Betting markets say there’s a 2-man race for Donald Trump VP, with Marco Rubio in third

Marco Rubio is warning about additional trouble in the Middle East.

Prediction platforms see two Republicans, neither of them from Florida, as the odds-on favorites to be picked as Donald Trump’s running mate.

Meanwhile, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio has faded in the estimation of investors according to Polymarket, with a “Yes” share at just 10 cents, far behind the two front-runners.

North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum and U.S. Sen. J.D. Vance of Ohio each are at 38 cents, meanwhile.

The shake-up in prediction markets seems to reflect difficulties in Rubio’s potential candidacy.

The former President said earlier this month that one complication could be the 12th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, which blocks electors from voting for a President and Vice President from the same state, a rule that Trump says presents wrinkles.

“You do that and it makes it more complicated. There are other people that don’t have that complication,” Trump told Brian Kilmeade. “Now, it’s fairly easily fixed, but you have to do something with delegates or there has to be a resignation, you know, et cetera, et cetera. So it’s not like picking some people where it’s very easy, where there is none of that.”

Trump noted that the 12th Amendment means that if his ticket wants Florida votes in the Electoral College, “two people (from the state) can’t be running on the same ticket.”

While Rubio may be shut out of VP, odds are good he could end up in the Trump administration in some other capacity. With a keen interest in foreign policy, he could be Secretary of State.