Poll: Rick Scott opens up 15-point lead over likely Democratic opponent

Rick Scott Debbie Mucarsel-Powell SBS AP
Another poll shows the incumbent above 50% and Debbie Mucarsel-Powell below 40%.

Florida Chamber of Commerce polling of a potential November matchup suggests it won’t be one to remember for Democrats in the U.S. Senate race.

U.S. Sen. Rick Scott is up by 15 points over expected Democratic nominee Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, a former one-term member of Congress from South Florida.

Mucarsel-Powell, treated as the presumptive nominee by the Florida Democrats, musters just 39% against Scott’s 54%, suggesting that she will have an uphill climb against a Senator historically known for close wins in General Elections.

Despite being Hispanic, Mucarsel-Powell does even worse with that cohort than she does with the general public. The survey found 2 out of every 3 Hispanics back Scott.

The Senator also has strong intraparty support, with 93% of Republicans backing his re-election.

Scott will benefit from a GOP that is much stronger than was the case in 2018 when it took a recount and massive self-funding to squeak by then-Democratic U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson. The Chamber notes that with nearly a 900,000-vote advantage, Florida is an R+7 state.

This poll accords with another recent survey, conducted by Florida Atlantic University and Mainstreet Research, that also shows Scott far ahead, 51% to 35%.

Methodology: “The Florida Chamber of Commerce voter poll was conducted on April 28 – May 7, 2024 by Cherry Communications during live telephone interviews of likely voters and has a margin of error of +/- 4 percent. The sample size included 223 Democrats, 256 Republicans and 130 Others for a total of 609 respondents statewide.”

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Impeach Biden

    May 10, 2024 at 5:34 am

    Paging MHDuuuval! MHDuuuval! You like apples? How about them apples? 🤣

    • MH/Duuuval

      May 10, 2024 at 4:53 pm

      Sounds like sour grapes to me, Peachy.

      • rick whitaker

        May 10, 2024 at 6:58 pm

        HOWLER MONKEYS will eat any rotten food left on the jungle floor. scott looked so skellatorish on today’s nyc courthouse apearance.

    • Elvis Pitts "AMERICA'S BIG VOICE ON THE RIGHT" American

      May 13, 2024 at 6:49 am

      Good call IB,
      “Florida” Where WOKE Goes To Die”.
      And that is The Rest Of The Story.
      Elvis Pitts “America’s-Go-To-Political-Pontificator” American

      • rick whitaker

        May 13, 2024 at 8:37 pm


  • Medicare fraud Scott

    May 10, 2024 at 6:24 am

    The people of Fl once again forget the FRAUD Scott committed against the USGov Medicare. That’s healthcare for seniors folks. Now he undermines and threats our democracy standing on Manhattan for a criminal who paid the NATIONAL Enquirer to kill a story of his disrespect for his own wife having a one night stand Come on Fl. Do BETTER

    • Impeach Biden

      May 10, 2024 at 7:18 am

      Why don’t you Democrats take him to trial then? Your party has weaponized the legal system. Maybe “Stormy” can be bought to claim she slept with Scott.

      • MH/Duuuval

        May 10, 2024 at 4:55 pm

        NY Post, a Murdoch paper, headline two days ago: “Trump gets the full Lewinski”

    • rick whitaker

      May 10, 2024 at 7:46 pm

      MEDICARE FRAUD SCOTT, scott is scott, acts like scott, lies like scott, cheats like scott. what is wrong with florida voters, are they that greedy and meanspirited?

  • rick whitaker

    May 10, 2024 at 2:41 pm

    HOWLER MONKEY, you don’t have to weaponize a system to bust a crook like scott. just get the factual evidence and use it for a fair trial, just like what is being done to trump. claiming weaponizing of the judicial system when you get caught is childish.

  • KathrynA

    May 10, 2024 at 3:20 pm

    Why do people vote for this man with all his shady past and does nothing for the state of Florida and now, that election time is drawing near, puts out political ads that are full of lies and innuendos? Just why?

    • MH/Duuuval

      May 10, 2024 at 9:13 pm

      For millionaires who will spend their own money to get elected, the sky is the limit.

