A.G. Gancarski
The latest poll of the presidential race is the best yet for Democrats in Florida.
The survey from Florida Atlantic University’s PolCom Lab shows Democrat Kamala Harris within 3 points of Republican Donald Trump, in the latest sign that Florida may be in play despite Republicans holding an advantage of 1 million registered voters.
Though the race is close, at 50% for Trump and 47% for Harris, each candidate has their base of support.
Trump leads with men, 56% to 39%. He also is the choice of 53% of voters who are at least 50 years old.
Harris has 50% support with voters under 50 years of age, and is up 60 points with Black voters (77% to 17% for Trump).
Meanwhile, Hispanic voters are split at 49% each, suggesting both campaigns have an opportunity with that important and diverse electoral cohort.
Pollsters frame the narrowing of the race as a sign of Democrats rebuilding a historically successful coalition.
“Kamala Harris restores the traditional base of the Democratic Party, which includes women, minorities, younger voters, and Democratic Party identifiers,” said Dukhong Kim, associate professor of political science at FAU. “While Donald Trump maintains his own established base.”
This is just the latest poll of Florida to come out this week, and it represents a much closer race than a business group’s survey released Monday.
The Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) poll found that 52% of respondents said they will vote for Trump to carry Florida for a third time in eight years. Harris has 44% support, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. sits at 3% in a three-way race.
In a two-way contest, Trump leads 53% to 46% against Harris in the AIF survey.
Meanwhile, another public poll released recently splits the difference between the two polls.
The USA Today/Suffolk University/WSVN-TV phone poll of 500 likely voters conducted between Aug. 7 and Aug. 11 shows Trump ahead of Harris, 47% to 42%, with 5% backing Kennedy and 5% undecided.
17 comments
PeterH
August 14, 2024 at 10:20 am
Trump is in the simplest of terms a horrible human being. He’s a terrible role model for America’s youth.
Patricia Best of 80'
August 14, 2024 at 1:26 pm
In your mind who is? Biden? look at Hunter, so sad. ALL of Trumps children are respectful, accomplished, refined unlike many unparented today. What are your children like??
Sad you do not see the differences, shame on you
Pat
Michael K
August 14, 2024 at 4:33 pm
Let’s see: a man found liable for sexual abuse, a convicted felon, a serial liar, a con man who brags about grabbing women by their genitals, a racist who started with a birther lie, an insurrectionist who refused to accept his electoral defeat and participate in the peaceful transfer of power? And of course, the foul-mouthed vulgarian who insults and bullies everyone with nasty schoolyard names and coddles dictators and insults Gold Star familles and calls members of the armed forces suckers and losers?
He’s no role model for any kids in my circle of family and friends. I like presidents who respect the Constitution and all of the people she or he takes an oath to serve.
FLPatriot
August 16, 2024 at 12:44 pm
Psst…Biden isn’t running.
Dont Say FLA
August 16, 2024 at 1:17 pm
Don’t nobody tell Turnip Truck that Biden isn’t running.
Poor old dude burns Maga Lardo down with rage every single time he finds out.
Dementia is mean, just like he is.
Charles Bremer
August 16, 2024 at 2:30 pm
Patricia must have missed the stories coming out about how Barron Trump tortured and killed animals and tried to stab some of his fellow students.
The kid is a psychopath. I guess the apple didn’t fall far from the tree,
Christians against Trump
August 16, 2024 at 2:34 pm
Trump is a rapist, Patricia. He once even forced a 13 year old girl to give him a BJ and then threatned to kill her if she told. None of this is made up. It;s all out there.
Shame on you for supporting somebody like this.
You’re soul is in grave danger of burning in hell for praising this man. Trump is very likely the anti-Christ. And the bible said the anti-Christ would fool many into following him into the eternal fire.
Yrral
August 14, 2024 at 10:53 am
JD Vance use family to compensate for his latent gay tendencies, something he struggles with as a young man Google JD Vance Gay Struggles
Dont Say FLA
August 16, 2024 at 1:22 pm
I heard JD refuses to show us his long form birth certificate version 1 because their birth name is Jessica Darlynn, hence going by their initials JD.
I can’t say whether the doctor said JD was a girl at birth, but I can say a name like Jessica Darlynn is just normal (aka weird) family name stuff from Appalachalandia where they were born.
Thomas Kaspar
August 16, 2024 at 2:36 pm
JD Vance even admits to having a past as a drag queen.
william pierce
August 14, 2024 at 12:54 pm
trump 24
Yrral
August 14, 2024 at 3:06 pm
Trumpconvict2024
Linwood Wright
August 16, 2024 at 2:31 pm
Trump 20 to 24.
Yrral
August 14, 2024 at 3:09 pm
Trump raised his children to commit fraud Google Erik and Donald Trump Fraud
Michael S
August 14, 2024 at 6:20 pm
While AIF is a long-standing business association, I would be a little suspect of their ability to conduct a top notch poll
MH/Duuuval
August 14, 2024 at 10:32 pm
AIF is local Chamber yokels on steroids.
Dont Say FLA
August 15, 2024 at 4:52 pm
Turnip Truck Trump handed swing states to the Democrats when he claimed abortion should be left to the states. He says he didn’t really mean that. He meant it should be banned. And now he can’t figure out why he’s losing so bigly.
Hint: The elderly dementia patient and the DEI hire played you like a fiddle, Turnip Truck Trump! Harris was the plan the whole time. It’s why the debate was the earliest debate ever, and you fell for it like you just fell off the Turnip Truck
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