A.G. Gancarski
The Donald Trump campaign for President isn’t happy with new polling of three states pivotal to Kamala Harris’ campaign.
“The latest swing state polls of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin conducted by the New York Times and Siena College helpfully include the recalled 2020 presidential vote between President Trump and Joe Biden. They have dramatically understated President Trump’s support both among all registered voters and in their likely-voter model. In each state, the gap between the survey’s recalled 2020 vote and the reported 2020 election results is more than the margin between Kamala Harris and President Trump. Once again, we see a series of public surveys released with the clear intent and purpose of depressing support for President Trump,” claims the “confidential memo” from pollster Tony Fabrizio and chief data consultant Tim Saler.
The poll has Harris up 50% to 46% in all three states polled among likely voters.
But Trump’s pollsters urge a closer look.
“Even with the understatement of President Trump’s 2020 support and an unrepresentative weighting scheme relative to their Electoral Vote weights between the three states, President Trump leads by +1 (47-46) among independents in the head-to-head ballot, has more than doubled his support among all registered black voters since 2020, is essentially tied among those of Latino or Asian heritage, has narrowed the gap among those aged 18-29 to single digits, and leads among registered voters who are new to the electorate and did not participate in 2020,” the memo continues.
“This is nothing new, as NYT / Siena College polls have historically understated President Trump’s vote share. In the final poll completed just four days before the 2020 election, they found President Trump trailing in Pennsylvania by 6 points (49-43) and trailing in Wisconsin by 11 points (52-41). Eight days before the 2020 presidential election, they found President Trump trailing in Michigan by 8 points (49-41).”
For its part, the pollsters say their survey shows the race has changed.
““It’s a new race across the rustbelt battleground states now that former President Donald Trump is facing Vice-President Kamala Harris instead of President Joe Biden. Harris has opened up leads of 4 points in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania with strong support from women, younger voters, Blacks and those with a college education. Trump continues to be seen by voters as better on the economy and immigration but by much smaller margins than Trump had led Biden. Harris leads according to voters on abortion and protecting our democracy by wide margins,” according to Don Levy, polling director for Siena College Research Institute.
40 comments
PeterH
August 10, 2024 at 1:10 pm
NYT Kamala Harris – Walz are now ahead in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin! She has changed the dynamics in this race. A Blue Tsunami is coming in November!
Today’s GQP MUST be destroyed before it can be rebuilt from the ground up. Get rid of MAGA. Get rid of the FREEDUMB caucus clowns! Get rid of MTG and the Qanon quacks!
Republicans are America’s worst enemy!
Vote all Republicans out of office!
Day 20
August 10, 2024 at 1:12 pm
Another zombie happy with high inflation, high fuel prices, no border control, high crime, wars across the world, etc. a zombies dream come true
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August 10, 2024 at 1:53 pm
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Kamala is Brat 🥥🌴🥥
August 10, 2024 at 7:24 pm
New York Times has confirmed from two sources that Trump refers to Kamala as ‘the bitch!’
patrick
August 11, 2024 at 10:27 pm
Crime stats were worse under Trump than the current Biden administration. Facts are real.
Yrral
August 12, 2024 at 2:57 pm
Trump got a Queen V problems Google JD Vance Drag Queen
Yrral
August 12, 2024 at 9:04 pm
JD was complaining about food prices ,when he was using hotdogs as dildos Google JD Vance Hotdogs Dildos
Michael K
August 10, 2024 at 1:21 pm
Trunp’s schtick is old and stale. The anger and petty grievances are as unattractive as the candidate himself. America does not want a bitter old man who lies incessantly. We rejected this re-run once already.
The energy and excitement are with a new generation who loves America and represents all Americans. It’s a historic phenomenon, people are ready to make history.
Day 20
August 10, 2024 at 1:40 pm
Bitter old man. Funny. Yet you were all on board with bitter Joe. Lots of zombie humor today. Thanks Michael H.
Day 20
August 10, 2024 at 1:40 pm
K. Then again maybe you and Peter are the same guy🤣
TJC
August 11, 2024 at 1:12 pm
Bitter old man. That’s you.
Your bullshit proves it.
Ocean Joe
August 12, 2024 at 3:53 pm
You don’t mention Hunter Biden or his laptop anymore, are you OK?
Tom
August 13, 2024 at 7:18 am
My trump humping brother in law was visiting the other day and he was complaining about hunter biden (I thought we moved past that but I guess not). I casually mentioned that if he was that bothered by influence peddlers he must be really bothered by jared kushner. His response was “who’s that?” These maga types live on a different planet I guess and irony, apparently, is dead.
