A.G. Gancarski
New multistate polling of Latino voters shows that the substitution of Kamala Harris for Joe Biden atop the Democratic ticket plays well nationwide and in Florida.
Equis Research conducted surveys of 2,183 registered voters who identify as Hispanic or Latino in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas. The group says the polling between July 22 and Aug. 4 suggests a “Latino reset.”
And that reset extends to the Sunshine State, according to Carlos Odio and Maria Di Franco Quiñonez. Harris is running 9 points ahead of Biden in Florida among Latino voters, who will play an important role in this election.
And the trend plays out throughout the battleground map.
“Harris does nine points better in Pennsylvania than Biden was doing, 10 points better in Arizona, 12 points in Nevada, and 13 points better in Texas,” the analysis noted.
Across the map, Harris enjoys 60% support with Hispanics under the age of 40, while Biden was mired at 43%. She’s at 59% with women, and 51% with men, gains of 10 points and 9 points, respectively.
Additionally, and worryingly for Trump, the Vice President is picking up support across the political spectrum.
“While liberals have moved the most, with Harris doing 16 points better with them than Biden was, she is also doing 12 points better among moderate Latinos and seven points better among conservative Latinos,” the analysis added.
And among those “double haters” who have disdain for both major party candidates, Harris has the edge over the man who has dominated political discourse for close to a decade, with 65% support among that group, 11% saying they back Trump and the others not verbally committing to either side.
All told, Equis asserted that “the strong start from Harris appears to have forestalled some of the most outlandish scenarios for the Latino vote,” which included Trump driving a historic realignment.
“Out the gate, the Vice President has quickly amassed the support of a wide swath of discontented Hispanic voters, and she still has running room. What those last Latino voters do could determine the overall result in hotly contested states.”
37 comments
cassandra was right
August 14, 2024 at 11:38 am
After 95 years, LULAC, the oldest Latin civil rights group in America, broke its tradition and made its first endorsement for Harris/Walz.
Day 24
August 14, 2024 at 11:38 am
Might as well declare Kammy the winner. As Nancy Pelosi said with the ACA “we have to vote it in and then read what it says”. What the people are saying here is basically the same thing. She has no positions on anything so let’s vote her in and see what happens.
Yrral
August 14, 2024 at 12:07 pm
She has a position on criminal like Trump,she has a voting record Google Trump Judge Merchan
MH/Duuuval
August 14, 2024 at 12:37 pm
Most importantly, Harris is NOT Trump or his acolyte-weight Vance.
And, if K is given D majorities in Congress, the taxpayer can look forward to no more munificent tax breaks to the MAGA mob and, hopefully, an increase in the freight for them. (We may see a flock of them leave the US for tax havens elsewhere — good riddance, but I hope the IRS can clip them on their way out the door. Their love of country is as thin as a dollar bill from the side.)
Ocean Joe
August 14, 2024 at 1:48 pm
One thing that will happen is we’ll keep a president who recognizes the urgency of our climate crisis instead of a science denier. Been outside lately, Ed?
Day 24
August 14, 2024 at 2:23 pm
I’m outside every day. Most Americans and most people around the world are not ready to curb air travel, cruises, and other forms of transportation which require fossil fuel for power or charging. I also think you might be an internet stalker by tracking down my name and other info. Maybe you are a monitor on this board or someone here lease it to you. Either way it is creepy and violates privacy.😀
Ocean Joe
August 17, 2024 at 9:12 am
Ed, your writing style and content, like most of the frequent commenters is highly identifiable, including your use of certain emojis. Try ignoring the names and see if you dont agree. I respond to your comments because you are the token conservative here and we disagree on most issues. I assure you, I wouldn’t know how or be interested in more than that.
You’re right, most people aren’t ready to give up the benefits of fossil fuels because we lack the leadership. The problem has been obvious since the early 1980’s, and who has always been there to reliably block progress on it? The GOP. It’s my voting issue, yours is the price of a gallon gas. Republicans dont seem to share my view that doing nothing now will cost far more in the future.
Ocean Joe
August 17, 2024 at 11:07 am
If this site gave out names, Rick Scott would have had me deported a long time ago. Your writing style is distinct like all the other frequent commenters.
