A.G. Gancarski
The presidential race in the Sunshine State is still too close to call.
That’s the take of Morning Consult polling, showing that although Donald Trump has stretched his lead over Kamala Harris, it’s not by much.
“Trump leads Harris inside the margin of sampling error,” the pollsters say, with Trump ahead 50% to 47% in polling conducted between Sept. 9 and Sept. 18.
Harris is running close to Trump despite the state having roughly a million more registered Republicans than Democrats, in part because of a marginal 47% to 44% edge with independents.
This poll aligns with others that suggest the race is closing and that Trump is up 3 points on average.
Both candidates have consolidated their bases.
Harris is the choice of 93% of Democrats, while Trump is preferred by 92% of Republicans.
The polling also suggests that a gender gap that is pronounced in many other surveys doesn’t exist in Florida.
Trump and Harris each have 48% support among women. Harris also is competitive with men in the Morning Consult data, trailing Trump 51% to 46%.
Democrats have suggested that the Harris campaign may step up its efforts in the Sunshine State.
During a fundraiser Wednesday, Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff told donors the “map is wide open, and we need the money to compete in seven and possibly eight states.”
He added that he was “just in Florida at the Villages, and it was wild.”
Republicans argue Democrats haven’t got a shot, of course.
During a Thursday appearance on “The Ingraham Angle,” Ron DeSantis dismissed Emhoff’s assertion that Democrats will “see what they can do in Florida” as simple “wishful thinking.”
59 comments
Josh Green
September 20, 2024 at 1:49 pm
DeSantis is going to be Big Mad when she turns Florida blue again.
Dont Say FLA
September 20, 2024 at 2:52 pm
If Rhonda takes credit for their own role in turning Florida blue, for once their claims won’t just be a bag of hot air.
MH/Duuuval
September 23, 2024 at 3:56 pm
Latest reports indicate DJT and Vance are continuing to alienate women voters. Those two are ineducable, drunk on the wine of the world.
Billy Rotberg
September 20, 2024 at 1:52 pm
It will be purple by 2026, especially once the Democrate start enacting Republican voter roll purges like BananaRepublicans did in 2022.
Stephen D
September 20, 2024 at 1:57 pm
All these wishfull thinkers in this state make me laugh. You would like Florida to end up like CA and NY, wouldn’t you. Not going to happen. Just like Walz’s wife, you are all looney tunes.
Bobblehead Kammy
September 20, 2024 at 3:13 pm
Exactly. Don’t Kalifornia, New York, Illinois, etc etc My Florida. 😄
RonBeGone
September 21, 2024 at 11:48 pm
Your Florida? Where are you from? It ain’t here. Go back north to wherever you came from.
JD
September 20, 2024 at 3:17 pm
You’d like Florida to end up like Mississippi, Alabama, and Arkansas. Not going to happen. Just like Trump’s wife, we’re going to divorce you after the election.
ScienceBLVR
September 20, 2024 at 3:19 pm
Nice retort:)
Ocean Joe
September 20, 2024 at 5:54 pm
Stevie, your carpet bag should be stuffed full by now. Scoot on back to West Virginia. Fly, fly, fly, fly…as Donald’s hero Hannibal would say.
rick whitaker
September 20, 2024 at 9:50 pm
STEPHEN D, florida is on the bottom. it can’t go down any further, so up is all we got . so get ready for the joy of harris in just a few days. you look like you could use some joy. your posts are full of hate, but you don’t care, do you? christians are usually miserable people, blaming others for their grievances. florida could use some DEI that’s for sure..
RonBeGone
September 21, 2024 at 11:47 pm
No, I don’t want it to turn into those states. I want it back to Florida, the state I was born in many years ago, unlike you yankee bastards who come down and ruin everything. People here pretty much had a mind your own business mentality, but then the Republican party decided that wasn’t good enough and wanted the whole pie. Well, enough is enough. We are taking it back and if you don’t like that you can go back to W Va or Ohio or whatever other shithole state you crawled down from.
Jojo
September 20, 2024 at 2:01 pm
Florida is 48th in health care for women and dead last in prenatal care.
Any woman voting for that misogynistic narcissist needs their head examined
Bobblehead Kammy
September 20, 2024 at 4:44 pm
48th huh? Lots of female friends not voting for Kammy and have had no trouble receiving health care.
MH/Duuuval
September 20, 2024 at 10:27 pm
Hard to beat concierge doctors — they make home visits and spend as much time as the patient requires.
Bobblehead Kammy
September 21, 2024 at 7:44 am
Nope. Try again.
MH/Duuuval
September 21, 2024 at 4:40 pm
You have lots of female friends?
Bobblehead Kammy
September 21, 2024 at 6:15 pm
Can you believe it?🤣
They're eating the DOGS!
September 20, 2024 at 2:58 pm
Keep on running your mouth, Donald. You can do it. I know you can.
The more Donald and Toadie Pants talk, the more turnips fall off the Turnip J Truck.