ELVIS "Professor/Scientist/All Around Great Guy" AMERICAN
August 10, 2024 at 6:28 pm
CHASTIZED
ELVIS "Professor/Scientist/All Around Great Guy" AMERICAN
August 10, 2024 at 6:31 pm
***dont worry Day 20***
That CHASTIZEMENT was ment for The Dook 4 Brains MICHAEL K & it wont “accidently get on you, ELVIS
tom palmer
August 10, 2024 at 2:54 pm
I would be more interested in what the polls say in late October.
Tom
August 10, 2024 at 5:09 pm
I’d take that a step further and see what the exit polls say Nov 7th. It’s all just conjecture until then.
ELVIS "Professor/Scientist/Social Worker" American
August 10, 2024 at 2:58 pm
Good afternoon,
All polling always favors the “Dook 4 Brains Leftist” candidates
Really I, ELVIS, hope nobody out there does not already know this.
ELVIS
rick whitaker
August 10, 2024 at 6:14 pm
EARL, prepare for the blue wave old man. as dumb as you are, you know it’s coming.
ELVIS "Professor/Scientist/All Around Great Guy" AMERICAN
August 10, 2024 at 6:27 pm
CHASTIZED!!!!
Rick I suggest that you become one of my “Besty Leftys” by swearing your feilty and your vote to Donald Trump.
Together Rick & ELVIS can stop the madness of The Democratic Party and as a sweet, sweet, bonus I will immeaditly lift your Chastizement,
Thanks Buddy,
ELVIS [FKA EARL]
rick whitaker
August 10, 2024 at 6:31 pm
billy purser /earl shitts, suck my lollypop old man. sphincterman, what a joke.
ELVIS "Professor/Scientist/All Around Great Guy" AMERICAN
August 10, 2024 at 6:39 pm
Thanks Rick,
Please be aware that your “Showing Out” and “Resistance to my Sage Will” is just an initial “PRIDE THING” which will totally melt away after a great night of restfull sphincter relaxation. Rick expect to awaken at around 6:00 AM to the light of a brand new day 100% ready to committ to becoming one of ELVIS’ BESTY LEFTYS.
Thanks Again Buddy
Welcome Aboard
MH/Duuuval
August 10, 2024 at 3:40 pm
So, what’s this I hear about a helicopter ride DJT took with old Willie Brown, Jr.?
Day 20
August 10, 2024 at 3:42 pm
Either Trump is full of it or Willie is as senile as Joe and Pelosi.
MH/Duuuval
August 10, 2024 at 11:03 pm
The former.There were others on the flight, but we’ll know for sure when Trump produces the log — which he says he will.
jean-marc rheaume
August 11, 2024 at 10:28 am
Trump’s ass should be jealous of what comes out of his mouth. The helicopter BS was debunked. It actually happen on the east coast on his way to his old casino
MH/Duuuval
August 11, 2024 at 10:49 am
The plot thickens. Trump habitually make promises to provide documents or witnesses, then fails to do so — knowing his base never cared — and then moves on to some other make-believe commentary.
Ocean Joe
August 12, 2024 at 3:56 pm
The helicopter itself was probably debunked or at least decontaminated after the incident, along with a fresh diaper change, although I’d probably have needed one too.
ELVIS "Professor/Scientist/Social Worker" American
August 10, 2024 at 4:14 pm
Good afternoon Dook 4 Brains Leftys,
You Dook For Brains Lefty commenters are so cute in how y’all will glome onto each and every 1/2 baked lie and fake poll which comes your way. Knowing full well that your party €FFED up so badly under Harris/Biden that you dont have a political leg to stand on.
Thank you Dook 4 Brains Leftys,
ELVIS “Truth Teller”
rick whitaker
August 10, 2024 at 6:47 pm
BILLY PURSER AKA GARY BURBANK AKA EARL PITTS, being known as sphincterman says a lot about you. why are you foolishly calling me ” buddy “, you have no buddies. you sound as about as wacky as trump, and that is real wacky. trump also has no buddies.
“
ELVIS JUST ELVIS
August 11, 2024 at 7:27 pm
Thanks Rick,
I, ELVIS, can read between the lines of your angry rant, to realize its just a call for help.
I accept your apology, and without forceing you to grovel, I hereby promote you to one of my Besty Leftys.