We are ready to give up benefits because we havent had the leadership to understand if we dont pay now the cost will be unaffordable later.
MH/Duuuval
August 15, 2024 at 8:11 am
In a speech on Friday in North Carolina, Vice President Kamala Harris is expected to take on the issue of price gouging by large corporations.
Tom
August 15, 2024 at 10:16 am
I thing gouging does need addressing. I’m fortunate enough to have some money in the stock market so for all the price increases in groceries and food, you’re making money in the markets as the food companies that are gouging, return value to their investors. I realize that only 62% of Americans own stock so the burden falls on the other 38%. One issue, it seems to me, is that with the press howling about inflation every day, people expect prices to be high so there’s no real pressure on companies to reduce prices. Perception becomes reality as it were.
I’m not really sure what the government can do given our laissez-faire capitalism but I’m curious to see what shakes out.
MH/Duuuval
August 15, 2024 at 5:35 pm
Taxes are the ultimate means to rein in gougers.
rick whitaker
August 15, 2024 at 6:39 pm
DAY 24, HOWLER MONKEY, that would save a lot of money, but i don’t think the knuckle draggers would go for it.
Michael K
August 14, 2024 at 12:19 pm
It’s not just the message. It’s the messenger.
There is genuine enthusiasm and support for passing the torch to a new, dynamic, younger generation of inclusive leaders who look more like America. It’s a movement unlike any in modern history. And it is being led swiftly, decisively, and joyously by Vice-President Kamala Harris and Governor Tim Walz.
Trump is the grumpy, angry, lying old rambling man in the race. He’s a tired has-been, a convicted criminal, and a loser. Both the candidate and his message are out of touch and out of sync. The world has changed significantly since Trump rode down that tacky gold escalator. He’s a relic of the past. And his running mate is a very cynical, poor choice.
Harris / Walz are the future. That’s why people are excited. Democratic priorities are pretty well known – and next week we’ll learn even more. Stay tuned!
The Escalator Says
August 14, 2024 at 1:37 pm
When the GOP sends its people, its not sending its best….its sending rapists, and criminals, and some I assume are good people.
Day 24
August 14, 2024 at 3:22 pm
So Joe was the best and brightest at the time? Now Kammy who was first out in 2019 with not one single vote cast for her is the best and brightest? Then there is the main stream media before the coverup was exposed saying that Joe needed to replace Ka Mana because her negatives were too large. So now she is the best and brightest huh? 🤣
Tom
August 15, 2024 at 10:21 am
When your opponent is drowning, throw them an anvil as the old saying goes. All she has to do is say nothing and let trump unravel all by himself. No amount of childish name calling or blaming the main stream media will change a thing. It’s going to be close either way.
MH/Duuuval
August 15, 2024 at 5:36 pm
Yup!
rick whitaker
August 17, 2024 at 5:32 pm
DAY 24 AKA HOWLER MONKEY, being the token right-wing maganut on this site is a shitty job, how do you like it? decent, intelligent, and openminded people are laughing at your token ass. how does it feel to be laughed at and looked down upon by so many . i don’t expect you to answer my two questions in an honest way. that would be too much for your fragile and childish ego. so your real name is ed huh, interesting.
cassandra was right
August 14, 2024 at 12:22 pm
Harris has positions (Google). But it will be more appropriate for her to provide detailed policy at her party’s convention.
Unlike Trump, Harris is not following a 900 page policy manual dictated by powerful, Christian Nationalists, so expect it to look a little different from what we’ve seen of Project 2025!
Ps, You appear to be as confused as DonOLD. It’s Kamala Harris — not Nancy Pelosi — that Trump will be calling Madam President next January!
cassandra was right
August 14, 2024 at 12:26 pm
* reply to Day 24
MH/Duuuval
August 14, 2024 at 12:40 pm
Day 24 promised a recession on Day 20, so he/her/their powers to read the future are as dim as DJT who is having real trouble in the present.
Ocean Joe
August 14, 2024 at 1:54 pm
Look, everybody knows what she stands for. Much of what Biden stands for. What Democrats for generations have stood for. Taking the side of working people and using the power of government to accomplish great things for all of us. Far from perfect but even further from the selfishness, racism and greed of their opponents, including the holier than thou types who support a man completely devoid of morals.