The Turnip Truck is currently driving thru Alligator Alley with two flat tires. It’s definitely going into the ditch before Homestead.
Dont Say FLA
September 20, 2024 at 3:09 pm
Florida’s GOP lies down with dogs, and they’re getting the flees.
Flee State of Florida, but if you can’t, vote to make Florida great again like when the Democrats ran it in the late 1900s.
Adrian Golf
September 20, 2024 at 3:21 pm
She’s not.
PeterH
September 20, 2024 at 4:28 pm
The fact remains that the Kamala Harris campaign has a lot of extra cash on hand to further flood media markets in North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Arizona’ Iowa and Texas. All of these states are in play.
Frankie M.
September 20, 2024 at 5:18 pm
Not that surprising…nobody hates women more than another woman.
Michael K
September 20, 2024 at 6:59 pm
I know a 94-year-old woman who does not think that a woman is qualified to run a country. And she’s been to Israel, Mexico, and Great Britain, but not India, to name a few.
Her children and grandchildren do not hold that view, thankfully. I think it’s a generational thing.
Tom
September 21, 2024 at 7:31 am
Based on the commentary from my trump humping friends vs. younger (under 50) folks, nieces and nephews etc. I think you’re right. Old white guys seem to think they’re preordained to run the country but things are changing fast from what I can see.
Bobblehead Kammy
September 20, 2024 at 7:33 pm
Can you Kammy pom pom shakers please interpret what the heck Kammy delivered in her bobblehead word salad answers with fellow pom pom shaker Oprah yesterday?
MH/Duuuval
September 20, 2024 at 10:28 pm
If you break into her house, she has a gun and knows how to use it.
Bobblehead Kammy
September 21, 2024 at 5:41 am
Will Kammy’s handler’s ice her now after that Oprah word salad debacle the other day? I am convinced more and more that her team was given the debate questions before the event. She simply is incapable of thinking on her feet. It’s obvious how she got to where she is.
MH/Duuuval
September 21, 2024 at 10:18 am
How obvious is it, fishwife?
Bobblehead Kammy
September 21, 2024 at 6:23 am
You sure she knows how? She ain’t the brightest bulb as you saw on Oprah the other day. Even Oprah ad that OMG look on her face with all that word salad being delivered by Kammy.
Tom
September 21, 2024 at 7:35 am
You’re probably the only person I know who watches Oprah. Don’t like Kammy? Tell us all the good things that trump is going to do. Give us a reason to vote for him. I’d be happy to see a translation of pretty much any public comments he’s made of late.
Bobblehead Kammy
September 21, 2024 at 7:59 am
Come on Tom. Of course I don’t watch Oprah. She has been irrelevant for years but definitely gets politically involved especially when a person of color is running for office. She had a pep rally the other day on tv for Kammy. Besides the regular folks there were Hollywood elitists as well. Kammy delivered world class word salad on that rally and even her head cheerleader, Oprah, had that WTF look on her face. Deny it and defend it but it’s out there if you care to look.
Leonard
September 21, 2024 at 9:45 am
It’s really simple—if you want lower inflation, lower taxes, lower gas prices, lower crime, and a stronger military vote for Trump. If you want to continue the failures of Biden-Harris and advanced the continued decline of America vote for the Hyena Harris.
JD
September 21, 2024 at 9:52 am
Inflation is now at 3.7%, down from last year, and gas prices are largely driven by global markets, not just U.S. policy. Crime rates fluctuate under every administration, and the military remains strong under both Trump and Biden. Under Trump, the national debt grew by $7.8 trillion, and tax cuts didn’t lead to the long-term benefits promised.
JD
September 21, 2024 at 9:48 am
May we see an IQ test for both please? Until then, Mr. Word Salad Trump supporters need to reference a kettle that is calling black.
Michael
September 20, 2024 at 10:07 pm
Florida will be irrelevant after the “fake” global warming drowns it into extinction. Plus side is the beach will be closer.
Bobblehead Kammy
September 21, 2024 at 8:17 am
Okay Michael. Give us a time frame of when this will happen. AOC made her prediction. She will eat that one like you will. 😜
Neil R
September 21, 2024 at 6:00 am
A lot of self loathing women in Florida. Wow.
Denny Nuwa
September 21, 2024 at 8:06 am
I want to argue with people I don’t know. Where to start?
Bobblehead Kammy
September 21, 2024 at 8:28 am
Don’t be shy. 😄
Ocean Joe
September 21, 2024 at 6:11 pm
Where is your pal Adolf Biden? I was getting a kick out of his salty comments. And what’s with the campaign to label Kamala stupid? She ravages Biden in a debate and ends up being his VP. She stands by him and ends up getting the Dem nomination. Not just luck. She manhandled the Donald in that so-called debate. She isn’t my first choice, but she’s stepped up and we’ve got a race…if your man can keep his mouth shut.
If he pulls another dog eat dog thing I think Kamala will take Florida.
