You kwazy.

  • Michael K

    August 2, 2023 at 11:51 am

    Dear ones: Gavin Newsom is not running for president. You could also say DeSantis is ahead of Mickey Mouse, who is also not running for president. Yet.

  • Dont Say FLA

    August 2, 2023 at 2:40 pm

    It was very super nice of y’all to find some way to say some thing that was nice about a guy who deserves nothing nice to be said of.

  • My Take

    August 2, 2023 at 3:23 pm

    A campaign reflexively aimed at other bigoted rednecks.

Comments are closed.


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