Day 24
August 14, 2024 at 2:26 pm
Cassandra likes:
High fuel prices
Record high inflation
Crime
Defund the police
An open Southern Border
Foreign policy chaos.
Yes Trump is an a-hole but he did a great job as President. You and the zombie force are all in with a candidate that has not received a single vote, has no positions because she says and does whatever benefits her. She might win this thing and then watch out.
JD
August 14, 2024 at 2:49 pm
Trump was a great “worst president”. He’s been consistantly ranked as one of the top 3 worst presidents ever.
And ask you have said, Kammy is Obama 2.0. I seem to remember things being far far better under Obama than under Trump. So yes, Trump is an assh0le and when Harris is elected we will watch out.
Day 24
August 14, 2024 at 2:58 pm
Of course the main stream media will support your argument as they are aligned with the Demo Party. Still waiting for Kammy to tell us who she is and what she stands for. The plan appears to be just smile and giggle, the uninformed will vote for you. JD is another happy with what is going on with this current inept administration.
JD
August 14, 2024 at 3:21 pm
Trump is the Devil we know. We can read his policies in the 900+ page Project 2025. Have you finished reading. your copy yet?
And you might be late to the game on the policy slur. She’s been releasing them recently. So stop with the deflection strawman argument.
cassandra was right
August 15, 2024 at 4:46 pm
You have forgotten Trump’s economy: $8+ egg cartons, $$$ milk, toilet paper hoarding, empty grocery store shelves, lines to get into stores, dairy farmers pouring out truckloads of milk, pig farmers killing and burying their pigs, vegetables rotting in fields, food bank lines around the block, closed businesses, too few truck drivers, ships waiting to be unloaded, cancelled surgeries, renters couldn’t pay rent….
Yrral
August 14, 2024 at 12:50 pm
Trump has no economic policy,but his own fail bankrupt policies,he was in glee with Musk by cutting job for workers,the government can do.lityle or anything about the economy,unless price control are enacted Google Trump Musk Cutting Job
ScienceBLVR
August 14, 2024 at 12:51 pm
Ahhhh…Y una mujer los guiará
Childless Cat Lady
August 14, 2024 at 1:02 pm
Kamala will make an excellent president! Her presidential roll out was quite impressive and indicative of women’s ability to multitask! Let’s keep the Biden Harris momentum for eight more years!
Super ELVIS
August 16, 2024 at 7:58 pm
Thank you Childless,
We should get together and discuss our politics along with our future (together) of blessing the world with a young baby boy SUPER ELVIS … lets name him ELVIS Jr. Thank you my Dear,
SUPER ELVIS
Yrral
August 14, 2024 at 1:12 pm
Si Ella Puede
Yrral
August 14, 2024 at 1:15 pm
Lots of White are so desperate in North Carolina,they are willing to vote for a insane in the membrane extreme Black MAGA man for governor of North Carolina Google Mark Robinson Trump
Yrral
August 14, 2024 at 1:47 pm
He who believes in Trump,shall not perish,but have a everlasting MAGA life, JD Vance a Catholic ,I guest the Pope is a childless cat lady,he do not have Children,while Biden a devout Catholic goes to mass regularly ,when the last time Trump attended church,looking for votes,not salvation Google Trump Mock Christian
Super ELVIS
August 16, 2024 at 8:04 pm
Sorry my buddy Yrral,
I dont have time to engage you in political discorse today as I am very busy seduceing the Childlesss Cat Lady. Have you seen her, Yrral?
She’s a “Totally HOTTY HOT MlLF” humma humma humma Tots Hot …. anyway I’m sure you understand and I, SUPER ELVIS, will get back to you later buddy,
SUPER ELVIS
rick whitaker
August 17, 2024 at 5:35 pm
ELVIS, change your diaper, you’re full of shit.
Jeffrey Sutton
August 17, 2024 at 7:55 am
The key is going to be who drives turnout. Kamala has changed support percentage nationally to probably a slight advantage over Trump. The enthusiasm gap seems like it favors the Dems right now but the GOP always falls in line whoever their nominee.
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