Florida Atlantic poll shows Donald Trump leading Nikki Haley by 42 in South Carolina
Image via AP.

Donald Trump
The former Governor is headed for a home-state defeat.

With Gov. Ron DeSantis out of the Republican presidential race, Primary battles around the country are Donald Trump’s to lose.

This is particularly true in South Carolina, where a survey shows former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley barely has a third of Trump’s backing among 402 voters expected to vote in the Feb. 24 Presidential Primary.

Trump has 65% in the survey by the FAU Political Communication and Public Opinion Research Lab (PolCom Lab) and Mainstreet Research, with Haley at 23%.

“Trump looks very strong in South Carolina, leading Haley handily and holding a wide advantage over Biden in a potential general election matchup,” said Kevin Wagner, Co-Director of FAU’s PolCom Lab and professor of political science. “Trump’s dominance here sets the stage for a decisive victory in the first in the south primary, while confirming South Carolina’s status as a solid red state in the 2024 general election.”

Haley has 67% support with Democrats intending to crossover and vote Republican as a protest against Trump, but this pollster sees that cohort as being less than 10% of the total Primary electorate.

Notes on methodology: “The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Thursday, Feb. 1 to Thursday, Feb. 8, among a sample of 679 adults, 18 years or older, living in South Carolina. It was conducted using a text message survey of registered voters and an online panel of registered voters, so a margin of error cannot be assigned.”

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


4 comments

  • Nebraska Granny

    February 13, 2024 at 5:23 pm

    You fools! Nikki Haley is a fine and caring as well as daring and doesn’t have all the scandal trailing her all over the place. This is mass hysteria, we gotta have Trump. With so many charges against him, they can’t all be TRUMPed up. Some of them gotta be true. Do you want a criminal in the White House? Speaking of criminals, Mr. Trump bragged to a crowd of supporters that if our NATO Allies, like France, Germany, England, don’t pay what they owe, he will turn them over to Vladimir Putin. Putin. our ENEMY?! DO you need any more evidence than that that proves he’s a dictator and a bully? He has said he wants to make Ron DeSantis, his former opponent, a political eunuch. It’s revenge he wants that he cares about, not about yours or the country’s interests, revenge and power. If you can’t see that, then there might not be much upstairs for you to worry about, if you catch my drift. Biden is another Neville Chamberlain and with Trump as the nominee, the President will sell us down the river and win as the doddering curmudgeon that he is. Bye bye USA, no matter who wins. PS, I don’t put much faith in a poll of 404, 304 people, do you? Most people don’t want the 2 old fools battling it out again.☹️😥🇺🇸

    • MH/Duuuval

      February 14, 2024 at 11:29 am

      Too bad the non-MAGA voters of South Carolina can’t vote — as we can in Florida. Feb. 20 is the final day to register or change party affiliations in the Sunshine State. Takes 5 minutes online.

      Hope Haley is on the ballot here.

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  • Dont Say FLA

    February 15, 2024 at 11:42 am

    Trump leads Haley by 42 points, but he trails Taylor Swift by immeasurable, worldwide numbers and she’s not even running this year.

    Trump’s continuously decreasing popularity, power and influence, limited at its outset to people within the US only, approach zero on a curve comparing them to those of Ms Swift’s ever increasing worldwide popularity, power and influence.

    MAGAs better watch themselves. They’ll lose their fight they picked with the Swiftys, even if they somehow managed to shoot dead every last Swifty in the USA.

    Even if all USA based Swiftys were deceased, there would still be hundreds of millions of them worldwide. There are more Swiftys than the entire population of USA.

    If the sicko Superbowl shooter turns out to have been putting on a show of his support for Putin’s Pocket Pussy (faka Donald J Trump) as a result of the nonsense Taylor Kelce Biden conspiracy theory, which remains to be seen (but what more likely motivations are there for what happened), it’s probably fixing to get really hard to identify as a MAGA for much longer

    I have no specific knowledge of anything at all, but when MAGA gun nuts set themselves up with a stockpile of guns and a paranoid fear of those gun being taken, swats of their gun hoard homes won’t go well for them and they won’t have any security detail, as do politicians who get swatted by MAGAs, to tell the cops everything’s fine. Rather, they’ll have only their guns and ammo along with their paranoia regarding their guns and ammo as their response to the cops knocking down their door in response to a domestic violence call.

    The solution to MAGAs presents itself. Swifites are smart. All they to do is push the button, maybe in Singapore, maybe in Indonesia, maybe Ghana, Nigeria, anywhere on Earth, to leverage a MAGA’s local popo department to go and roll the dice, no-knocking at the place where a MAGA stay.

    So I strongly recommend to the MAGAs: Learn self control. Learn to behave yourselves. The Swiftys can end you so easily. Your MAGA flag is already flying on Google Maps and there’s nothing you can do about that. Image processing can easily pull every MAGA flagged house from Google Maps and make lists of MAGA addresses. All you can do about it is BEHAVE YOURSELVES!

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