Thanks for finally joining up with “The Good Guys” I already told Donald of your conversion to join the “JUSTICE LEAGUE” as one of our Besty Leftys and Don said “Welcome Aboard”,
EIVIS
rick whitaker
August 15, 2024 at 7:08 pm
EARL PITTS AKA BILLY PURSER AKA GARY BURBANK AKA HOMO THE HOMEOPHOBE, please change your diaper, you sound like it needs changed real quick. me, angry, of course i am, i won’t cool off till the harris election victory celebration. you won’t be welcome there of course.
Ocean Joe
August 10, 2024 at 4:53 pm
Trump is finally suffering from overexposure. You’d think this PR genius would have seen it coming. He is old news. He inherited a wonderful economy restored from the nightmare of 2008 by Obama, and congressional Democrats. It all went to hell with covid. Empty store shelves, shuttered businesses. States battling each other for ventilators, refrigerated trailers to hold excess bodies, and 8,000,000,000,000 added to the national debt so rich folks could get a tax cut, rejection of efforts to combat climate change, constant chaos, indicted and convicted officials, topped off with election result denialsim, a giant scheme to overturn the election and the ransacking of our Capitol.
Who really wants a second helping of all that?
ELVIS JUST ELVIS
August 11, 2024 at 7:33 pm
OJ I’ve got the feeling you are about to check out of The Dark Side and seek shelter over here with “The Force” of Donald and ELVIS.
Its about time Big Guy and dont worry about Rick, he’s really a great guy once you get to know him.
ELVIS
Ocean Joe
August 12, 2024 at 3:40 pm
Thanks for your concern.
I think Trump’s handlers accidentally ‘let the cat out of the bag’ to the shock of childless catladies everywhere by revealing Project 2025 which is downright neanderthal. It’s one thing to speculate as I do about the impact of Trump’s tariff and tax cut plans (based on past history they are no bueno), but Project 2025 is a blueprint in writing for the Fourth Reich.
SUPER ELVIS THE MAN OF STEEL
August 13, 2024 at 7:49 pm
OJ, many of these Childless Cat Ladies are “ON THE REAL” some Hotty Hot MlLF’s just waiting for a couple of guys like you and ME, ELVIS, to treat them to a shot at our Ginormous Johnsons and our “Low Hanging Bull of the Woods Sacks”.
I’m in the process of gathering their locations so you and me can get about 2 dozen of them together for a “Hen Party”!!!!
OJ I’ll let you choose:
Do you want to “DO IT” for The Hens in my HOT Cowboy Suit, my HOT Construction Worker Suit, or….even Better….THE CHICKIN SUIT????
OJ, just pick your suit and I, ELVIS, will gurantee 2 dozen Hot Cat Ladies who have never held a “Ginormous Johnson” before.
Thanks OJ I’m looking at a warm up Hen Party in about 2 weeks at my place down in The Villages.
And yes I had the Chickin Suit cleaned since our last messy Hen Party.
Thanks OJ,
SUPER ELVIS
*I got viagria so we can Bone Up 4 The Hens!!!!
My Take
August 12, 2024 at 5:42 pm
Project 2025 is a blueprint in writing for the Fourth Reich.
===========
GOProtocols, but real this time.
Propaganda and Hysteria
August 16, 2024 at 8:54 pm
It’s sadly obvious you have not read it and are not capable of understanding. Project 2025 is the same playbook Reagan passed out to all his staffers and said figure out how to do as much of this as you can. They just brought it back. It’s conservative policy wonk stuff about balancing the budget. You might not like the ideas but they’re the same stuff Bob Dole ran for President on in the 90’s. It would put most people to sleep if they actually read it. The parroting and histrionics just makes you and people like you sound ridiculous. But I know, don’t bother finding out for yourself just let others spoon feed you so you can regurgitate.
My Take
August 12, 2024 at 7:35 pm
If Trump loses again, the reaction of MAGA will be interesting.
With all the prison sentences from J6, would they dare riot and attack somewhere again?
Javier
August 16, 2024 at 9:06 pm
Funny how so many people remain silent as Jewish people are attacked, the capitol was attacked by terror supporters, students and activists terrorizing students and private citizens, rioters in 2020 setting ablaze low income minority business owners and homes. Is that stuff all ok? No. I support peaceful protest like what the civil rights movement did and what MLK taught us. I don’t support any form of terrorizing behavior from anyone for any reason, anywhere. That’s just plain crime.That includes J6, BLM Antifa riots, student riots, capitol riots, none of it ok. Peaceful marches and peaceful protests that don’t attack individuals or businesses or homes or public spaces, yeah power to the people. Watch the movie “Salt of the Earth.” A perfect example of when people join together in a cause and are strong in their resolve but also still respect the law even when the law not on their side. What about you. Maybe try not painting people in one single brush. It sure makes you sound like a bigot.
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