JD
September 21, 2024 at 8:51 am
You’ve come to the correct space to do it with mostly impunity.
Leonard
September 21, 2024 at 9:41 am
HaHaHaHaHaHaHaHa…..that is incredibly funny. Harris has NO chance of winning. This ridiculous poll and breathless column (the headline is dripping with hope and enthusiasm) demonstrates how the polls are once again being used as a weapon to drive turnout for Ds. Trump is going to win Florida…so move on to another story.
JD
September 21, 2024 at 9:54 am
Didn’t Obama have 8 years after riding “Hope and Change”?
Careful with the “hope” quip.
Bobblehead Kammy
September 21, 2024 at 10:40 am
The polls have turned into political weapons purely to influence and or discourage voters. My local, very left leaning newspaper constantly published polls that were almost always wrong. Yet they did it purely to have influence over prospective voters. That paper is a rag and I no longer subscribe to it.
rick whitaker
September 21, 2024 at 12:18 pm
MAGA MARK, you must have really loved that newspaper you cancelled because you don’t do truth. you’ve mentioned it at least 4 times. you don’t want a poll, you want a propagandist saying your guy is wining. how insecure can you get. i suggest you watch more mainstream media and less right wing qanon type bs media. you are a mark, so it is understandable that you are clueless when it comes to media integrity. earl, another maga cultist, hates the AP because they tell the truth. that sounds like what i hear you saying you do. there is a poll out that says 91% of the readers of this site think you are a political idiot. no wonder you don’t like polls.
Bobblehead Kammy
September 21, 2024 at 3:15 pm
You are definitely stalking me. I should start charging your head rent.😜
rick whitaker
September 21, 2024 at 7:58 pm
MAGA MARK, i didn’t expect you to take my advice. i knew you would come back with a smart ass remark, i was right. politics is not a good feield for you. you don’t seem to know hype from fact. get into writing fake customer reviews or something that doesn’t require a decerning mind. more advice that you won’t take. pitiful is the word that comes to mind.
Tom
September 21, 2024 at 2:00 pm
Polls are a measurement of things that occurred in the past and these days, pretty much irrelevant IMO. Look at the betting sites. They’re way more fun.
JD
September 21, 2024 at 4:29 pm
I did think I mention polls, because I kind of agree. However simulations and statistics I trust a hair more. I also think Litchman’s keys are pretty good prediction indicators. He’s siding with Harris baring war or Supreme Court stepping in.
rick whitaker
September 21, 2024 at 8:44 pm
LEONARD, i assume you are a maga cultist because you quoted from the mage book of lies. enjoy our next joyful president, harris. if you are a sexist and a racist on top of being a maga cultist, then harris is your biggest nightmare. maybe her presidency will give you a chance to mature in your values area.
RonBeGone
September 21, 2024 at 11:58 pm
They are absolutely sexists and racists. Anyone who would vote for Trump at this point is. They can blow out BS about the economy or freedom all they want but we all know that the economy is better and freedom is stronger when democrats are in office.
No, voting for Trump is voting for hate. Bigotry, racism, sexism, all wrapped up as nationalism by a bunch of scared old white people. They are terrified someone else may get to sit at the table with them.
Well, get used to it because we are not going back.
Bobblehead Kammy
September 22, 2024 at 7:19 am
Hard is will be your nightmare too if she is elected. Smiling and giggling will work for a while and then she will actually have to take press conferences from people besides media friendly Oprah and such. No wonder Putin prefers her. He will do whatever he wants knowing the laughing Hyena has no clue.
JD
September 22, 2024 at 10:28 am
Life was pretty hard under Trump. I haven’t forgotten. How come he gets a pass on the pandemic and not Biden or “Kammy”? Or do you have some knowledge that we don’t about how it was so good?
Bobblehead Kammy
September 22, 2024 at 11:04 am
It was that midget Fauci that wanted all the social distancing and mask silliness. Trump didn’t want to go along but was forced by politics. I took a leave of absence from work and did some traveling. The whole thing was way overboard.
JD
September 22, 2024 at 11:52 am
Sure, Fauci gave his science-based recommendations, but Trump handed off the real decisions to governors under the guise of “states’ rights.” That way, he could avoid blame while Fauci got painted as the bad guy.
Plenty of studies, like those in The Lancet (2020), proved masks and distancing worked—slowed the spread and saved lives. But if fewer people had listened, we’d be looking at even more overwhelmed hospitals and a higher death toll. I’m glad we won’t go back and try the alternative.
rick whitaker
September 22, 2024 at 5:36 pm
MAGA MARK, yeah dude, right, whatever.
Elmo
September 22, 2024 at 2:51 pm
A lot of those Florida women who say they will vote for Trump will be too methed up to vote. A certain percentage of Florida women were probably in front of their abusive husbands and boyfriends when they were polled and they had to say the right thing to stay alive or not get bruised up.
Elmo
September 22, 2024 at 2:52 pm
They know their place…those Florida girls who like Trump.