Poll: Rick Scott above 50%, 16-point lead over potential Democratic challenger
Rick Scott wants states to return unused COVID-19 MONEY. Good luck with that.

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In good news for Scott. 19% of Democratic respondents and 17% of those who voted for Joe Biden in 2020 say they'd back the Republican's re-election.

A poll conducted by Florida Atlantic University and Mainstreet Research shows Florida’s junior Senator is poised to win a second term, with the likely Democratic nominee far behind in a poll of 865 voters in the state.

Republican Rick Scott has 51% support in a still-hypothetical contest against former U.S. Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who has just 35% in the trial heat, which was polled between April 15 and April 17.

In what should be especially concerning for Mucarsel-Powell and the Florida Democratic Party, 19% of Democratic respondents and 17% of those who voted for Joe Biden in 2020 say they would back the former two-term Governor over Mucarsel-Powell, who is better known in South Florida than she is statewide.

While the Mucarsel-Powell camp is complaining that its candidate’s name was presented as “Mucarsei-Powell” in the crosstabs, the issues in play here seem like they may go beyond what the pollster says is a simple “typo in the report.”

Scott has a nearly 2-to-1 lead among male voters, taking 61% against just 31% for his potential Democratic challenger. Yet he also holds a marginal lead (43% to 39%) against Mucarsel-Powell among women, despite the central plank of her campaign so far being hammering Scott about support for Florida’s Heartbeat Protection Act, which bans abortion after the sixth week of a woman’s pregnancy.

Scott leads with all age cohorts as well, with Mucarsel-Powell way behind among voters between 35 and 64 years of age. She has just 30% support among those groups.

Pollsters used text message recruitment and IVR to complete the survey, which has a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


19 comments

  • Peachy

    April 18, 2024 at 12:03 pm

    Like I said earlier, Mucarsel-Powell will get rolled if she is the nominee. 🤣

    • MH/Duuuval

      April 18, 2024 at 1:37 pm

      That opinion and $5 will get you a latte at Starbux.

      • Peachy

        April 18, 2024 at 1:47 pm

        I don’t do Starbucks after that silly “third place” nonsense they did several years ago. Dunkin for me and Mucarsell-Powell still gets rolled.

    • PeterH

      April 18, 2024 at 3:14 pm

      I’m glad you found a new screen name Ms Pushaw! Try “SourLemon” on your next go around!

      • Hung Wiil

        April 18, 2024 at 9:30 pm

        Rick Scott is a tool, but Peachy is 100% spot on. Debbie Rodham Powell is in another line of pathetic loser Democrat candidates

        • rick whitaker

          April 18, 2024 at 9:42 pm

          HUNG, peachy is about as big of a fool that iv’e seen on this site, and you agree with him. what does that say about you? let me answer it for you, it makes you look inane.

  • AL 305

    April 18, 2024 at 1:45 pm

    Mh/duuval you are delusional. Mrs. powell isnot going to win period. The dems are cooked in florida . Mrs powell is a bad candidate but lets face it thats all they have. The democrats with a person like nikki fried in charge of florida elections is in deep trouble for many years to come. The quicker you accept reality the less painful it will be after the elections.

    • MH/Duuuval

      April 18, 2024 at 4:01 pm

      This post was more likely to have come from Ms. Pushaw, who longs to be back in Georgia where the right wing is imposing more and more draconian control over citizens — after ethnically cleaning Nagorno. She could probably be ambassador to the US.

      • Impeach Biden

        April 18, 2024 at 6:43 pm

        Stacy Abrams single handily put a big economic hit on vendors and workers and such when she and her knucklehead Demo friends killed the baseball all star game in Atlanta. Goofball.

        • rick whitaker

          April 18, 2024 at 7:12 pm

          people all over the country have heard about florida and it’s desantis problem and have a very poor opinion of florida in general. more bowls, more conferences’, more conventions, more cruises, more games, and much more, are pulling out of florida. right-wing racist have swarmed florida like killer bees and people don’t want to get stung.

          • Hung Wiil

            April 18, 2024 at 9:31 pm

            Delusional and boring 😴

        • MH/Duuuval

          April 18, 2024 at 10:56 pm

          Yeah, and Trump gave the GA Senate seat to a Democrat — no beisbol for you and no Senate majority, either

  • rick whitaker

    April 18, 2024 at 9:38 pm

    HUNG, delusional and boring to a maga cultist. so am i suppose to care what a maga cultist thinks, get real, punk.

  • AL 305

    April 18, 2024 at 10:15 pm

    White liberal weasel rick whitaker always on these boards talking crap. liberal rick if you hate florida and the people who live here than leave.Im sure california, new york and other states have room for the single worst humans on the face of the earth a white leftist liberal like you!!

    • MH/Duuuval

      April 18, 2024 at 11:00 pm

      Look in the mirror: vacant.

      Peachy always going on about migration to Florida: In 2022, 700K came in and 500K left, acc. to NBC.

      Last year the Peach State — that’s SC and not GA — was the big winner. Gonna gentrify the whole state — MAGA version of ethnic cleansing

  • rick whitaker

    April 18, 2024 at 10:48 pm

    AL 305, look dude, just because you are either close-minded, and or, dumb, it doesn’t mean that you even know what a progressive dem is. now i’m not close-minded or dumb , so that is why i am NOT a maga cultist. i can’t help you dude, you sound too far gone. i left florida when it got just too redneck to stand anymore. too many redneck cavemen for me. i live in the tennessee mountains ,so now i have good water, low taxes, fresh air and no tourist in your face . all that crime and drugs is a reason to leave too. i still own rental property but i’m going to sell it off. florida is a hellhole dude, do you not care? you say i’m talking crap on this site. do you call things you can’t understand crap, i bet you do. al305, please DON’T leave florida. desantis needs more doormats.

  • AL 305

    April 18, 2024 at 11:14 pm

    Good leave and take all liberal friends with you. Im staying i love it here and the more liberals like you that leave and are mad on a daily basis makes me smile . You have a good night i know i will just seeing white liberals like you cry and cry !!

    • rick whitaker

      April 18, 2024 at 11:49 pm

      AL305, you’re post have told me 2 things about you. you live in the hellhole called florida, and that you are a maga redneck.. anything else you want to warn us good people about you? florida is a good place to rot, so you please don’t leave that hellhole called florida. AL305, too chicken to use your real name, how manly of you.

    • MH/Duuuval

      April 19, 2024 at 2:53 pm

      There’s a good reason why there are no mirrors in your domicile.

Comments are closed.


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