A.G. Gancarski
Skepticism about Ron DeSantis’ chances of becoming the next American President abounds with oddsmakers.
That’s one take from the aggregation site Election Betting Odds, which has a former First Lady as a better bet than the Florida Governor.
DeSantis is seen as having a 3.5% chance of winning the presidency, behind a number of prominent names, but none more shocking than Democrat Michelle Obama, who is at 5.1% at the time of this writing on Wednesday afternoon.
Two other big-name Democrats are also seen as having more favorable odds, one of whom is a candidate, and one of whom is not.
Democratic presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has a 4.2% chance of winning next November, even though he’s regarded as having just a 1% chance of securing the Democratic presidential nomination. With indications that Kennedy may run as an independent given an inability to get incumbent President Joe Biden to debate, bettors seem to be reconciling themselves to RFK making a wildcard play next fall.
A familiar DeSantis foil, Gov. Gavin Newsom of California, is also seen as more than twice as likely to win the White House than the Florida Governor.
Newsom, who is slated to debate DeSantis next month on Fox News, has a 7.3% chance of winning right now.
To put that in perspective, the only two people with a better chance to win are former President Donald Trump, who has a 33.9% chance of winning a second term next year, and President Joe Biden, with a 32.5% chance of winning re-election.
DeSantis is ahead of some other current and possible candidates, including former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, who is accorded a 3.2% chance of becoming President. Vice President Kamala Harris has a 2.3% chance of winning, meanwhile.
Election Betting Odds aggregates from the following prediction and betting sites: Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt and Polymarket.
10 comments
Marvin M.
October 4, 2023 at 6:16 pm
Michelle Obama is not running for president, she is not going to run, she does to want to run. I don’t know who is promoting these stories but it is just a load of nonsense.
Meantime, Ron DeSantis is actually running for president, against Donald Trump. Why are there not more stories about Trump’s poll numbers versus DeSanis’ in Florida?
Marvin M.
October 4, 2023 at 6:42 pm
OK, I literally read this right after I posted the previous comment.
https://floridapolitics.com/archives/637943-poll-ron-desantis-trails-donald-trump-by-35-points-in-florida/
So hooray on some info. Hope there is more to come. Florida has to choose in the Republican primary – Trump or DeSantis.
Rick Whitaker
October 4, 2023 at 9:24 pm
michelle obama is 100 times a better person than desantis. desantis is a full scumbag
Agreed
October 4, 2023 at 9:44 pm
She’d be a wise and compassionate president, something DeSantis is incapable of.
Tom Palmer
October 4, 2023 at 11:19 pm
I think I will hold off until she announces her candidacy,
Sonja Fitch
October 5, 2023 at 4:20 am
Wow. You are right! Anything, my dog, is better than Desantis ! Vote common good!
Rick Whitaker
October 5, 2023 at 6:14 am
heal the country, vote dem up and down the ticket.
Biscuit
October 5, 2023 at 11:45 am
A dog is a wonderful idea. You are a smart human. Need more like you in this state, nation, world.
Arf.
What A Crazy Place, Too Nuts For Democrats
October 5, 2023 at 7:07 am
Florida is not safe
Rick Whitaker
October 5, 2023 at 12:26 pm
no shit sherlock. florida has a lot of problems.
Comments are closed.