  • Ocean Joe

    May 11, 2024 at 5:30 am

    Impeach f/k/a Ed, I like your comments, yes Biden is beyond his sell date, but the problem with Republicans is you stick with your tribe including Scott, who even if you ignored the $1.7 BILLION dollars in fines and restitution for fraudulent practices against the federal government and the US taxpayers, is still a lousy senator.

    Democrats have thrown countless characters under the bus once they were exposed or even charged for matters big and small (Menendez, Franken). It’s past time Republicans primary Scott and get rid of him for the sake of all Floridians. He has absolutely no business holding a position of public trust.

    • rick whitaker

      May 11, 2024 at 4:02 pm

      OJ that is because dems see that often an implication of wrong doing is enough to get rid of a bad candidate for the good of the party. the maga cult, well they do what a crazy man says no matter what, so that makes them downright dangerous to ALL.

      • Dont Say FLA

        May 13, 2024 at 12:29 pm

        That’s exactly right. If only Trump had known who his voters truly were back in 2016, he would not be on trial today for deceiving them (and allegedly (so far) illegally cooking the company books to do it)

        If only Trump has realized his voters are every bit as bankrupt as him, both inside and out, he’d be on the campaign trail instead of in full nap mode at his criminal trial.

  • KathrynA

    May 11, 2024 at 12:11 pm

    Republicans protect those who have committed fraud, committed evil and so much more (think Matt Gaetz, from this state). I don’t hear Democrats protecting those like Menendez and Franken and others. This is the way it should be.
    Republicans did not protect Nixon, once the full scope of what he’d done, came out. It almost looks small, compared to Trump and others in the Republican party now.

    • Ocean Joe

      May 11, 2024 at 2:28 pm

      As we know, nobody was really scared of Nixon. There was even a liberal wing of the Republican party that helped pass the civil rights act and Great Society programs of LBJ.

      Now every single Republican office holder cowers in fear of offending Donald Trump. Pretty sick. For that half of the country it already IS a dictatorship.

      • MH/Duuuval

        May 13, 2024 at 10:09 pm

        The Ds controlled Congress while Nixon In charge. And, as you point out, moderate Rs still existed whose constituents supported civll rights down South.

  • rick whitaker

    May 11, 2024 at 12:18 pm

    KATHYRN, the gop died a few years ago. maga is what they replaced it with. i’m so glad to be a dem.

  • Tjb

    May 11, 2024 at 4:06 pm

    Interesting how many people are willing to support Scott at the risk of losing Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid. With Rick, we and our children will be living under a highway bridge in poor health.

  • Elvis Pitts "AMERICA'S BIG VOICE ON THE RIGHT" American

    May 13, 2024 at 7:07 am

    Good Morn ‘Ting America,
    Just take a moment to read the comments made so far by the “Dook 4 Brains Lefty” posters.
    And join me, Elvis Pitts American, in a hardy belly laugh at their “Lame-Brain-Canned-Leftist-Tired-Warmed-Over-Talking-Points”.
    HA HA ….. HA HA ….. HARDY HAR HAR !!!
    Well enough belly laughing at the Lame-Brain “Dook 4 Brains Leftys”
    Me and my buddy Impeach Biden are moveing on to have “An Elvis Pitts American & An Impeach Biden Day”!!!!!
    Elvis Pitts American
    *queue Patriotic USA USA USA Music Cranked Up “RIP THE KNOB OFF LOUD” to futher whizz off all Dook 4 Brains Leftys*

    • Speedy Gonzalez

      May 13, 2024 at 7:16 am

      Loud and Proud music to me and my Cousin SloPokes Hispanic ears.
      SloPoke loves the way you streached out Free Elvis FREEEEEEEEE

    • rick whitaker

      May 13, 2024 at 8:35 pm

      EARL PITTS, shame on you

  • Dont Say FLA

    May 13, 2024 at 12:26 pm

    If Mucarsel-Powell can bilk Social Security out of 6 billion dollars before election day, she might have a chance to beat Rick Scott.

    Florida prefers the shadiest politicians, and Rick’s Columbia HCA only bilked 1.7 billion out of Medicare.

    A 6 billion dollar bilk would beat Rick’s paltry, sad 1.7 billion, I bet.

  • Daniel Ruiz

    May 13, 2024 at 11:48 pm

    im hispanic from Miami ,the problem is we don’t vote for genitalia or race. she’s an Nancy Pelosi , AOC loving leftist Commie.

Comments are closed.


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